In other news…..
I told you about the MQ-9 Reaper surveillance flights (more than once)…..
…..well in advance.
Because, that’s what I do.
After Russia took one of these things down…..
…..of course, there was not one word in our State Media…..
…..on what it was doing, why it was there.
The USA is now giving a wide berth to Crimea.
Surveillance is being attempted…..
…..from much closer to the Romanian and Turkish coastlines.
Going forward…..
It will be much harder for the Ukraine to target Crimea.
In fact, prior to this “incident“…..
They used to launch drones and missiles into Crimea…..
…..every few days at least.
Now, I’ve heard of nothing…..
…..since the “incident.”
Obviously, NOT a coincidence.
ALSO, in recent weeks…..
…..the “Ukraine running out of men” concept…..
…..has entered the “mainstream.”
I wrote about this…..
…..IN GREAT DETAIL…..
…..last December, perhaps even November.
Now, don’t get excited.
At the current rate…..
The Ukraine might not fully tap out its draft potential…..
…..until late summer.
But after that, it’s a VERY steep downhill slope…..
…..as it cannibalizes what’s left…..
…..of its economy and society.
In any case…..
The trend is CLEAR.
The mass emigration of younger, employable persons…..
Caused by the U.S. takeover…..
…..and subsequent economic break with Russia…..
…..SEVERELY limits the Ukraine’s draft potential…..
…..and prevents the Ukraine…..
…..from winning any war of attrition with Russia.
The doom was set in motion in 2014.
The successful U.S. takeover of the Ukraine…..
…..carried the seed of its own defeat.
I wrote about this in January, or early February…..
…..of 2022.
Because, that’s what I do.
The Hegemony now grasps the problem…..
And is now pushing the Ukraine…..
…..to attack attack attack…..
…..to break the relative stalemate.
They are even OPENLY talking….
…..about exactly WHERE (Zaporozhie)…..
…..this offensive should happen.
LOL.
As Russians say…..
…..что на уме, что на губах.
Which, contextually, roughly translates as…..
“Dumb people can’t help but blurt out what they’re thinking.”
What’s funny…..
They are pushing their Ukro-clients…..
…..not only privately…..
But, through their own State Media….
As if it was some leak campaign against Trump…..
…..during his presidency.
What’s the point of advertising your own insecurity…..
…..and lack of confidence…..
…..to your own public…..
…..and the entire world?
Only explanation I can think of…..
They are collectively setting up THEIR loss…..
…..as the Ukraine’s fault.
Preparing to wash their hands of it…..
In advance of their 2024 election campaign.
Just like they blamed their Afghanistan loss…..
…..on the locals.
You see, Uncle Sam never loses.
He gets betrayed by unworthy natives, LOL.
I Found Him!
Folks, I think I finally found…..
…..the FBI guy…..
…..who, under several different email addresses…..
…..was leaving me “anti-government” comments…..
…..when I first started this blog.
Talking about hanging everyone in Washington…..
Besieging Congress again, etc.
What’s funny…..
These comments had a very “wooden” feel….
…..and, had NOTHING to do…..
…..with ANYTHING I wrote at the time.
(Back then, I was 100% Ukraine war.)
Sure, perhaps it was a few random autists.
But more likely, it was this guy:

No One On The Inside, Ever Sees ANYTHING Coming
I keep hearing from the “SVB should have hedged” people, LOL.
They don’t give up.
Here’s another one.
He’s more “knowledgeable“, but just as clueless.
Nice guy (gave me $15 after I wacked him)…..
…..but, such a perfect “case in point.”
Almost no one on the inside…..
…..ever sees anything coming.
Here’s one of his comments to me:
There is a gigantic market for interest rate hedges (called swaps) that matches financial institutions who suffer when rate go up with those that suffer when rates go down and neither party wants to be too exposed – and the investment banks step in to solve that problem. You are wrong on this aspect IMO.
My response:
Thanks, I also saw your other comment in which you provided more hedging details, and briefly summarized your resume.
Like my wife who also works finance, as a technical specialist, you have difficulty seeing the forest for the trees. Of course, one can hedge. It’s technically possible.
But if everyone (or even just, all deposit banks with an overweight bond portfolio) is hedged the same way…..
…..and then interest rates (or whatever else) shift HARD…..
That will blow it all up, to the same extent as if there was no hedging at all, because the losses would be THE SAME, no matter who is called to absorb them.
There’s never enough absorption depth in a situation like this.
Your beloved investment banks (or whatever other counterparties) would be beating down the Fed’s door for a bailout, as usual.
(Alternately, if SVB had hedged and other banks didn’t, you’d now be hearing about the other banks.)
That you STILL refuse to grasp this, no matter how many pictures I draw, is not surprising, seeing as so many large U.S. corporations melt down and disappear, or at least need a bailout at one time or another. Almost no one on “the inside”, ever sees ANYTHING coming.
My wife BTW worked a top financial role at a large entity associated with SunEdison. She refused to see the obvious collapse coming, and we lost $45,000 because she didn’t listen to me and sell her award stock in the narrow window that she had available to do so, before the blackout period that slightly preceded (and overlapped with) the crash.
She was convinced the stock would go up and up. On the other side of the two-month blackout, when the end was upon us, she’s like, “It was a ponzi scheme.” Yeah, babe. A little late. What a difference, two months makes. But it’s the same story, every time.
My advice to you, stick with treasury operations, and leave the Big Picture to the bloggers.
It was ALWAYS OBVIOUS that the Fed would massively blow something up, and then “pivot”, because these rate hikes WERE NOT going to work.
Some of the smartest people in the country, put down huge bets on that. But those smarties work in hedge funds, or they daytrade, whatever.
They’re not people like you.
Folks, allow me to repeat…..
…..(because I love to hear myself talk)…..
“It was ALWAYS OBVIOUS that the Fed would massively blow something up, and then “pivot”, because these rate hikes WERE NOT going to work.“
If you can’t grasp that…..
…..you CLEARLY work in finance, LOL!!!
Incidentally…..
“Should have hedged“…..
…..is now a firm, Republican / conservative talking point.
Or, more fully…..
“Woke bank… goddamn commies… should have hedged… no bailouts!!!”
LOLOLOL.
Another reason…..
…..why you should check out of politics.
It’s not JUST that Republicanoids…..
…..are subhuman.
They simply have no solutions now.
No one does.
Believe me, I’d have LOVED…..
…..to see no bailout for SVB…..
…..and the Fed NOT handing out $300 billion…..
…..to the banking sector…..
…..over just a few days.
Because, I’d LOVE for Mad Max…..
…..to come to my neighborhood…..
…..so I can shoot the squirrels in my backyard…..
…..with my special edition, 6.8mm AR-15…..
…..and there would be NO police on the way.
(And, nothing left of the squirrels.)
But, this time…..
It was not to be.
Sorry, Ted Cruz.
Better luck next time.
A Message About My Locals Account
Folks, I’ve got PLENTY more…..
…..for the Ukraine war addicts and lunatics among you…..
But first…..
Among other things…..
If you were waiting for my videos on Locals…..
Please listen to this, below.
(If you were not, please ignore.)
Also, a quick admin note, in writing.
Please, follow my Twitter…..
…..and be sure to “like” everything you’ve read.
Some of you have been great…..
…..about “liking” the recent stuff.
But, please scroll down…..
…..to the January and December tweets/posts…..
…..and “like” those as well.
If you can’t afford to do that…..
I understand.
Not everyone can do it.
I don’t judge you.
HOWEVER…..
In that case…..
You can always give me some money.
Another Republican Phony
Just take a look at the headline…..
…..on this “tongue bath“, LOL.
Sorry, Rubes.
You don’t get to be the leader…..
…..on fighting Chinese economic…..
…..and lobbying influence.
In 2016…..
…..I read your presidential campaign platform.
80 percent of the economic section…..
…..was about breaking the unions.
As if, unions…..
…..were 80 percent of our economic problems.
LOL.
Even as a “conservative“…..
I was disgusted.
There was NOT ONE WORD…..
…..in your economic plan…..
…..about China.
Now, you want to do something?
Re-shore everything?
It’s too late.
Quit posturing.
Like 98 percent of Federal-level Republicans…..
…..you’re a phony.
And, your comms director…..
…..going to the Amazon Post…..
…..to sell your new “plan“…..
…..is DISGUSTING.
Yeah, now that the Dems…..
…..realize the China problem…..
Your staff go to their media…..
…..to line you up…..
…..for a tongue bath.
Have some dignity!
I guess Fox…..
…..or even the Wall Street Journal…..
…..is not worthy…..
…..of your grand policy ideas, huh.
You’d rather advertise on the Dems’ turf.
And then, people wonder…..
…..why Republicans…..
…..are the PERENNIAL OPPOSITION PARTY…..
Even when they’re supposedly in power!
But, hey…..
Perhaps you were just following…..
…..Trump’s lead.
He was, also, constantly looking…..
…..for MSM affirmation.
May have stopped in the past year, I dunno.
I no longer pay attention.
But, he did at least one network news interview…..
…..even in 2021.
Dumb, dumb, dumb.
Some U.S. Army Units Left Holdings Their Dicks
May I remind everyone…..
…..that Uncle Sam claimed to have provided…..
…..somewhere between 142 and 158…..
…..M777 howitzers to the Ukraine…..
…..and his colonies, gave another 10.
The VAST majority…..
…..(I dunno, perhaps all)…..
…..of non-Soviet model, towed guns…..
…..given to the Ukraine…..
…..have been M777’s.
At this time…..
There is video or photo documentation…..
…..of over 100…..
…..Ukrainian non-Soviet model, towed guns…..
…..destroyed or heavily damaged by Russia…..
…..(ALSO, there’s been LOTS written about barrels worn out from overuse, making **MANY**—like, tens and tens—of the M777’s inoperable, even in the absence of damage from enemy action)…..
…..and yet…..
…..the Ukraine still has…..
…..PLENTY more of these things, in action.
Yes, there may be some “double documentation“…..
…..(whereby Russia provides aerial video, and the Ukros show the damage from the ground)…..
…..but any such cases…..
…..likely pale in number…..
…..to those which haven’t been documented at all.
In short, as usual…..
The U.S. Government lies and obfuscates.
The REAL number of M777’s…..
…..sent to the Ukraine…..
…..is probably AT LEAST HALF OVER…..
…..the declared number.
Why have they not admitted…..
…..to the REAL number?
Because, given the REAL number…..
There are OBVIOUSLY…..
…..some U.S. Army and Marine Corps units, right now…..
…..who are left holding their dicks, no cannon.
And no cannon = no training.
That’s why I say, holding their dicks.
What else can they do?
And, our authorities…..
…..don’t want to advertise that.
And our State Media…..
…..won’t report on it…..
…..without “authorization.”
As far as I can tell…..
The powers have also NOT announced the provision…..
…..of Switchblade 600 kamikaze drones…..
…..to the Ukraine.
Why not?
Well, you see…..
Even though everyone in the fight…..
…..already knows about it…..
Because these things have ALREADY been used…..
It’s still, like, officially, a big big secret (LOL)…..
For the next BIG OFFENSIVE…..
And our State Media…..
…..would never undercut that.
The Kids In America
“Sensitivity” lectures at my son’s school…..
…..have been so effective…..
…..that now, for the first time ever…..
…..(or the first that I’ve heard from him, anyway, and he’s in seventh grade)…..
…..there is a veritable EPIDEMIC…..
…..of ethnic epithets being hurled around.
The “N word” is in the air.
Hispanics are “border jumpers” or “taco munchers.”
East Asians are “ching chongs” or “ching chong ping pongs.”
Indians are “golly golly”, or something like that.
And…”whites” are “albinos.”
Folks, I think the sensitivity lectures are working.
What do you think?
I’ve Warned Of the Dangers Of Believing Your Own Propaganda
Here’s Zelensky’s wife on Psycho Joe.
(Please ignore the Russian subtitles, I caught this on a Russian source.)
I’m not sure Psycho bought her tomatoes story…..
But it doesn’t matter.
He’s just the State Media, providing the platform.
No doubt…..
Most of his viewers bought it.
What the hell is Shillary doing here, BTW?
So weird.
Karma’s A Bitch
Or, Don’t Call For the Destruction Of Carthage…..
…..If You Live In Carthage

I’ve got a “longer paragraphs” format here…..
…..and, what the hell…..
…..I think it looks better in italics.
The U.S. and its hegemonic bloc threw everything they had at Russia to try to freeze its reserves, collapse its banks and its economy, and cause street protests and a revolution. They failed totally, as I predicted to my mailing list (pre-blog) in January 2022.
They tried to isolate Russia, they threatened everybody, failed utterly. Most of humanity is not buying it. Even Israel told Uncle Sam to lay off. There are still FAR MORE people “living under democracy” (remember India?) within the Russian axis or the nonaligned countries, than within the Hegemony.
They put their Green Agenda on ice. The German Greens, forgot why they got elected. Germany started reopening its “mothballed” coal-fired electric plants, and in fact, its old COAL MINES!!! Greta Thunberg protested the latter, in person, but no one cared. All of a sudden, the Earth doesn’t matter. We’ll all be under water (allegedly), but at least we’ll have defeated Russia, LOL. And, the U.S. made peace with Venezuela.
They blew up 3 of 4 Russia-to-Germany gas pipelines, the greatest act of international piracy in history. They violated their own laws to seize and auction the property of Russians in their countries, simply because those guys were rich and Russian—no crime proven or even (genuinely) SUSPECTED. They unlawfully seized Russian shares in German gas storage and the oil pipeline in Poland. Hundreds of companies (Siemens among the largest) suspended or otherwise violated their contracts with Russian firms, in the absence of any force majeure trigger.
In Germany, they closed bank accounts of a Donetsk-oriented blogger and even her mother, ultimately chasing them out of the country despite their German citizenship. Finnish border/customs officers confiscated cash from hundreds of Russian tourists crossing the border back to Russia… just shook them down, just because. Among other musicians, they fired the greatest living operatic soprano from her job at the New York Metropolitan Opera, because she would not explicitly condemn her home country. The governor of Texas ordered state liquor stores not to sell anything Russian. And so on. It doesn’t compare with crimes of the past, but, it was the greatest panic-hate campaign in the USA since the roundup of the Japanese.
They have since cleared out essentially all U.S. and European stores of antitank weapons, MANPADS, M113’s, and certain other weapons or military vehicles. Even the missiles for the HIMARS are running so low, the State Media is not authorized to write about it. (They’re barely launching any now, saving them for the “Big Offensive.”) Most East European and ex-Yugoslav countries have handed over all of their tanks, and their entire air forces. Uncle Sam is so concerned about his 155mm rounds running low, he had to pay South Korea to send its own. He also recently procured over 160 ocean shipping containers of Grad rockets from Pakistan. He bought Soviet tank optics and electronics from Morocco (had to recognize the occupation of Western Sahara in exchange), and sent that to Czechia, to be installed on tanks for the Ukraine. It’s the biggest international arms juggling operation in history, there’s never been anything like it. They’re sending everything into this Black Hole.
They have over 150 Government and private satellites staring down—they’ve provided detailed targeting information to Ukrainian forces, every day, since March 2022. They advise Ukrainian generals on a 24/7 basis. The UK has admitted to sending hundreds of its SAS and/or Marines into the Ukraine. Poland has sent up to several thousand of its “ex” (nudge nudge wink) servicemen into the Ukraine. The UK’s former prime minister urged Brits to go fight in the Ukraine. Uncle Sam has a secret program to build attack drones for the Ukraine.
The gayest-ever U.S. Senator, called for Putin to be assassinated. They went so far as to put out a warrant for Putin’s arrest, shortly before the Chinese president’s visit to Moscow, just so they can—and they’ve started it already—run with a story about Xi visiting a war criminal, how dare he, what a shame, LOL. (As if the non-Western world cares about America’s PR game, LOLOLOL.)
Just over a year after all this started, the entire U.S. banking sector was shown to be insolvent (due to interest rate hikes) after one mid-sized bank reported a measly $2.1 billion loss in its bond portfolio, and ultimately ended up with about a $15 billion equity hole.
LOL!!!!
Folks, as I’ve written more than once, if you call for the destruction of Carthage, make sure it’s not YOU who lives in Carthage.
This is only the beginning, because as I’ve said (not recently, so here it is again), karma is a bitch, and I think God has finally had enough of the USA.
We’ve got less than two weeks left on my prediction that a “new and improved” pathogen (some korona varyant, or, as I later added, possibly the bird flu) will arise, and then, quickly tip everything over in the immune compromised, mRNA-vakksed countries.
It would be funny if that actually got going by March 31st, but regardless, it’s coming, and a lot else is coming. I think it’s no coincidence the arrest of Donald Trump is coming shortly. I think 2023 is the crazy year.
I expect this country to be so far in the gutter by late 2024, there won’t be any point to an election, if we’re even able to have one.
If you haven’t yet, stock up on Ivermectin and Tamiflu. Both are available from this reputable, New Zealand online pharmacy.
No, I have no business relationship with this pharmacy. I don’t get paid to advertise for them. They are simply, in my experience, very good. Of course, I am NOT a medical practitioner of any kind. DO NOT self-medicate until/unless Mad Max is upon us, and you actually get sick, and even then, don’t take it unless you KNOW what you’re sick with. DO NOT take “prophylactic” doses, that’s crazy. Research the correct dosage, and DO NOT overdose. Be aware of any potential drug interactions. Lock it up, don’t leave the stuff out for your little kids to play with. Don’t give it to your dog. Don’t be stupid. If you insist on being stupid, don’t sue me.
PS: My “ridiculous spelling of korona-related terms policy”, is still in effect. Make it korona, kovid, vakkseen, vakk-sin-ayted, eppy-demmik, pann-demmyk, vyrus, imm-yoo-ni-tee, and so forth. Comments not adhering to policy, will not be published. Thanks for your understanding.
Permanent Feature
I will repeat this in every post…..
…..(except “headline only“, quickie posts)…..
…..until it’s no longer relevant…..
…..and/or we’re no longer here.
Assuming we make it to 2024…..
…..and have an election…..
The wonderful governor of Florida…..
Ron DeSantis…..
If elected President of the USA…..
Won’t do much of shit…..
…..other than get us into a war…..
…..with our supplier of everything.
That is, China.
Because that’s the track we’re on.
Trump tried to take the rivalry in an exclusively economic direction…..
But he was removed.
And now… THE CAKE IS BAKED.
Yes, I’m waiting for another pann-de-mmick…..
But the only strictly “political” issue now that matters…..
…..is how hard the U.S. will fight…..
…..and risk everything…..
…..(including, me and my family)…..
….to hold on to its Hegemony.
And… the “public” has no say in that.
Will NEVER have a say.
I can’t remember the last time the “public” had a say…..
…..on anything that really mattered.
Because we don’t fucking matter.
Anyone who plans to keep voting…..
…..(above the local/state level)…..
…..and legitimize U.S. Federal politics…..
…..and the destruction of their own country…..
…..and perhaps the world…..
…..is a “battered wife“…..
…..or just a FUCKING IDIOT.
(However, even if you’re an idiot, you should still give me money, for all the work I put into this blog. Or, at least, follow me on Twitter, and be sure to “like” everything, even the old stuff.)
Donations
Please support my work, here.
COMMENTS POLICY
Comments and any associated weblinks or other references must be directly relevant, tangential, and responsive to specific facts or views within my own published material (not just to other comments), specifically the material above the given comments section that you are adding to. What this means, for example, is if I wrote about dogs and cats in the Ukraine, and only dogs and cats in the Ukraine, please don’t start babbling about life in Lugansk, or the horrible loss of life in general. THIS IS NOT A “DISCUSSION BOARD.” IT IS NOT A DEBATE PLATFORM TO DISCUSS IRRELEVANT HISTORICAL QUESTIONS, OR TO INJECT YOUR OWN PET SUBJECTS / INTERESTS, PHILOSOPHICAL MUSINGS, OR RANDOM RAMBLINGS THAT DON’T DIRECTLY, SUBSTANTIALLY BEAR ON WHAT I WROTE. Please, no disjointed / overcaffeinated rambling, which implies, among other things, no mentioning eight different topics in one comment, like a schizoid aiming to connect all the dots (if your mind is racing, take your Ritalin and calm the fuck down before you comment on this site); no “pet issues” or inquiries that have no direct bearing on what I wrote; no unclear/unexplained, irrelevant, or barely-relevant weblinks; no trying to write your own mini-blog news update digest in my comments; no batteries of questions like what about Donetsk and what about Kiev and what about the Big Offensive and how does this all end and where does blah blah blah (I will NOT respond to you, I will BLOCK you); no asking me what I think of some commentator whom I’ve never heard of; no Nazis; no Nazis pretending to be Jewish like “I’m a bar mitzvah boy, but I’m so ashamed of my people who are not the real Jews of Jesus’ time“; no “crypto” Jew-hating (when I have to read it three times before I’m sure it’s about Jews, then I permanently block your wise ass); no dogmatic Marxists; no using anti-Ukraine jargon or other “Nadsat” bullshit-speak that you picked up from The Saker, which no one outside of you and your freaky virtual friends can understand (e.g., Ukrops, 404, the vimiratis); no calling for the destruction or dissolution of the USA or its government; no calling for the destruction of Washington, DC; no calling for violence against current or former elected or appointed officials of the U.S. Government; no nonconstructive or hateful ranting about Jews (or Swej, Joos, Jooz, Jooze, Juice, Juize, Jewz, Jewze, J-Dogs, J-Dogz, J-Dawgz, J’s, Chews, Choos, Chooz, Chooze, Zionists, Zio-Nazis, Anglo-American Zionists, Amerizionists, Zionist Occupation Government, ZOG, IsraHell, Bibi SatanYahoo, “those of whom we cannot speak”, “your friends whom we can’t talk about”, “a certain small ethnic group”, the chosen, the tribe, the chosen tribe, the thirteenth tribe, tribe of Judah, the Khazarians, Khazarian mafia, Rothschilds, Khazarian Rothschilds, JewTube, JooTube, JewMerica, JooMerica, etc., etc.); no being nasty to other commenters; no trolling the “sysop”; no passive-aggressive needling of the “sysop” (I don’t acknowledge, I just BLOCK and you’re gone, “one strike” and your ass is out, GO GET SOME THERAPY); no dissing or ragging on the Insane Clown Posse, no Chupacabras, no “country music”, no karens or avocado toast, no complaining that your other comment wasn’t published (because you’d didn’t read this Comments Policy), and no claiming “the korona doesn’t exist because vyruses don’t exist.” Please share your ***CONCISE*** (2 smartphone screens of small font text is NOT concise, I don’t have time to read your dumb fucking manifesto, gawd dayyuuum!!!), relevant, coherent, organized thoughts, and come back for my next post. Also, by commenting, you expressly accept and agree to my “one bullet, one Nazi” policy, and please be advised, this includes Nazis everywhere, even in the Ukraine. Furthermore, if you are a LibJew/DemJew, you are BANNED from commenting on this site UNLESS you acknowledge the extensive presence and influence of Nazis and other fascists in the Ukraine, who don’t give a fuck that they have an allegedly “Jewish president”, because they’re still (in many cases) getting paid by the state, and they’ll “take their country back from the Jews” once they take care of the Russians (can’t slit all throats at once.) If you can’t acknowledge it, then get the fuck out with your “Never Again” bullshit. Also, no scrubs. If you don’t know what a “scrub” is, please consult the TLC video on YouTube. Although scrubs exist in ALL ethnic groups and populations, a very good example of scrubs, is all the poor young black men who get shot dead, and then the moms are like, “He had such aspirations, he was going to be a rapper.” Yeah, they were all going to be famous rappers, all the thousands of them! Sure!

Now I’ve rereread the comments policy. Good stuff. Sorry for my past digressions…
As per the kids, HA! The is exactly as I would expect and admire. Does anyone watch South Park? Those are the kids I’ve always known. I’ve always wondered if the adults who think this way were ever kids. No kid wants to be bludgeoned with facts about how horrible this or that might be and that they are “responsible”. Life is still wide open and something to be welcomed with an open mind and love and humour, not fear, especially fear of what adults think. Give a kid the ability to wield some power, any power, and they’ll do it, damn the torpedoes. And if they can be ironic?? Whoa, watch out…
I’m sad that you won’t be developing locals, but you don’t ‘owe’ me anything. Consider my anticipatory subscription a donation in lieu of coffee.
This is one of your best posts yet Jacob.The part you italicized especially is must read for anyone who is still clueless about this war imo.
Well, I must say that I normally listen to a YouTube vid in the background while reading emails, but you demand my full attention. Pity I’m in that old age and poverty level you let slide on donations. So THANKS ALOT !
Thanks.
Two short comments and a question:
1. On Hedging: You don’t have to hedge everything, only parts that are at most risk and/or you will need to liquidate before maturity. For example, if you think – according to a realistic risk model which I admit is hard to do – that 20% of your depositors will pull their money, then you hedge the same amount on your bond holdings. There isn’t enough insurance to hedge all kinds of risk or it will get so expensive that it won’t be worth it and even if someone offers it to you on the cheap then you probably don’t want to take it from them (e.g. AIG in 2008). That said, still doesn’t guarantee things won’t blow up, just part of life. SVB should have converted the long to short term paper as soon as rates started going up .. that’s the only safe way
2. On Korona: Take a look at IgG3 -> IgG4 antibody class switching (https://youtu.be/nGK0_Swm5Ng). This is a slow moving train wreck but its effects will be felt for years (if not decades). In short, what this does is allow the vyrus to replicate while holding the immune system off. What you get is people dying suddenly months after getting a breakthrough infection that looks like it cleared but never did. So I think that instead of one catastrophic event the catastrophe will be stretched out over years – hence ignored and hard to prove – but the science backing it up it already there. Not discounting the possible virulent immune escaping mutation event, but I put it less likely.
Question: What are the chances of Poland (+ Romania or some others) getting in officially after the collapse of UKR? Judging by their rabid comments and the propensity of US to push the next in line over the abyss seems they are next in line. What do you think (will happen after the AFU collapse)?
Credit Suisse is fucked(-66% only today). UBS is next major fuck up there to. Then Deutsche Bank, goodby euro nice knowing you. Then JPMorgan, City Group, Goldman Sacks, Bank of America. Epic clusterfucked of epic proportions, historians will have a field day. What times we live now. Buy gold and weed.
The last 20 yrs but especially the last 3, feels like it’s a controlled demolition of all institutions. 15 min cities, vacks passports, digital ids, and digital currency are just around the corner. Tyrannical solutions to manufactured problems
I believe the primary motivation for many, perhaps most, leftists is encapsulated in the old aphorism, “Misery loves company.” For whatever reason, there appears to be a black sucking void where their souls should be. It can never be filled, thus their constant pain and rage.
Do all FBI agents wear purple neoprene blazers when they use a computer or is it just this guy?
Dreizin said, “How many trannies are there, anyway?”
Speaking from experience, I can say definitively that there are very few of us. I would like to make sure that your readers do not imagine that I am a threat, but its too late for that since as you say “… gullible, impressionable idiots drive everything in my country.”
As to my reading comprehension … dont worry about it. Its just that the first time I was physically assaulted for being trans was on the operating table at the UNM cancer center, by a nurse. How surprising to me is it then that a right wing pundit does not want me dead, just marginalized. What a relief.
I don’t care about your this or that. You’re not a “threat” here, no one cares, this isn’t a Baptist sunday service, you’re just an attention-seeking troll. News Flash: It’s not all about you.
As for the cult, I don’t want my kids growing up with “alt lifestyle” normalization / glorification propaganda aimed at them by the LGBTQ+++++ cultists.
If it’s a Disney cartoon about some gay kid, fine, if some kids want to watch that. (It won’t be many.) Then when they hit 14 or 15, they can watch Rocky Horror, they will know what it’s about before they watch. But, don’t stuff “alt” characters or situations, gratuitously, into every Disney/Marvel film, just to convince pre-teens that this lifestyle is hip and desirable. Kids are zonked and confused enough as it is.
But, not worried about it, because it’s all going away. I lose sleep over nothing… except when I pull all-nighters for this blog.
What are you doing here, anyway? You don’t seem happy here. You’ve got your head mega-deep in your ass if you think this is a “right-wing” anything. In fact, you’re responding to a post in which I called Republicanoids “subhuman.” Again, no reading comprehension… or retention, I’m not sure. You seem kind of zonked out.
Also, very fragile and narcissistic, like it’s all about your gender thing. I don’t care about it. I’ve also been assaulted, more than a couple of times. So what? I’m not a licensed therapist, find another listener. Better yet, get over yourself. Stop with the pity seeking and attention seeking. Everyone has problems. You’re not unique. Possibly, you’re not even special.
You’re trolling, but you won’t find what you seem to “need” here. I won’t attack your identity, nor will I allow other commenters to do so. You’ll have no grounds here for further self-pity. I don’t give a crap about your this or that. In my book, your sin is NARCISSISM.
Dreizen says, “We will also see a triumph of traditional values, to include the near-disappearance of the woke/LGBTQ+++++ cult.”
Im curious. What is your ultimate solution to the LGBTQ cult? LGBT and yes, Q people will always be around, (or not, perhaps) do you intend to execute them all? Do you intend to put them all in concentration camps?
Jeezuss. I said the cult, not the people. Your reading comprehension isn’t too hot, is it? You might wish to work on that.
In my observation, most of the cultists are perfectly hetero. Especially the ones who push the “trans” crap. How many trannies are there, anyway?
I live in a 65% Democrat area, and as far as I know and remember, I’ve seen only two (and, one of them might have been a mere cross-dresser, not actually “transitioning”) in the entire time since the trans crap blew up in 2016. That’s two, in seven years.
The whole thing is a con wrapped inside a social psychosis. It’s clearly temporary.
As to “how” it will be overturned… The pendulum will swing back HARD to “traditional”… and then some… once people become more worried about food, utilities, security, etc., after Varyant “X” (and possibly, other, concurrent disasters or tragedies) strikes and shakes the place up. It will be an organic process.
The key here is the stupid ass “soccer moms” a.k.a. secular/rootless, college-educated, suburban white (and some assimilated “Asian”) women. It’s painful to admit, but these gullible, impressionable idiots drive everything in my country.
But, once they shift, it’s over.
Better yet, perhaps we’ll shift from a female to male-centric politics. It just depends on how hard the country gets shaken up. You know, Mad Max is a guy. We’ll see what happens!
Well, good to find a source for Ivermectin and Tamiflu aka “anti flu”. Had already laid in the doxy and other anti biotics used for various maladies of a bacterial nature.
Thanks for this posting…..got some items I considered verfified……so maybe Im not nuts after all.
Mainly though, thanks for the time and effort Mr. Dreizin, much appreciated sir
I like ’em both, but In general I prefer blogs over videos. When you included your own videos within your posts, that was great.
Your style is definitely unique, but I definitely like it. It will be interesting to see if anyone copies it.
I’ve never used buymeacoffee before, but I’m headed that way now…
Dear Mr. Dreizin,
Your italicized synopsis of the West’s actions over the last year is excellent. What is still confusing to me is why Europe would commit economic suicide by slavishly following US dictates, which are clearing damaging to almost every country in NATO, particularly Germany. From almost the beginning of the SMO, I compared what was happening in Germany to the Morganthal Plan, and I see nothing to change my mind.
Germany has been the economic engine of the EU and it is quickly dismantling its industrial base. I have read in various European periodicals that over 1,000 industrial companies are making serious plans to off-shore their production due to energy costs. Dozens, if not hundreds, are already in the physical process of doing this. Friends in Europe, who I have spoken to, confirm this is happening.
I can just about understand the evil people leading the USA, but I find it very hard to grasp Europe’s abnegation. Any thoughts you might have on this would be appreciated.
Well let’s just say there is something (and I stress ‘someTHING’ not someONE’) at the top of the foodchain, and it clearly scares the living crap out of European leaders under it’s control…. who knows maybe ‘V’ wasn’t too far off the mark lol
Excellent comment/question. It’s really quite simple. You can probably answer it yourself, you don’t need any blogging experience.
Ms. Realpolitik, from the business party, Merkel, who defied the USA over Nord Stream 2, led Germany for 16 years. She hogged all the oxygen, then checked out after her last-minute, handpicked lesbian (like her) successor failed to impress. Her successor regime proved to be… a bunch of clowns.
The new chancellor being a former youth antinuclear/anti-NATO activist turned establishmentarian (like Truss and others – these types vaccilate and have no bearings.) The new foreign minister being just a pretty face, from a freakish party of enviro-wackos and Anglo-American style homo-wokes.
The Ukraine “crisis” came just as these people were getting used to their new jobs. Being new and inexperienced, they evidently figured it was easiest to build credibility, fast, by acting tough on Russia.
With that decision, they turned off their brains and free will, defaulting to the longtime CIA / Marshall Fund, “Atlanticist” conditioning of the German political elite, returning their country to the status of a U.S. colony, like West Germany circa 1955.
With Germany knocked off, all other EU countries (except Hungary) quickly followed. Who are they to resist?
Sure, France could have (theoretically) found its own way, but its leader is a former investment banker with a Eurointegrationist-globalist agenda. Who else? Italy? Not a sovereign state, forget it.
It’s funny, I recall there was some expectation in Washington, DC, in the 2000’s, that the consolidation of the European Union (and the Euro currency) would create an independent power center in competition with the USA.
Instead, what it’s done is put formerly very feisty countries such as France, Italy, Greece, etc., into a straight jacket, where they have to toe the line on everything, to include Russia sanctions as well as emptying their arsenals for the benefit of the Ukraine. (Granted, France doesn’t “have” to do anything, but again, look who’s in charge.)
Also, the addition of rentier parasite East European, Baltic, and ex-Yugoslav states to the EU, has shifted the balance within the European Commission much more towards states that lack their own will and global interests, states which are just looking for a bigger handout from Brussels, as well as an arms-and-bases handout (from the USA) as a benefit of their NATO membership.
These generally weak, rentier states (coupled with America’s NATO “crowbar”) make it easier for the EU to operate as a bloc under “external guidance.”
(Essentially, they play the same role as black voters and activists within the U.S. Democrat party. Not leading anything, no real ideas or direction of their own, just there for the benefits, wholly surrendering their minds and will in all other respects, and VERY easy for “distant”, devious interests… i.e. the white woke crowd, the white MSM, and Soros-funded groups and candidates… to lead and manipulate.)
In short…..
Rather than being an independent power center, the EU has obviously become a tool for the U.S. to (indirectly) control and channel against Russia.
And, it all comes down to the EU’s early 2000’s expansion… coupled with the “bad” timing of Merkel’s departure, relative to Putin’s war schedule.
Like a butterfly flapping its wings… or “for want of a nail”, etc. Amazing!
How am I doing for “geopolitical commentary”? I think I just gave you five years of Mercouris in under 600 words. Just looking to save people some time!
And, aiming to keep it much more fun and interesting. You know, Mercouris will NEVER say “homowoke” or even “rentier parasite”, on his show.
I understand he’s got “mouths to feed”, but, having blogged for just a year, and after only two months of holding out the hat and telling his most loyal groupies to fuck off…..
I’m down to as few as 3000 loyal, regular readers… but I’ve been able to establish a full-on second income with 460-some donors, no YouTube, no Google ads.
If you’re good, you can be free and you don’t have to compromise.
If I did it, Mercouris can obviously do it, because half of my “peak” audience came from him.
But, if you’re greedy, no moral grounding, and you want to run after every damn penny, sure, you compromise… and you don’t stop compromising.
Beyond his endless droning to keep you watching his YouTube ads… Folks, where is the dignity?
Why constantly watch someone who YOU KNOW massively censor themselves? Not merely in vocabulary, but more importantly, in choice of topics, overall focus, the very premise of his product?
Pretty much on the money.
Merkel isn’t entirely blameless. I believe she actively worked at ensuring there were no strong challengers within her party which contributed to some extent, along with other factors, in their loss of popularity, which helped to lead to the mess of a coalition in todays German government, leading to brainwashed / brainless ideologues Habeck and Baerbock in key positions.
Love your work, it really is a big help to try and decipher what the hell is going on.
Brilliant, once again:
“Ukraine doom was set in motion in 2014.
The successful U.S. takeover of the Ukraine…..…..carried the seed of its own defeat.”
Even if in the end, your pan-Dem-ickk predictions are delayed or fall short, there’s clearly something happening. For example, https://open.substack.com/pub/markcrispinmiller/p/bruce-springsteen-amanda-bynes-rod?r=ae4z3&utm_medium=ios&utm_campaign=post. I know several young men at a local university who after a therapeutical juice got carditis or have gotten sick four times in the last two months. One just described to me a terrific rash after his second treatment.
Thanks. 100% we will have a much worse pann-de-mmyk (kovid, bird flu, both, or something else) within the near enough future, and the mRNA vakksed-and-boossted will not do well at all. It will bring on extreme inflation, and radically change the U.S. political landscape, throwing everything upside-down. We will see substantial political decentralization, as “red” states with lower vakks rates pull far ahead and assert themselves. We will also see a triumph of traditional values, to include the near-disappearance of the woke/LGBTQ+++++ cult. Lastly, we will see a severe weakening, and possibly the end, of U.S. Hegemony.
But, I should not have set a date for the appearance of this pathogen. Lesson learned. Although, still some days to go until March 31st. Who knows?
Also, it would be funny if those who laugh at me now, are “sheltering in place”, or dying, or dead, come April or May… or anytime. Who laughs last, laughs best.
Couldn’t agree more about voting. Total scam. Over 70 and yet to “cast” a ballot
Back in the ‘aughts’ when Silicon Valley startups had big stock option plans, I worked for one of those companies. Jim Kramer used to tout the company and my options ended up being worth good money by the time they vested. I didn’t get along too well with the bosses and was eventually invited to explore alternate career paths. Shortly afterward, during an earnings report black-out period the stock lost 90% of its value, screwing everyone still working there but since I wasn’t employed by them, I exercised and sold when the report hit. Some of my former colleagues still there, and therefore blacked-out, wistfully asked me after the crash if I had cashed out my chips. Yep.
BTW, if you tell people you have a 6.8 instead of 5.56 rifle, the difference in ammunition cost might make you look profligate with donation money. You should play poor and talk about a .22LR so it sounds like you really need our dough.
https://montreal.ctvnews.ca/quebec-to-offer-free-antiviral-flu-drug-in-pharmacies-1.6192420
1) Now they are creating concentration camps in the areas where the pro-Russians live for those who do not want to die in “Bakhmut”. It may be that they are collecting the industrial-sized cannon fodder that they will unleash in their planned “I don’t know where- I don’t know when” attack that they keep talking about.
2) Missiles of pickled tomatoes LOL. The first lady of Ukraine is likely to snort something stronger than her husband. They should hire her as a NATO advisor to save money.
As a former Dem I worry that you are not explicit enough when you advise people not to vote on the Federal level. So, I will try to fix it here:
If you believe in maintaining the ecosystem, think it is good to be fair to minorities and the poor, and believe in equitable foreign relations that promote peace, DO NOT vote for any democrat at the federal level. If you do, you are a closet NAZI, and a fool.
I cant replicate your style, sorry.
Like Bob O., I think that we need a Robespierre. I think we also (a la Russel Brand) need to try to get beyond the divisions that the powers that be propagandize us into.
While I am begging to be insulted, or worse, I might as well point out that, for those willing to see it, AGW and peak affordable oil is starting to make a big difference. Your pain-demic may never happen because other things (e.g. starvation) will happen first.
When I read about politics in the US, I see that we have something similar in Europe. There is no party you can trust. In fact, our clown became a president of gov because of the right wing itself. So, he got together with the separatists, left radicals, …, promising them the fulfillment of their dreams and now he is leading the country to ruin: LGTBIQ+ celebration month…; animal protection law with fines that make you want to have no pets; legalization of zoophilia, so soon we will have a new type of diversity: zoo-trans; law of rapists releasing; law of squatters who can easily occupy your home and it can take you years to kick this mafia out of your house while maintaining the supply, because if you don’t do that, they can denounce you; etc. ). And of course, all the problems are due to Putin. This year we have the elections, and I’m afraid that the situation will happen again.
Spain?
Yes, Jacob.
I’m a me two’er mooch who loves your acidic realistic rants that traipse around the lunatic asylum we call our world. On your decision to pull the plug on Locals, perhaps all those Rumble/YouTube mooches that don’t read are actually bots that can’t read? I’ve gone back ,as you requested, and liked your old posts on twitter but being a luddite I’m curious as to why this is important? As far as the Banksters go, they with their big flapper foot clown shoes on could give two hoots about how many of us little ants they step on. Me thinks Bill Ackman probably shorted the hell out of certain banks and is carrying home gobs of money. Many others like him feasting on the corpse of America. But I digress, keep up the good work, your posts always readjust my trajectory to keep centered on the toilet bowl we call our world.
Jacob,
Unlike boyovich above, I love that your posts are all over the place. I got turned on to you while you were still doing Ukraine only; but the multiple subjects posts, combined with your humor and sarcasm, made the blog even better imho. Great stuff. Even your comments policy makes me laugh.
Hope to hear more from you about the financial crap show. Keep up the good work.
Me too! Forgot to mention it in my rant……
In todays crazy chaotic world, being Autistic helps me maintain, and hopefully retain some semblance of sanity.
Will miss your videos Jacob, your are so charismatic hehe 🙂
Me three. Was going to comment about how I love these posts (the longer the better. The more ‘all over the place’ the better), etc. You’ve done it for me. So I’ll just give you another like. I’m a ‘reader’, and I can’t read enough of this blog…again and again.
A quick comment on the bank hedging issue. I’ve worked on hedging S&L portfolios (well, back in 90s) and I still do buy-side risk management. There are both regulatory and reporting requirements regarding managing bank interest rate exposure. That said, the Asset-Liability Committee makes assumptions regarding the duration the liabilities. The duration assumptions on the liabilities assume normal operations and as such this is an accounting estimate. The bank run situation involves a sudden decline in the expected duration of the liabilities (i.e. the deposits), not an unexpected increase in the duration of the assets. So you’re quite correct in saying the issue is not with failing to hedge the known duration of the assets. The problem is the unknown duration of the liabilities.
You really got a 6.8 AR15? In Ireland I get to defend my home with harsh language, but I’m quite proficient in it. You are however correct 2023, will be an “interesting” year, I think a big “Western” citizens especially European, will be in for a big shock when the Ukrainian hot potato gets dropped after Ukraine collapses and the real mess has to be cleaned up/payed for
The Cockroaches running the empire from the shadows have managed to corrupt most of the international organizations – the IMF was always an instrument of US hegemony but now the ICC, (of which the US is not even a signatory!), the Olympic organization, various UN organizations, the OPCW and its disgraceful whitewash of US-funded jihadi atrocities in Syria, even blaming it on the Syrians, just as the imperial cockroaches blamed Russia for the Ukrainian war crimes in Bucha (still a talking point of ridiculous incompetent figureheads like Ursula van der Lyen). And the only solution the cockroaches can come up with is to continue to lie, the most ridiculous lies that only complete retards could believe, and to silence and censor anyone who disagrees with their stupid narrative, even if they tell the truth.
The problem is the empire, the problem is the corruption of the elites who run it, they are hostile to the actual people who pay for everything – they sell them out for a nickel, it is hard to resist concluding these are truly worshippers of the bad guy, moral degenerates, who lie habitually, who think nothing of arranging the deaths of hundreds of thousands (using hired guns because they are physical cowards) , complete and utter garbage. How did we get here? How did these scum come to rule? I don’t see many solutions that don;t involve massive anti-elite violence – which is as it should be, in more honest times these cockroaches and their entire families and clans would be erased from the planet so they would never be able to even exist to do their evil again.
BUt it is still pretty comfy in the heart of the empire – it’s only the edges which are being destroyed and the inhabitants killed off remorselessly – Ukraine, Syria, Libya, – these people are sacrificial victims to their bloodthirsty god. We shall see what they manage to inflict on us until we get somewhat wise and eradicate the cockroaches.
“In more honest times… and their entire families”, yikes. Perhaps so, but not on this blog. Likewise about eradicating the cockroaches. Here, we urge peaceful change, and acknowledge the FBI is always reading. Please tone it down, next time, or I will flush you. If you’re in the northern hemisphere, the flowers will be out very soon, go and smell them. And if you’re autistic, my advice, stay off the comments boards entirely, they’re no good for you. Go build something, or have a real human interaction. Do something healthy. Thank you. All the best to you!!!
This is a genuine comment, not a troll. I’ve noticed over the years that a lot of blogs and YouTube channels I follow eventually turn into doomsayers whom make confident and convincing predictions about global cataclysms that invariably fall short of the mark. Is there something inherent in the information sphere whereas people whom are entertaining and charismatic enough to garner a following often fall into this trap? For instance your korona prediction sounded rational however there is so many variables that in hindsight it was kind of crazy to give such an exact and short time frame for everything to play out. Regarding economic meltdown predictions, I think the powers that be decide when a bank needs be sacrificed or saved, the details do not matter and if a recession is coming it will be because they think it’s a good time stop the gravy train and “reset” the system which could be years away or it could be next week.
Yes, lot’s of doomsaying out there. I’ve been very careful NOT to predict any sudden financial-economic “collapse”, not by a certain date, and not at all. Instead I’ve said repeatedly, it will be inflation that brings the house down, economically and politically, and I’ve pretty much left it at that. And, unlike Ritter and others, I have not predicted any “Russia will win by” endpoint to the war. As for the vyrus situation, yes, I should never have given a specific “deadline” date. That was fun, but dumb. However, still got some days left, we shall see!
First place I have seen the timing of the ICC warrant on Putin as being linked to Xi’s pending visit so as to be able to create propaganda that he is visiting a war criminal. But it makes a lot of sense. If you cannot win a real war then try to win the PR one, I guess. Although, of course, the pending Great Spring Offensive to conquer Moscow will no doubt turn things around.
The IMF is breaking its own rules to fund UA, but this is not the first time.
They’ve done this before years ago, I forget the details, breaking their own rules for UA.
The first post Maidan cabinet had an American, a Georgian, a Latvian, and some other foreigner. Can’t memorize all these details. What country has a revolution, installs a prime ministers that is picked by another country, and install 4 foreigners as cabinet ministers?
[No. There’s no punchline answer. Rhetorical question]
I don’t think that the Fed’s actions can be considered only within the framework of the US economy. Rather it should be assessed as though the Fed is the World’s central bank trying to pursue the US national interest. That being said, the aggressive rate hike is not going to do much good within the US, they just bet on that other banking system will come down first, so that all the world’s dollars come back to the US, probably helping with the liquidity bottlenecks etc. So I don’t think that the Fed will pivot based on the domestic banking system’s insolvency, they will just come up with one more bail-out acronym, the latest being BTFR or something. They will pivot only when they break Europe and probably Japan (Credit Suisse is, to all intents and purposes, nationalized, the SNB just threw $50B equivalent, they are more bankrupt than Ukraine), and that will happen soon, arguably when the next energy crisis commences.
PS The article is a bit long, it’s hard to follow Ukraine, then finance, the Zelensky’s dumb wife, then Rubio, then the virus, then the Ukrainian finance, it’s like the roller coaster, you get a bit of a headache.
(1) Take your headache, and shove it up your mooch ass. You like to comment but you haven’t given me a cent. I don’t need any complaints from you, freeloader. You have no right. Get the fuck out. Blocked, banned.
(2) If there is a net increase in “liquidity” (money) coming from the Fed, it’s a pivot, duh. If they raise their rate by another 0.25 points, but shovel out (just as an example) $800 billion to the banks in a month, the tightening is over. They’d also look really dumb. We’ll see what happens.
All the dollars come back? How will that work? What will they buy and get in return?
Of course the Fed is the world’s Central Bank. American prosperity is based on the temporary arrangement that their role in the global economy is to have the only goldmine, so to speak.
The banking system is bankrupt. Everybody forgot to mark a loss each year as the interest rate declined, parallel to how you state a gain when your own liabilities (bonds) are discounted by the market because your credit rating is diving. The real fun will start when those derivatives that support the whole system start to sway, because it’s turtles all the way down.
JUST WAIT AND WATCH HOW THE PRIVATE FEDRES DOES WHAT IT HAS ALWAYS DONE (DOLE OUT BILLIONAIRES THEIR RESERVED CURRENCY WHICH HAS BEEN RESERVED FOR THEM AND NO ONE ELSE)!
IF ANYONE THINKS THE FEDRES IS GONNA FIX ANYTHING THEN STRONG SUGGESTIONS ARE HEREBY GIVEN TO RUN TO THE NEAREST MENTAL INSTITUTION FOR NECESSARY REPAIRS OF YOUR DAMN BRAIN!