In this video blog edition of the Dreizin Report, you will hear about the evolution of recent U.S. weapons deliveries to the Ukraine, their successes and failures, and where this show may go from here. Among other things, you will be introduced to a comparative dissertation on towed vs. self-propelled artillery. As always, thanks for visiting, and… “Send more Javelins!!!”
(**PLEASE NOTE:** Every time I said “trailer” in this video, I meant to say “hitch.” Also, the Javelin missile is self-guided, not wire-guided.)
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Thanks for commenting! Comments and any associated weblinks or other references must be directly relevant and tangential to my published material (not just to other comments.) THIS IS NOT A DEBATE PLATFORM TO DISCUSS HISTORICAL QUESTIONS. Please, no unrelated musings (e.g., about Putin’s family values, how Hitler could have won at Dunkirk or Normandy, etc.), no trolling/baiting, no calling for the destruction or dissolution of the USA or its government, no ranting about Jews (or Joos, Jooz, Jooze, Juice, Juize, Jewz, Jewze, J-Dogs, J-Dogz, J-Dawgz, J’s, Anglo-American Zionists, “those of whom we cannot speak”, the chosen, the tribe, the Khazarians, Khazarian mafia, etc. etc.), and no arguing with other commenters. Please share your concise, relevant, coherent thoughts, and come back for my next post. Thanks again!
What this all shows, if the West is paying any attention, is that all of those sxpensive toys are out of date and were never maintained. It looks like a fire sale where what you thought were bargains are really just second hand and remainders. NATO is simply an oversized day-old bakery shop.
The toys are outdated, but largelty untested, and, above all, plentiful. NATO is testing the weapons it will equip conscripts with. Professional soldiers get the newer toys, conscripts will end up using the old toys, with very little training. With as little success as Ukrainians conscripts.
This comment is coming in very late so it may not get a reply. I posted your informative video on my site with a link back and got this reader comment. Care to respond?
Dreizin: “The US Army does not have any towed artillery at this time whatsoever”
Hmm.. That’s strange. I live next to Schofield Barracks in HI and I don’t think 25th DIVARTY got the word. When I go past 3-7 FA it sure looks like towed M777 Howitzers to me. Now IIRC at one point I think they got rid of the 155s and just had 105s but when they re-established DIVARTY I think at the same time they beefed up the TOE.
Thanks, but this is why you should watch all of my videos, instead of just one. I issued a correction that the US Army had no towed artillery as of when I was in uniform (the second half of the 1990s), but subsequently acquired some for fixed emplacements for Afghanistan type deployments, which I was not aware of as it was after my time; however, the army’s ground maneuver units (e.g. the heavy armored bigades and divisions) still use self-propelled cannon exclusively.
Difficult to destroy heavy weapons in transit but can destroy when stationery and on first use Russians can reverse track and destroy them then?
All the best on the you tube channel, I expect it to be very popular.
I expect it to be shut down ASAP. Remember, Ukraine is the new Covid. Better set up some parallel channels on Odysee, Rumble and SuperU.
Thanks again for more great content today. I have thoroughly enjoyed your analysis since I found you back in April through the Duran. A couple thoughts to add to your most recent analysis is that in respect to the Javelin systems the other reason beyond your noted battery pack issues is that after the early major thrust by Russia in the war where they had large columns of vehicles out in the open as they took wide swaths of land, their tactics have changed so that now it appears as though very little exposure is offered to the Ukrainians for them to take a shot. By the time the armour rolls up the Ukrainians have been pummelled by artillery to the point that nobody is around interested in taking a shot.
Finally, with respect to the towed artillery, we here in Canada still use towed artillery, largely because we likely don’t have the funds to replace it. I would however suggest that the terrain in Ukraine is the most advantageous for this type of artillery as it is very similar to the Canadian prairies on which you can tow it cross country off road so long as you have not had to much rain to muddy the ground. So at least intermittently it could be a (semi)effective system. We routinely drive heavy trucks on the fields of the prairies up here and they aren’t 4wd. Anyways, thanks so much for your analysis, it is most appreciated.
Thanks. Kharkov province (where these cannon have been deployed, to date) is heavily forested, and much of it is quite hilly.
The problem with towed artillery on modern battlefield is not so much where (to) can it be moved – you would be amazed to see where 4×4 military trucks can reach to, even with artillery in tow – as much as it is in the inability to quickly change position to avoid counterbattery fire, which comes quickly and accurately after the first 1-2 shots thanks to artillery surveilance radars and drones. Opponent’s air superiority doesn’t help there either. Mobility is the key.
That is where a good EW unit comes in handy analyze, intercept, DF and neutralize.
Looking forward to your reports on the French and German self-propelled howitzers said to be coming soon. Congrats on expanding into YouTube!
Can anyone speculate as to the extend of Humint in Western Ukraine which could provide Russia with intel on the location of Ukrainian weapons/material in transit to the front ?
Even with only a 10% ethnic Russian demographic, that’s an awful lot of potentially “unfriendly” smart phones.
How to understand this:
Sen. Mitt Romney suggests ‘NATO could engage’ in Ukraine, ‘potentially obliterating Russia’s struggling military’ if Putin used nuclear weapons
https://www.businessinsider.com/romney-nato-could-engage-in-ukraine-face-of-nuclear-war-2022-5
Senator Mitt Romney is an idiot, suitable only for asset stripping failed companies that Bane could absorb.
Chemical batteries are Achiles heel for long time storage of all modern missiles since electrochemical properties of battery change over time. As i remember Soviets dealt with this problem by using compressed air generator in SA missile instead of battery.
Consistently on the money and insightful as always. Many thanks, Jacob. Two things (on road and rail infrastructure targetting)…
I was wondering from Day 1 why the Russians didn’t take out road and rail bridges in the far West. Minimal casualties, maximum supply interference. It was only a couple of weeks ago they started working over the rail substation transformers to paralyse the network – 10 weeks into the operation. Do you see this as them being too soft early on, and maybe hardening their stance on doling out damage only once the heavier ordnance started crossing the border?
And an aside with respect to the above. Given the sorry state of the rail network now west of the Dnieper, I’m wondering how it is that “Kissing the Zelensky ring in Kiev” is still the favorite gig in town for every virtue-signalling western pol (other than Olaf the Liverwurst), with extra added Bono. Notwithstanding their “asset value” risk, how are these guys able to rock up in Kiev and disembark trains for their photo ops with such apparent ease and abandon? Authentic, or green screened?
I would guess the Russians were planning on a negotiated settlement as their best option in the opening week or two. That involved taking out the airforce, navy, radar systems, C&C, and securing the nuclear facilities, bioweapons facilities and other high value strategic assets as well as encircling the major centres. Making life hard for the population would be counterproductive to achieving such a goal. It didn’t work out that way so OODA in action and remove that option.
Carefully green- screened and packaged by Red Meat loving western journalists
I don’t recall where I read this or who said it but…”In the USA we build weapons to make money. In Russia, they build weapons to work.”
Rumble is good. YouTube sucks.
There is no way to send track cannons since they need to be delivered by train, which can easily be targeted.
Good luck trying to destroy (not damage, destroy) a moving train with a cruise missile. It’s been tried.
I don’t mean the Russians will try to target a moving train, but they must cross over bridges etc. which could be targeted. They must be offloaded once they get to the front, which could also be targeted. I am pretty sure some will get through, but for the Eastern front, it won’t make a big difference.
They have avoided hitting most of the key bridges, I say this in my video.
Surely you just hit the rails/tracks in front and behind the train? Then once it’s stopped, THEN you hit the train, that is no longer moving?
ps. Quite new to your channel. Finding it highly informative and no-nonsense! Thank you!
Thanks. Very hard to hit tracks with a cruise missile, and, any damage can be repaired in as little as 24 hours.
Great SitRep. Very helpful.
I understand the idea that the Russians are reluctant to destroy the rail bridges crossing the Dneiper possibly because they need those same bridges if they decide to move heavy ordinance, supplies if they extended their offensive straight at Western Ukraine. However, if the Ukraine military expected that move, would they not blow the bridges themselves before such an onslaught got underway?
Great point. In which case, ending all economic activity across the Dniepr, and slicing the country in two, physically, would be on them. It’s one thing to blow every bridge in the Donbass, it’s another to blow up the livelihoods of millions of (so far) loyal Ukrainians.
They don’t care about that. The bridges will be destroyed, as soon as Russians will come close. As it was before many time. And after that, some shells or rockets or missiles would follow on the towns and cities that left behind, and any electricity and water supplies to those places would be shut off. So that isn’t the reason. Russians need “humanitarian corridors” for the Ukrainian patriots and Western-values-admirers to evacuate the captured/liberated areas into western parts of Ukraine or even better to EU. That’s my guess. The “war” part is the less important than shaping the future of economy and demographics of Novorossia (or whatever it will be called). Because the outcome of this war was decided the moment it started. If Russians want NATO-free zone there, they need friendly and self-sufficient (ideally) population in that area. Military occupation by force, like Soviet Union already tried, was a disaster, that eventually brought all of this. But Ukrainian population that had any pro-Russian or neutral sentiments was brainwashed for 30 years, and terrorized for 8 years. That can’t be undone quickly and easily, unless you get rid of the most anti-Russian element all together. Hence the way to Poland should remain accessible to the ones that don’t want to be a part of the “Russian World”.
Not quite understanding how any Western artillery assets are being put in place if Russia has air superiority. Nothing that the Ukrainien military moves should be safe. But they appear to be able to mount some pretty effective bombardements against Russian forces at times. Drones, satellite and ground intelligence should make this very difficult. Perhaps air movement isn’t as unhindered as it could be? Does Russia use air superiority tactics differently than the West? Just trying to figure out how the Ukrainiens aren’t being dealt with more effectively in the eastern part of the country.
Jacob, youtube is censorship central. maybe use what others, including the duran, are using…Rumble.
Rumble has an issue for those still using Windows 7 or Vista when viewing videos. They just appear as a black screen as older codecs not supported. Bitchute and Odysee are fine.
We agree on the YouTube sentiment. We will look into other platforms as well as YouTube. Was always the plan but it is one step at a time,
Those would work too. I have seen many bloggers build up their youtube accounts to only lose it all to censorship.
I don’t have any problems at all with Rumble on my Windows 7 system.
When I was newly hired at Fort Sheridan, IL, back in 1977, I would look out from Garrison headquarters and see a good number of self-propelled artillery there, They were held in reserve at that time. Big artillery. I never closely inspected them. Maybe M107s or M110s.
IMHO the West/NATO is deliberately setting the Ukrainian Army up for a defeat so they will have more excuses for sanctions and they (i.e. Poland) will have an excuse to move into West Ukraine. This is all part of the WEF’s Great Reset, and plunging Western Europe into economic chaos (due to oil, gas, food shortage) is just another part of the plan. Basically what we’ll see unfold is a combination of Mao’s Great Leap Forward (“Green New Deal”), Mao’s Cultural Revolution (all that gender/LGBTQ crap), and Stalin’s forced agricultural collectivization which led to the Holodomor.
I hope Russia making more affort destroying every military equipments (especially the heavy stuff) sent by the west before elensky can use them on the frontline and end this war quickly. Very sad to see so many young brave men died everyday. You can watch on telegram @horevica the result of many ukrop dron and artillery operation working in tandem destroying the Russian alliances (do not watch if you are easily triggered).
Jacob, do you have an assessment of how difficult or otherwise it will be for Russia to hold and defend/ make liveable these new territories? Will Ukraine take a long term outlook of endless harassment by artillery of the area, will Russia be perpetually trying to destroy replacement artillery systems coming in to the country? Thank you for your work.
Congrats for your Yout* channel. As probably The Duran told you, it should be good you to upload additionally in other platforms (Odysee, Rumble – which are able to syncrhonise with your You*be channel).
Yes, thanks. Will do. But, have to start somewhere.
The problem with the American view of war is that all casualties are considered setbacks as opposed to being a natural part of war. America builds very expensive weapons built in small numbers and holds the conceit that 0 losses are expected and planned for. I would suppose the Russians build large numbers of weapons they can afford and plan to lose 10% or 20%. None of use wants to be a casualty, but that is the ugly reality of war. to a certain respect, we as individuals on the battlefield are arithmetic
Well said!
I watched a Russian documentary on Battalion Tactical Group artillery. Amazingly each BTG had a full battalion – 2 batteries of 6 self-propelled guns each at the disposal of the BTG. Their SOP was 10 minutes to set up. 2 of the 3 batteries spend 10 minutes firing the mission (50-60 rounds), 10 minutes to pack up and move to the next firing point. 1 of the batteries always remained silent to be undetected and ready to respond to counter battery fire that might respond to the fire mission.
Interesting!!
your associates from the duran would have insight into setting up Bitchute and Rumble to mirror the YuToob account. thank you again for giving us your analysis & your valuable time. be careful with those diapers they can be “deadly” ;^D
Lol
Thanks for your very concise, easy to understand explanations of the ongoing campaign. Here are the things I have difficulty to wrap my head around:
1. What keeps the Ukrainians or their Western weapons suppliers from exchanging all those lame battery packs of the Javelins and other systems with new, fully functioning ones?
2. How come that none of these systems go through a meticulous check of the full readiness of every single part prior to sending them to the front lines? To a normal person this would seem a very obvious and basic procedure considering that the lives of those most precious frontline fighters directly depends on the reliable functioning of the stuff they’re supplied with. taking any shortcuts there seems almost criminally negligent and terribly inefficient in regards to getting the most bang for your buck in the most serious game there is.
3. I regularly watch the superb first hand video reporting of Patrick Lancaster. Why is it, that Russia has not made it one of their first priorities to prevent the Ukrainians the possibility to keep on with their constant shelling of the civilian neighbourhoods of the Donetsk republics? I have a hard time understanding that “the front line is still 5 km away from the home of Russel “Texas” Bentley and his family after thrre months into the “Special Military Operation”?
4. Is there a specific reason why we don’t see the fighters from both sides making any real effort to actually use proper natural camouflage like putting on “war paint” to their faces and putting some small branches, leaves and gras on top of helmets and other parts of their kit? I was strongly encouraged to do this during my months of basic infantry training to become competent warrior and fully qualified soldier in the glorious, all powerful and invincible Swiss army thirty years ago. Is that stuff outdated, useless in the particular theater or are these guys just poorly trained, miserably lead and on top of that lazy ass motherfuckers? I am old enough to remember how masterfully the Vietnamese fighters used such techniques to literally become invisible to enemy eyes until the empty landscape suddenly became alive transforming into a full regiment moving for the attack within the blink of an eye and turning back again into what looked like a rice field with some bushes here and there without any human shape being noticeable within seconds again.
Thanks for the excellent comment. The face paint and twigs on the helmet are useless in a conflict where 90% of the casualties never even came within a half kilometer of their attacker. Regarding quality control on the batteries, the Javelins were shipped out in a hurry, thousands of them. I assume no one had time to sit and charge and diagnose every one, prior to sending them out. Plus, U.S. Army warehouse workers tend to be rather lazy, from what I’ve heard.
3. I regularly watch the superb first hand video reporting of Patrick Lancaster. Why is it, that Russia has not made it one of their first priorities to prevent the Ukrainians the possibility to keep on with their constant shelling of the civilian neighbourhoods of the Donetsk republics? I have a hard time understanding that “the front line is still 5 km away from the home of Russel “Texas” Bentley and his family after thrre months into the “Special Military Operation”?
I have been wondering myself about this.
In reading the first part of your comment I thought: “this guy is German” :-), I also like things done correctly, that’s why I moved to Switzerland 🙂 It makes even more sense that you’re Swiss.
Great comment. It also bothers me a lot, not only that NATO, by sending weapons to a failed army, are prolonging their agony, misery and death, but also sending faulty equipment in “the most serious game there is”, as you put it, is definitely criminal.
Do you know Jacques Baud? He was in Paris with Guy Mettan and gave an excellent lecture on the prequel to the war.
He explains Minsk and how the French insisted in framing the accords into a Normandy format, thus forcing Russia to become a party, and not a guarantor, of the securities for the Donetsk and Luhansk autonomous republics (which never sought independence, just a certain autonomy, especially re. language).
According to him, by referendum, on January 20, 1991, Crimea became independent from Ukraine and under the authority of Moscow.
In March 1991, the referendum that confirmed the existence of the Soviet Union validated Crimea’s status as a Socialist, Autonomous Republic within the Soviet Union, under Moscow.
Ukraine’s independence was decided at the Rada in August 1991 and confirmed by referendum in December 1991, so itself became independent AFTER Crimea.
In 1994 Ukraine ANNEXED Crimea, abolishing by force its Constitution and toppling the Crimean president by intervention of the special forces…
Very fascinating. Here’s the video link.
https://youtu.be/G11HqBqtkj8
Speaking of anti-tank weapons. Does Russia have laser-guided tank rounds? Today I saw a video of 2 Ukraine tanks destroyed by something I can’t explain.
The tanks are stationary, hiding among houses, walls and trees, but observed by an overhead drone.
One tank explodes a small fraction of a second after something skims very close to the adjacent house blowing dirt off the roof.
Whatever it was moved at the speed of a tank round, but it was descending at a 30-degree angle, not a flat trajectory.
Could be a tank round from a long distance, but I’m thinking it had to be guided, because it was a blind shot. Laser-guided tank rounds?
Here’s the video:
https://t.me/intelslava/29548
Krasnopol is laser guided.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Krasnopol_(weapon_system)
MSTA can fire them single shot.
Thank – great analysis. I am sure there is just so much to consider and you can only address what fits into an article length. That said three thoughts I was wondering about:
1. I expect heavy weapons by definition require lots more fuel and Russia seems to be constantly degrading fuel supplies. This would seem to add to problems of getting to the battle field and being operational?
2/ KISS is often an advantage in an attrition war. Are self propelled significantly more problematic for the Ukraine army to support?
3/ Phase I and II seem to be focused on Russia ‘friendly’ territories. I expect the Russian army is sympathetic to civilians who the extreme right elements of the Ukraine are not thus weighing on Russian tatcis?
dreizinreport, i just found yoor wonderful channel with its factual reporting. The West media is all lies. My request: could yoo please give a summary overview of the whole Ukraine war from start to now. Just the basics. How did Russia start out attacking from all sides but now just from the East, or so it seems? Did Russia close in on Kiev only to back off, if so how far? Is there activity going on around the original lines of attack with columns of trucks and tanks?… A basik overview would be much appreciated. I’m sure many of yoor followers are newer to the channel and could use a big picture overview. THANKS so much!
Thanks for the perceptive analysis. Your comments about the Russians deliberately not destroying the bridges over the Dnieper are interesting. I guess this either is suggestive of future intent or just part of them keeping their future options open and keeping everyone else wondering too. That must make sense from their perspective! Helping the Dreizen Report analysis is probably not one of the General Staff’s core objectives….
Also seems that they are relatively confident that they can destroy future weapons inflows in depots or on the battlefield. From a true realist perspective (sad as it is), battlefield destruction is better I suppose if it can be guaranteed because you remove the crews; and Ukraine’s big military issue is surely the willingness and supply of more men to act as cannon fodder. Given the inappropriateness of towed howitzers in this campaign one can see that a strategy of letting them arrive could have been a conscious decision. Guess that future strategy depends too on how effective the next tranches of western wunderwaffen really are for this type of war with an empty battlefield, long range killing and Russian air dominance. Maybe if they do start destroying bridges then that will help provide an answer.
I await the next video with interest!
TASS just reported that a unit of M777 howitzers were taken out by Giatsint-S heavy artillery guns. https://tass.com/politics/1454473 . I think we’ll know the RF will no longer be confident in it’s ability to maintain artillery and other hardware superiority if they start really doing a number on infrastructure. Until then they seem happy to continue their strategy of minimising damage as much as possible and picking off whatever arrives into combat, which has the added bonus of actually destroying enemy hardware rather than allowing the possibility of it being redeployed elsewhere in future.
The track artillery provided by Germany and The Netherlands are good but what they say …. It require heavy training for at least six to eight weeks just to know how to use it, most likely a half year to use it wel. There are allready worrys about the language barrière… the fight guys are not quite Einstains. The general ideea: not efficiënt!!!
Annnddd the countdown to when your Youtube channel gets banned by the Digital Fascists begins now.
This above Dreizen Report was mentioned Monday on UK Column { today } at 40 mins 30 sec https://www.ukcolumn.org/ukcolumn-news/uk-column-news-23rd-may-2022 — — also Scott Ritter is 50 min 39 sec- to 55.0 —( Scott does seems to make sence here ! )
CORRECTION Dreizen is 33.10—– Scott at 43.10 for 5 min
On the Javelins: I wouldn’t fully agree that they have failed. I agree that most likely they were not used to destroy a lot of tanks or armored vehicles. But that is mostly because the Russians haven’t used their tanks very aggressively. The Russians have played to their strength and used heavy artillery fire and air support to pound the Ukrainian positions and only advancing once the resistance was eliminated. That slowed the progress down. Without the Javelins the Russians would have driven over them. So, ultimately, the Javelins forced the Russians to adjust their strategy. Hence, the heavy stuff….
Nope. In the first 5 weeks of the war, the Russian ground forces near Chernigov, Sumy, and Kharkov, and even to some extent Kiev, were vastly overextended and hugely exposed to antitank missile attacks, however, essentially all of the damage they took was from Turkish attack drones, Soviet-era antitank weapons, mortars, and artillery. The Javelins and NLAWs were barely used at all.
A possible better choice would have been the Swedish FH-77, that has a small petrol or diesel motor able to propel it at 7km/h without a prime mover. BUT – you still have to fold up the “spades” and get ready to move – might take a minute. (quite fun to drive!) How fast will Russian counter battery fire arrive? 5 minutes? Can you be 500m away by then? A better solution would have been sticking Excalibur on a rocket instead.
Oh, enjoy https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PaK1jFg8JBE
How many tanks does MoD, Moscow admit have been lost so far? Ukraine claims 1100ish. Are Russians losing less now that at the beginning? If so, why?
The enemy always inflates body counts while friendlies always reduce. This was common knowledge during the Vietnam war which was televised. The weapons sent by the US are ineffective because the batteries are not holding a charge in order to aim and fire the weapon effectively so Russian losses are down. The Russians have also corrected and learned from engagement errors.
Some of your content from this video has been copied – https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-Osf6xeLwag
there has been documented use by the Ukrainians of banned munitions like phosphorus and flechette.i was wondering if you think this is gross violation or a sign they are just running out of munitions?
It is not true that the hand held anti tank weapons have not been effected, it has forced the Russians to use their superiority in armor in a stand off way. It has prevented the type of Blitz Krieg operations we saw in WW2 which would have been totally possible for Russia, given their air superiority and superiority in armor.
Thank you for the content, Sir! I found you from the boys at the Duran. You are indeed a blazing light of truth among the media scene.
Jacob,
Great report!
Here is a recent Patrick Lancaster video showing an in the field set up of a Russian 122mm towed howitzer which illustrates much of what you describe in this video regarding howitzer set up. The video starts just before setup.
https://youtu.be/2qaHNioLWp8?t=351