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Dreizin lunch break update: “A day of firsts.” Today saw first large-scale daylight air raid & first confirmed use of modern U.S. ADM-160 MALD decoy missiles against Crimea. Total Ukr attack assets involved: 11 Su-24M ground attack jets launching (not all aircraft actually launched something) total of 8 UK/French Storm Shadow/SCALP cruise missiles & three ADM-160 MALDs. (All missiles launched, of course, at stand-off distance.) It appears that all cruise missiles were downed or deflected.Read More
Through Russian mediation, Karabakh capitulates; negotiations for “reintegration” into Azerbaijan to begin tomorrow. There will obviously be no instant mass cleansing, but, no one’s gonna stick around for the long term, to live under Azeri laws, military administration, & “property return” to Azeri refugees or their descendants. Karabakh exiles with relatives in Russia, likely to be offered Russian visas, as Armenia can’t afford resettlement of ~100,000. Armenian govt remains in power as opposition is fragmented, & “Soros graduate” govt has majority support in capital city. Official line is to blame Russia for “not protecting” (yes, some people buy it, because some people buy anything the state media says), but truth is, cutting Karabakh loose was necessary for attempt at NATO & EU accession. It will be INTERESTING to see how “eager” NATO & EU are *now* to integrate this sh*t sandwich of a candidate. As I said, Turkey will want “rights” to/in/through Armenian land corridor to Azerbaijan. Armenian govt will NOT be able to blame Russia for that one, LOL. The fun has only just started.
See yesterday’s edition, if you missed it.Read More
The below video shows the launch of Israeli Lora short-range ballistic missiles from somewhere in Azerbaijan. (You can see two missiles going up, and the contrail of another.) I once re-visited AIPAC, and sat down with my former bosses, and mentioned to them, that Israel was the world’s NUMBER THREE arms seller (behind the U.S....Read More
(Sorry for earlier dead link.) Azerbaijan resumes war to capture Karabakh, providing 2000 Russian peacekeepers minimal formal notice (it was no secret anyway.) Up to 100,000 refugees pending. Due to threat from Iran (buildup of several top brigades on Azeri/Arm/Turk border region, & missile forces on war alert), there will be no invasion of south Armenia at this time. Armenian govt has publicly written off Karabakh (not officially part of Armenia); invasion was likely coordinated through Western (most likely UK) intel mediators, with Russian awareness (Shoigu is in Iran *TODAY*.) Next step is rapid acceleration of process for Armenia to join NATO.Read More
Open-source flight tracker websites have shown at least 7 military cargo flights (IL-76 aircraft) from Israel to Azerbaijan since end of August. They are stocking up like mad on Israeli drones. Likely reason for invasion delay is… Iran. Azeri side has pushed for Iranian non-intervention, even hosting a high-level Iranian army delegation to “inspect” something or other. Iranian red line (restated at recent meeting of Iran & Turk foreign ministers) is Azeri movement into (south) Armenia “proper” (not unrecognized Karabakh) so as to establish corridor to Nakhichevan & Turkey, w/ effect of providing Turkey a direct route to border w/ Iranian E. & W. Azerbaijan provinces, while cutting Iran’s land access to entire Caucasus incl. Armenia, Georgia, & Russia. Problem for Azeris, there’s little sense in re-launching war to retake Karabakh w/o ALSO moving for Armenian total knockout & link-up w/ Turkey (which might be legitimized post-facto by Armenian surrender treaty to “allow” [recognize] Azeri/Turkish access & security control while maintaining Armenian “sovereignty” over the land) while GLOBOHOMO’s attention still glued to Russia-Ukraine. (Note how USA has **IGNORED** Azeri hereditary monarchy’s plans to attack kinda-sorta “democratic”, West-pivoting Armenia… presumably due to extreme need for Turkish weapons/munitions for the Ukraine.)
In other news: To those who’ve asked Yes, I confirm 100%, General Surovikin has been tasked with leading the decolonization drive in Africa. The effort will now be visioned, directed, coordinated at higher levels than “just” some mercenary company. Africa, of course, is the “soft underbelly” of France and the entire “golden billion”, with its...Read More