Citizens: Do not try to plug Чё с ебалом? into Google Translate, it will be wrong.
Чё с ебалом? means something roughly like, “Why the long faces?“
But, much more rude.
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Yes, Russia’s understanding of the entire Ukrainian battle plan has been published online by a source with a long history of receiving information from the Russian military. I have translated it for you. It is further below. First:
Latest updates
Since two weekends ago, Russia has launched well over 100 cruise missiles and Iskanders, up to 100 long-range suicide drones, and 100’s of glide bombs, damaging or destroying (inter alia) many tens of Ukrainian depots/stores/stashes containing MANY tens of thousands of howitzer and tank shells, mortar bombs, and MLRS rockets/missiles.
With the Ukraine ALREADY well short of what it needed for effective offensive operations, likely at least one-quarter of Ukrainian munitions for “The Big Counteroffensive” (“TBC“) have been destroyed in the last 10-11 days.
Meanwhile, the Ukrainian sabotage / terror / psy-ops campaign that (per WW2 practice) was meant to COINCIDE with the start of TBC… has already largely happened and fizzled.
They delayed TBC… but the chaos ops trigger has obviously gone off as per timer.
Examples:
→ ALL-TIME HIGH of 22 or 23 drones attacking Crimea on Sunday were ALL shot or downed with radio warfare.
→ Assassination of the writer Prilepin was a FLOP. His driver died, but Prilepin was back on social media within 36 hours. At least two of his failed killers were picked up by regular beat cops, one of them a woman (go ladies.)
→ Six of eight members of the hit squad aiming to kill directors of the Zaporozhie nuke plant were identified, some may have been arrested (I’m not sure), one blew himself up to avoid arrest (I saw the video.)
→ Moscow and nationwide May 9th parades concluded with no “surprises.”
Russian General Staff are now planning the next “Bakhmut“, as I told you a few posts ago.
That is, PMC Wagner is coming to the next town. We will all hear its name soon.
Чё с ебалом?
Complete Ukrainian TBC Battle Plan for the Zaporozhie Front
(1) Break through the Russian forward defense along the line Nesterianka-Novosyolovka (6km and 19km southeast of Orekhov, respectively) into the defense depth of Guards battalions in the Polozhsk-Orekhov sector, utilizing, in the first echelon, the 47th and 65th Separate Mechanized Brigades, 9th Army Corps (total of 2 tank and 7 infantry battalions—8300 men with up to 60 tanks, up to 200 other armored fighting vehicles, up to 110 field pieces and mortars, 12 MLRS, up to 100 motor rafts.) Breakthrough of the contact line will be in the order of the 65th which is already on the line, then the 47th. Neighboring units including the 128th Separate Mountain Assault Brigade will carry the task of harrying neighboring Russian units so as to prevent reinforcement of Russian forces at the main axis of advance.
(2) Subsequently, deploy the main forces. The main blow is to be from the vicinity of Orekhov, in the direction of Tokmak, ultimately towards Melitopol’. By way of sequential deployment into battle of the first echelon (116th and 118th Separate Mechanized Brigades) and second echelon (117th Separate Mechanized Brigade) of the 10th Army Corps (total of 3 tank battalions and 9 infantry battalions—12,600 men, 89 tanks, 267 other armored fighting vehicles, 145 field pieces and mortars, 18 MLRS, up to 130 motor rafts, up to 170 antitank missile launchers), within ten days reach Veseloe northwest of Melitopol’ and Mordvinovka south of it, ringing Melitopol’ primarily from the east and holding those positions.
(3) To support the main blow, direct a secondary blow in the direction of Romanovskoe, Grigorievka, and Primorsk (28km, 46km, and 100km southeast of Orekhov, respectively), utilizing a grouping of airmobile forces (82nd Separate Parachute Assault Brigade, 71st Separate Ranger Brigade, and part of the 46th Separate Airmobile Brigade [DON’T BE CONFUSED, THESE UNITS ARE STRICTLY GROUND-BOUND AT THIS TIME), a detachment of the Azov, the 132nd Separate Reconnaissance Battalion, and Tactical Group 4 of the Separate Center for Special Operations – designation “West” (total of 1 tank and 13 infantry battalions—12,900 men, 14 tanks, 364 other armored fighting vehicles, 136 field pieces and mortars, 13 MLRS, 227 motor rafts), advance to the line of Urozhainoe-Chernigovka-Verkhnii Tokmak (34km, 41km, and 52km southeast of Orekhov, respectively), so as to cover the left flank of the main axis force as well as to threaten an advance from the west into the flank and rear of the Russian 35th Army.
(4) Subsequently, to build on these efforts by directing the 46th Separate Airmobile Brigade and the Azov detachment to conduct raids—avoiding towns and main foci of defense—in the direction (not necessarily reaching these towns, the “XXkm” may be depth-of-advance targets, not actual town positions) of Mordvinovka, Stepanovka Pervaya, Botievo, Primosrk (11km south, 29km southeast, and 40km and 75km southeast of Melitopol, respectively.) After which, to gain control of the southern portion of Zaporozhie Oblast’, to include control of Chernigovka but not yet entering Melitopol’ or Primorsk, and at the end of 8 days, reach the Sea of Azov coast from Stepanovka Pervaya to the western suburbs of Berdiansk, with the goal of preventing a marine landing by Russian forces.
(5) Separately, from the Guliaipole area, advance south to Pologi and thence in the direction of Berdiansk with the 33rd Separate Mechanized Brigade and the 102nd and 110th Separate Brigades of Territorial Defense (total of 1 tank and 9 infantry battalions, of which 6 are Territorial Defense—10,000 men, 31 tanks, 108 other armored fighting vehicles, 53 field pieces and mortars, 4 MLRS, 52 motor rafts, and 48 antitank missile launchers, so as to split the Russian forces and complete the encirclement of the 35th Army from the east (in tandem with the airmobile force group coming from the west) and subsequently enter the northern suburbs of Berdiansk, and to besiege the city.
(6) In general, with the goal of maintaining a high tempo of advance, all cities and large towns will be bypassed and cut off / surrounded, to include, Tokmak, Pologi, Molochansk.
(7) Simultaneously, conduct a river crossing and assault the area of Kamenskoe-Vasilievka, using the 128th Separate Mountain Assault Brigade, 15th Tactical Brigade of the National Guard, and the 415th and 425th Separate Rifle Battalions (total of 1 tank and 10 infantry battalions—7600 men, 41 tanks, 148 other armored fighting vehicles, 129 field pieces and mortars, 308 motor rafts, and 69 antitank missile launchers), with the goal of reaching towns and villages 10km to 25km west to southwest of Melitopol, linking up with the main force described in (2), and thereafter supporting an advance on Dnieprorudnoe and Energodar from the south, at the same time as helicopter-borne and riverine infantry assault the Dniepr shore (near those towns) from the north.
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. google translated it to me as ‘what’s up with the fuck?’ which to me clearly translates in proper English as ‘What the fuck’s up?’ which always comes with the implied ‘with you’ or ‘with it’ or ‘generally’.
A common query in circles I’ve frequented and it can be merely rhetorical and conversational or directly threateningly confrontational.
I mean, what the fuck’s up with you guys that you don’t know that?
. Is the war plan supposedly real or just an illustration for a joke? If real then where did you get it and what chance of it being still operational and what foreseeable difficulties in implementing another and what’s the chances of a whole misinfo op?
, I can’t understand the war plan without the help of maps and arrows and stuff. Nothing like going to be put anywhere?
Did I not write: “””Citizens: Do not try to plug Чё с ебалом? into Google Translate, it will be wrong.””” ???
But, thanks for your vast expertise.
Check it out….https://www.moonofalabama.org/2023/05/ukraine-sitrep-delayed-counteroffensive-russian-defense-lines-weapon-efficiency.html#more
this post was cited by the Moon of Alabama
I am really tired of daily updates on Bakhmut — for nine (9+) months. A building won there, garden there, 200 meter of street there…
All this is a bloody tiring soap opera, making Ukrainian fighters appear nearly invincible, mighty Russian army and air-force almost comical — all together a major embarrassment to Russia.
I am not an expert on anything military but if each city will be in the end utterly destroyed to be liberated — this conflict will be endless – or as long as the fascist US and its European vassals finance and resupply by now already apparently 4th Ukrainian army.
If so — this does not look good anymore for anybody involved…
There is VERY little comprehensive information about the true form of battle coming from Ukraine – even 4-6 month after a certain battle. On the other hand there are hoards of unemployed “specialists” for past wars scattered all over the “Non Ukraine” world flooding us with information for nearly a year and half now. Most fighting yesterdays, last years and last centuries wars. Never admitting mistakes. Add to this the abundance or out of context clips, photoes and animated maps – and what you get is often a bogous picture almost of the same size (or bogousness) of what the hysteric public thought about COVID back in April 2020. A witty person said once about Economists that “An economist is someone who can explain why an economic plan failed”. Well… same can be said about “Military experts” – they are the best in explaining why something DIDNT happpen as they predicted.
Yeah, that’s why I don’t do “tactical daily updates” anymore. Haven’t done that for 11 months already.
As for “unemployed”… Don’t be an ass. Many of the known names earn likely FAR MORE than you. Some of them have become millionaires.
By “unemployed ” I obviously mean that they are no longer taking part of the “action”. Not that they are jobless or broke.
Not “obvious” at all. And, really dumb. Of course they’re not in the “action.” As if someone who works in the Pentagon, CIA, or MI5/6 is going to start a YouTube channel about this war?
And if they don’t work for the Pentagon, CIA, or MI5/6… they are “unemployed”? Get outta here. Of course, it’s all people on the outside.
As for people on the inside, judging by what the MSM conveys from them, they are as clueless as anyone. They may have more data… but their conclusions are almost always, way off.
Very grateful for the content and the dry humour. I just feel deeply sad how so many men are just being slaughtered and maimed for the sake of the corrupt elites pushing all this. I do not care whether they are Ukrainian or Russian. All of this was avoidable which means to me it was intentional. True evil is playing this game. I have never despised our leaders so much as today.
Sending big, blocky, German tanks, named after big cats, adorned with white cross, sinking into the mud… I am sure, Russians never saw things like this, nor they are prepared…
The Wagner boss thing seems a stunt aimed at both disrupting any TBC and keeping the grinder of Bahmut for a bit longer. This guy knows how to play the social media like a fiddle and how to make theater unlike most Russian politicians. In my opinion what he did was to sow confusion among the political wester elite ( who unlike RU listen a lot more the media than their own military and generals who in turn just nod their empty heads in agreement looking for the next promotion) . He is trying to bait UA to stay committed a bit longer to Bahmut to a sort of last squeeze of the meatgrinder. Sane military people, would not take the bait but I guess the Wagner boss knows UA and West are greedy for political and PR victories and decision making prevails in that direction. Immagine what blow would have been if Bahmut almost conquered has been magically regained by UA and Wagner pushed back to the outskirts of the city. E.g. This would be the crem della crem of political blows to RU military and top brass. A blow bigger than any counter offensive or taking hundreds of KMs of empty land. The Wagner guys knows that so he aimed for a convincing theater play to either meddle in the recourse allocation of the TBC or and get a few extra bodies into the meat grinder,
Wagner’s N1 remains and will mostly be always the “Henchman”, Does not matter if he grew the PMC to a 50-60 k strong globally or even to 100 k in 2-3 more years. It is all done with the grace , will and resources of the “One True Ruler of Middle Earth”. These guys remain private military arm of the president. Think of them as the Kings guard.( To Kenj) Do you honestly believe the Henchman will turn on the King and sow open public RU infighting and RU state media , “da King” and RUSCOMDANZOR will allow this video to go live or seen the screen ? Whoever thinks that is beyond dum dum.
Prigozhin was scheduled for holiday from the start once the Bahmut job was done. Now when he leaves the scene they ll see his departure as a punishment even if the bait did not work. RU army definitely has corruption and inefficiencies in it ( duuhhh like any fucking army) but in PMCs ( especially such a one belonging to Lord Sauron ) they are bred and selected to “serve the one ring”.
Prigozhin is a smart fuck , otherwise he would not have been able to accumulate the biggest PMCs globally ( even if for the time of the conflict)
An audacious plan surely concocted by some woke transhuman at the Pentagram, next they’ll claim US military documents were leaked online.
I love the comments as much as the blog itself. A lot of wit there.
well, it sounds familiar to other grand lofty plans of days gone by… the similarity between the place name of Guliaipole and Gallipoli speaks to this.
What’s up fuckface? (that’s how I would translate “Чё с ебалом?”)
Here is a present for you. “А чего ебальники такие грустные?”
This phrase would make a better title, and sounds more genuine.
So Ukraine has roughly 60,000 men and 300 tanks for its counteroffensive.I would say it’ll take a lot … a lot of luck for its success.Which is why they are starting to calm down the public expectations.
Before, they were saying wait for it, just wait … it’s going to be so awesome.
And now it’s … be patient, it’s gonna take time … and probably more then one counteroffensive.
What I’m afraid of, this bullshit is going to continue for another 10-20 years, like in Vietnam or Afghanistan.Russia is clearly there for a long run, it’s obvious they are not looking for a quick conquest anymore.
Russia is planning to rebuild newly acquired territories, and it takes time and resources. They might need 2 more years to finish off Mariupol.
Which is why they are gonna concentrate on positional warfare.
The US, on the other hand, is going to support Ukraine for as long as they are printing green paper with dead president pictures on it.
What’s your opinion? Is it possible that it’s going to continue for another 20 years?
Hello. Thanks for your excellent comment.
“What’s up fuckface?” is not correct. Ебало is the face specifically, not the person generally. This phrase is clearly asking about the face.
As for the number of men, I added it up in my head, and got around 50,000. Even worse for the GLOBOHOMO side.
No, I don’t think it’s possible that this goes on for years. The USA is now making clear that a full-scale war cannot continue beyond this year. I am VERY surprised that so many smart people (mostly, Europeans) in my audience, have not picked up on this at all. It may be that the U.S. Government’s “cues” on this matter, as conveyed in the State Media, have not yet reached Europe and been sufficiently parroted in the local media. Anyhow, I have recorded an audio track about Uncle Sam making noises about wiggling out of the conflict, and will publish it within the next few days.
I had to delete your question about Wagner ammo. Per my Comments Policy, I don’t publish material that doesn’t touch upon my latest topics. I wrote nothing about the alleged ammo shortage.
If the Russians negotiate a settlement at the end of this year on any terms other than complete demilitarization for the Ukraine, Nato will take a couple years to bolster its military industrial complex and then push for a second round. I dont see the Russians agreeing to anything other than very unfavorable terms for Ukraine.
“Appear weak when you are strong, and strong when you are weak.” – Sun Tzu
I’m not buying that the west doesn’t have enough shells and tanks. On the contrary it looks like they would like to escalate regardless of the price. What Globohomo cares about is power and “population optimization” (divide by 8). Which is why they are not planning to stop, in fact they are just starting.
Yes, we do get signals that the population on the west is not happy with their living standard declining because of war. But pondemic events have shown that politicians don’t really give a f**k about the opinions of regular people.
Those people have plans and elections is just a minor bump on the road to the Globohomo)))
Believe it or not they are already pushing Globohomo laws in Ukraine. I guess we don’t have more urgent issues to deal with.
– (журналист спрашивает) У Вас, наверное, был план, и Вы ему следовали?
– Да (с умным ебалом). У меня был план (уверенный утвердительный кивок) … и я ему следовал (непоколебимое ебало) LOL
“Everyone has a plan until a guillotine slices their head off” – Louis XVI
Trust the expert on Russian foul language matters (mat), and that is in my opinion Mr. Jacob Dreizin.
Btw, recently found a reference (linguistic) article
“A systematic approach to Russian Obscene Language”
(by Felix Dreizin and Tom Priestly, 1982)
Hello ?
Yes, that was my dad.
Given the context, “Чё с ебалом” was good enough to convey the meaning. And if you translate it as “What’s up fuckface?”, then you would have translated it wrong. No idea why you read it as “what’s up, someone” instead of “what’s up with something”. Maybe your perception of English speech is not as good as you think yet, my dude?
I assume you were aiming for the closest alternative. Then the option “А чего ебальники такие грустные?” overloaded and sounds caring a little. I’d suggest “Чё ебалом приуныли?”, which is not necessary to suggest, but at least it saves the teasing better.
Regarding: “”No idea why you read it as “what’s up, someone” instead of “what’s up with something”. Maybe your perception of English speech is not as good as you think yet, my dude?””
I can’t figure that out, either. Maybe he’s autistic. Sounds really tone-deaf and “in his own space.”
Bold plan. Boldest plan since the Schlieffen Plan. Game changer.
Deepl is far superior to Google when translating: Чё с ебалом? was sufficiently available in its true off-color tone.
Ukrainian TBC Battle Plan for the Zaporozhie Front? BRILLIANT!
In fact, it makes a perfect script for an animated narration over a map showing main / important geographic features, along with the places that you have named (and also others that have some collateral importance), with the graphics marching along over some plausible relative time line, that is, “this happens, then followed quickly by this, later by that.”
Yes, genuinely daunting, as not even internationally-known historiographers are able to consistently provide their best-selling books with good clear simple maps that locate every town or feature the author thought important enough to discuss in his text..
But it would be MAGNIFICENT!
Thanks, og
I wonder how many more Ukrainian feints there will be until the Russian haymaker finally sinks into their jawlines. This is turning into a decidedly one sided and (slightly) boring tennis match, Russia being the player sitting in a lawn chair, reading a newspaper whilst simultaneously bashing whatever the Ukris deem fit to serve up without even looking or batting an eyelid. Of course, the psychos in Washington and their short-leashed lapdogs in Europe are all the more foaming at the mouth because of it. Madness.
excellent as usual – but I missed your “Heyyyyyy Folks”
With the top Russian military brass in disarray and Prigozhin voicing dissatisfaction I am confident the Ukrainians will make huge gains with the new influx of US aid and arms package
Absolutely, the guys are being on a roll. Look at Kharkov, they killed at least 3 million Russian soldiers there and took the region despite Russias mega-defense. Then Kherson, heroically conquered, another two million Russians dead. You just have to admit that the Kokainians are the reincarnation of the Kievan Rus, the Visigoths, the Normans, Romans, Franks, a fuck it, everything!
I hope South Korea sends its artillery shells, then Russia AND China are Phuket!
Ok, I laughed.
Along Google Maps, the battle plan could be put in “civilian terms” as such:
“we take highway 408 south of Orekhov, then after crossing the Tokmak McDonalds (whatever), take hwy 401 south towards big city Melitopol, then take hwy M14 east to the Primorsky hyper market”!
Total distance ~100 miles; 160km;
Total resources for just this part of the trip: 20K men, 150 tanks, 467 armored vehicles, 255 mortars, 30 MLRS,…
“Complete Ukrainian TBC Battle Plan for the Zaporozhie Front” as presented must also have air force cover. The minimal stock of old aircraft reportedly supplied to Ukraine obviously won’t suffice, so I would assume Nato intends to provide a whole lot more (including pilots), which in conjunction with new long-range missiles will put the RF’s AD to the test and escalate the conflict to (possibly declared) war between Russia and Nato. Then things will get really ugly.
Nope, that’s not happening. They have to make do with moral support from the air, only.
Thanks for the update. I know its a lot of work producing this. Total failure is everywhere here.
Looking at the wider picture, the Western gov’s really are living in lala land if they think they can continue to keep its populations in the dark to what is actually going on. The West has or is very close to running out of military support for ukriane. A big factor is, live bodies on the ground to fight. They must be very close to running out. At least the willing ones.
I am watching with great interest to see the squirming that will occur very soon. What a bunch of idiots we are ruled by.
Just had a revelation.
With US/UK/NATO focused on the war in Ukraine, their ability to make mischief in the rest of the world has declined dramatically. So what are African, South Asian and South American leaders up to now that they are more at liberty to do as they wish?
Now that would be an article for the ages if only we had a real journalist to cover it (and yeah, I’ll buy another coffee for that).
So the Ukrainian Army is… well, it’s… Finally Unblocking Crimean Key Enemy Defenses.
A snappy acronym is needed for the operation.
Not to be confused with Operation Польный Пиздец
You know that saying don’t put the phrase through a translator means I’m going to put it through and see if my phone self destructs or something. Alas, no entertaining self destruct, and yeah the translation is wrong. LOL!
Important strategery safety tip: If you’re running out of blammo, don’t go on a very public world-wide search for it, and admit to a lack of manufacturing capability, because it might tip off your enemy to go after your munitions depots. Larry, Moe, and Curly are alive and well apparently, and running the war effort for Ukraine whereever they are.
One of your best blogs I’d say….
Thanks for sharing. It’s interesting that the numbers of equipment for those 13-14 brigades is not much more than what was listed for nine in the Pentagon leaks (which obviously could have been deliberate disinformation). How much of that stuff do you think they’d have to lose before they give up?
This sounds like the longest suicide note in History
LOL
Если послушать Стрелкова или Грубника c Мурзом, то ебало может действительно вытянуться.
I absolutely love the no holds barred hubris, acceptable when backed with successive overflowing rail cars of accurate “guesstimations”
A plan it is. Too deep for me to understand let alone argue for sure. I’m just guessing that the superiority in all axis of battle, being recon, by way of SBA and human, mechanized, SOW, Air that has just rounded first base without even attempting a dry hump yet, and finally…manpower, will have other plans for the kokainKLAN! But I suppose the incompetence of the Russians who’ve been out of munitions for nearly a year must never be underestimated. The failed drive of the RF’s yard sale brigade to yield enough washing machines will surely prove to be the undoing of the SMO
I’m an IF’s Kinda knuckle dragger
What if the western narratives are “real”
If yer aunt had balls, she’d be yer uncle
Are they smoking crack? (I mean yes, Zelensky quite literally does, but still…)
Now, I’m not a military genious, but back in 2022, during the “Great Kherson Counteroffensive” (GKC), the AFU struggled from late august / early september until early November to take even a dozen kilometers of ground against a Russian army that was resupplied across the Dnyeper river. What makes them think that they’ll be able to achieve 50-60-70 km breakthroughs within 10 days?
They are planning to advance 6 times deeper into enemy lines 6-8 times faster than what they did last year? That would be a whopping 3 600% performance increase. In the GKC, they took 2 days to advance 40 kms or so and take the abandoned Russian positions.
The Ghost of Kiev will save them!
In 1940, after the defeat in France and with the British Army in no position to prevail against the Wehrmacht,Winston Churchill created the “Special Operations Executive” (SOE). The object was, as Churchill put it to “Set Europe Ablaze”. I.e. ferment Sabotage, Assassination, and General Terrorism. With the UK a major cheer leader for the Zelenski Regime, no doubt the same thinking prevails.
This Ukrainian battle plan for what I call Ye Olde Greate Springe Counteroffensive seems to be of the same school as the German preparations for Operation Sealion in 1940: to wit, take for granted that the enemy forces magically disappear or at least sit doing nothing while the (unrehearsed and chaotic) attack is underway. The Germans were at least intelligent enough to realise that without air superiority (which they did not get in the Battle of Britain) even their delusional plans had no hope of success and called the whole thing off. Whether Zelensky will depends, one assumes, on his NATO owners’ orders, not on his own volition.
Their hubris is as mindblowing as the fact that the nature of Ukrainian security services has become openly terroristic without the slightest criticism in Western media.
Those whore-services even passively support those terrorist attacks – “Russian rightist writer blown up”, “Russian nationalist murdered” – “Close to Kremlin politician killed” – In the first words of the headlines they do actually suggest that it is fine to kill Russian public figures because they are bad anyways. They are “rightists” and not humans and, therefore, SHOULD be killed.
This is the self-conception of systems which claim to be “democratic” and to push “human rights”.
The Ukr govt have added a bonus to there digital governance site, which Russian should be assassinated next. 0ver 50,000 citizens have responded to the online poll already.
And that’s which Russian JOURNALIST should be killed next. Not General, not Minister, but journalists. Nice.
Don’t expect too much from an alliance that attacks it’s members.
All these units are concentrated somewhere…Id order up simultaneous FAB1500 ArchLight messenger service then see what condition their condition is in…Air defense is minimal, why mess around, go “down town.”
A lot of my war, is woven in, take the cuffs off and go for the win.
Has Zelensky or the Ukrainian Mega-General Zaluzhny or any member of The Freakshow (Budanov, Podolyak, …) asked the Russians if they could please postpone ALL their military activities during TBC so that TBC would be successful? I guess from the Ukrainian point of view a big part of their “planning” (with a strong “input” from the North Atlantic Titty Organisation) relies on a physical phenomenon where a wormhole sucks all Russian forces, planes and equipment in until the Kokanians (not my invention, Baerbock called the country Kokaine) reach the Sea of Azov.
I hope the Ukrainians have read General von Moltke where he said that no plan survives first contact with the enemy Or Mike Tyson where he said: Everyone has a plan until they get punched in the mouth.
I plan to take a nap this afternoon and I suspect I have far more chance of success than any plan cobbled together in a bunker in Kiev to take back any part of the Donbass. Then again, before that happens someone may punch me in the mouth for being a smartarse. Who can say?