I’m retiring… until January. Hanging up my hat for 2022, got too much other stuff to deal with.
Here’s another monster mash-up, MY LONGEST-EVER, to keep you busy. We got juicy stuff for POLICY MAKERS, JOURNOS, and AMATEURS alike.
The addicts who come back for my Ukraine material, like a guilty dieter hitting the fridge at 2am, will have to scroll down a bit, but if you can do that…..
I’ve got PLENTY of dope for you…..
…..including, the Zelensky regime CRACKDOWN on the Ukrainian Orthodox Church (you mean, the MSM didn’t mention this?)…..
…..and Azov HUMAN SACRIFICE (like, feeding the Old Gods)…..
…..and, how the U.S. House GOP’s pending “audit the Ukraine aid” drive is a BIG JOKE…..
…..and, the bitter truth about the Ukraine’s manpower situation (you won’t find this level of deep background, truthbomb analysis ANYWHERE else)…..
…..and the REAL picture on casualties of the war, no propaganda or wishful thinking, you will see this NOWHERE ELSE…..
…..but first…..
…..unique Dreizin perspectives on the Musk/Twitter situation and Bitcoin. (Also, “dinner with Kanye“, some Variant X stuff, and a note on commercial real estate, worked in here and there.
Are We Supposed To Cheer?

Free speech is being saved by the world’s number one conman.
This says everything about the state of America today.
Long before I got into blogging…..
…..smart people were pointing out that the alleged main “engines” of our economy, are giant legalized fraud and/or ossified rentier/skimming operations…..
…..or “at best”, speculative bubbles that could never exist without constant huge inflation of the money supply.
Tesla (the stock at least, maybe the whole idea) is one such bubble.
Many conservatives cheer Elon Musk as a hero for single-handedly returning free speech to the Internet.
All good people everywhere, especially those fired for refusing the vakk-seenz…..
…..were psyched to see thousands of nasty censors being fired, most with no immediate prospects as the dotcom sector downsizes.
It was like God’s judgement. It’s great.
But let’s not forget, Musk bought Twitter because, when he first committed to buying Twitter…..
…..his Tesla stock was at or near its peak (world’s most valuable company, LOL)…..
…..and he needed to cash out, before it really crashed…..
…..(it fell quite a bit before the deal was done, in large part because others cashed out in anticipation of Musk cashing out)…..
…..and find some other PR gimmick to run with, to soothe his need to be the center of attention.
Now, picture a late 19th century “snake oil” salesman, sneaking out of town ahead of the lynch mob.
That’s Musk.
Musk has a problem that many are aware of, but almost no one is writing about.
Supposedly, Tesla once claimed its batteries are good for at least 350,000 miles…..
…..but, they’re now only warranted for 100,000 to 150,000 miles (depending on the car model) or eight years, whichever comes first.
(With most Tesla drivers being work-from-home sorts, and with no chance to drive a Tesla cross-country due to lack of charging stations, and, this not being a “drive your kids to practice” type of car… eight years is likely to come MUCH sooner for most.)
And, even during those eight years…..
Tesla only guarantees charge retention of 70 percent of “new” (!!!!!!!!)
Yes, this is all in writing.
What does it tell you?
It tells you that AFTER eight years…..
…..Tesla expects your battery performance to fall off a cliff, if it hasn’t already…..
…..at which point, the car (at least, if a lower cost model) will be nearly worthless…..
…..as you could almost (not quite, but close enough) buy a cheaper car, for the cost of replacing those batteries alone.
But, it’s actually MUCH worse than that.
A few years ago, Tesla’s were still rare on the roads.
Now, you can’t drive 5 minutes, daytime, on a major road in any large city or suburb, without seeing at least one, perhaps many.
So…..
Once EVERYONE’S battery starts to run down, i.e. hundreds of thousands, a million each year…..
…..what will THAT do to the replacement battery price?
(Keep in mind, Tesla would still have to make batteries for new cars, they wouldn’t stop everything just to sell replacement batteries only.)
LOL, right?
At that point, just go ahead and buy a new car, your Tesla is SCRAP METAL.
But… before you can sell it for scrap… I assume it will be on you, to pay to separate out and dispose of the half-ton of toxic batteries.
So, in fact, you’ll have to PAY to dispose of the car.
It will have NEGATIVE value.
Obviously, Musk is a conman.
I’d love to see the financials on his private space company, but I’m not holding my breath.
It could be years (or as likely, never) before it goes public and shows its numbers.
We can assume that, despite all its government contracts…..
…..it’s losing tons of money, and is only being propped up by Musk’s profits from sales of his Tesla stock over the years.
So, free speech is being saved by the world’s number one conman.
(You might say he’s not a conman, as he merely rode the trend of “green” cars; he just took advantage after the country already conned itself. Actually, no, wrong. It was Tesla that “single-handedly” brought back electric cars—dead since circa 1910—at a time when the Big Green Thing was hybrids. Tesla started PR hyping its “Roadster” in 2006, and began selling it, albeit in minute quantities, in 2008, over 2 years before any other company released an all-electric vehicle for the mass market. In fact, the Federal electric car tax credit was started in 2008, specifically with Tesla in mind. The major, major entity I worked for at the time, was lobbying for that tax credit as part of its anti-oil agenda, and our lobbyist who led on that (they hired him because he had been chief counsel for a Senate energy committee chairman) was talking up Tesla constantly, even though they were only selling perhaps 100 cars per month, at the time. He was basically co-opted and turned into a Tesla lobbyist, working for them, essentially, although my employer paid him. He was conned, my employer was conned, Congress was conned, the public was conned. Tesla invented the electric car con. Of course, Musk did not invent Tesla, but he did provide early financing, and then took it over and helped make electric cars a conversation item on Capitol Hill and in the media.)
So, no, I’m not cheering.
Again, it’s DELICIOUS to see thousands of censors being canned.
But, we are still totally f*cked.
PS: As I’ve written previously, Twitter is doomed, no matter what happens. It’s now OBVIOUSLY peaking in terms of account volume (who cares how many users you got, if they’re not paying, and half your advertisers have quit?), but, how many under-20, or even under-25 year old’s, maybe even under-30 year old’s, do you know personally or through your own relationships (not talking about some celebrity), who have a Twitter account? That is, not running some company account, but for their own self? None? That’s what I thought. The medium has gone stale, and frankly is just toxic. Musk will have to find another racket eventually… if his Tesla stock holds up, LOL.
Bitcoin Is The Biggest Financial Fraud Of All Time… And Illegal (Yes, Illegal)
Thanks to a reader tip, I went further down the rabbit hole with Bitcoin.
It turns out, “Satoshi Nakamoto“, the alleged name of the mythological founder of Bitcoin……
…..(who came down from On High, and bestowed the Holy Bitcoin unto His Prophet, a programmer and small-time software entrepreneur named Gavin Bell, then raptured back to Heaven like the Blessed Buddha)…..
…..means, literally, “wise one, of middle (realm) origin” in Japanese.
While it does not mean “Central Intelligence”……
…..it is probably the CLOSEST you can get to “Central Intelligence” in a genuine, believable, Japanese name.
(So genuine, in fact, that some reporters actually tracked down a guy in California with that very name, in 2014. Of course, that was just some random guy.)
As I’ve mentioned…..
…..Bitcoin was created then “laundered” to a lucky civilian who ran with it.
This is standard practice for the CIA, MI5/6, etc…..
…..which have been laundering fake news bombshells to journalists for generations—and more recently, passing intel revelations (e.g., accusations against Russia) to be announced by state-aligned “private intelligence” middlemen such as Bellingcat.
It seems what the CIA/NSA did…..
…..is INVENT THEIR OWN MONEY.…..
……leaving themselves (i.e. it’s verified that the creator held on to) 750,000 Bitcoin—valued at over $47 billion at the high—to pay foreign agents, fund coups and revolutions, etc…..
…..in an untraceable way (i.e. not traceable directly to any person who uses an anonymous “wallet” and guards their IP address.)
And, all totally off the books.
Literally one giant slush fund.
It is, in fact, a VIOLATION of the U.S. Constitution, Article I, Section 8, Clause 5…..
…..which gives Congress sole authority to “coin money”…..
…..(later universally interpreted to include bills and digital dollars, not just coins.)
(Obviously, Congress long ago delegated that authority to the Federal Reserve, that’s their right to do so.)
And, the Supreme Court ruled over 200 years ago…..
…..that Congress’s power to create money is EXCLUSIVE (that is, it has to be Congress or someone working under its authorization.)
Of course, if it’s really some guy in Japan (LOL), it’s not unconstitutional…..
…..because it didn’t happen in the USA.
But if it’s a U.S. Government agency, acting on its own, then… it is illegal as hell.
PS: Bitcoin cultists among my readers (any few who have not yet unsubscribed) are free to comment as to WHY my conclusion regarding Bitcoin’s origin is unreasonable, and why you think Satoshi is just some smart guy who didn’t want publicity.
PPS: If anyone didn’t notice, I don’t make money blogging, so I don’t give a hoot. There’s plenty of zombie cultist retards in the “I don’t believe the MSM, I think for myself” crowd. I will always tear them up, I don’t spare any subhumanoids on this blog.
“Freedom Will Prevail” (Why The Ukraine Is Toast)
The Ukraine is now a borderline totalitarian regime.
Since early March, it has been the world’s largest prison camp.
With very rare exceptions for work reasons (if the employer is large and well-connected, and the job can’t be performed without travel)…..
…..or unless a bribe of tens of thousands of dollars is paid…..
…..or unless they have a medical waiver (again a question of money, unless you’re obviously missing an arm or something)…..
…..males ages 16 to 60, simply can’t leave the country.
Not by plane, not by car, not on foot, not any how.
Whoever tries to walk through the woods to Romania or wherever…..
…..and gets caught by the border guard…..
…..is arrested, and (after some days in jail) drafted into the army.
Even guys in their 50’s, doesn’t matter.
Once in the army, there are no options.
In July, a law was passed, allowing commanders to kill any soldier ON THE SPOT, who fails to follow an order, any order.
No detention, no trial, not even a proper firing squad (or at least, it’s not required.)
You can be sure, that law was passed not “just because”…..
…..but because it was “badly needed”… and, it has been “used.”
The Ukraine is basically Stalin’s USSR.
You wonder how these guys can just sit in a meat grinder and await their fate, this is how.
(Of course, almost all politicians’ sons left the country in March, February, even January.)
As for free speech…..
The regime is THE media, there is no other media.
All true “alt” media has been shut down…..
…..much of it, in fact, LAST year, with the outspoken support of the U.S. and UK embassies.
(Original readers of my mailing list remember, I wrote about this.)
Even the “pro-Western” but anti-Zelensky media (owned or financed by Poroshenko) has been crushed.
They still have their jobs, but they literally have to read daily talking points from Zelensky’s administration.
They can’t criticize his handling of the war, economy, corruption…..
They must stick to the talking points.
People can’t even go out to protest power cuts or whatever…..
…..without being arrested as Russian spies.
As for the cultural divide…..
The Russian language has been completely banned in all professional settings and public spaces and venues…..
…..even though OVER HALF the population—and over half the army—speaks Russian as their first (oftentimes, only) language.
On TV, even in Kiev where everyone speaks perfect, unaccented Russian…..
…..you see NOTHING but Ukrainian speech.
Every “let’s go see what this bystander says” interview, is in Ukrainian only.
Perhaps because it’s illegal to broadcast anything in Russian.
LOL, it’s illegal to show the REAL country on television. What they show on TV is a fiction.
(The top propagandists still have their Internet shows in Russian, I guess that doesn’t count as “broadcasting.”)
As yet, authorities have only just started fining people for speaking Russian…..
…..(including the mayor of Kharkov, who insisted he needs to speak Russian with constituents in his almost all-Russian city. Seems like he’s a smart guy and knows which way the wind is blowing, now that the lights are going out)…..
…..but they’ve turned over half the population into criminals, or at best, second class citizens.
As I covered a few weeks ago…..
The regime is targeting the Ukrainian Orthodox Church (the real one, not Poroshenko’s schismatic spin-off, regime-approved faction)…..
…..for being insufficiently “rah-rah.”
Last week, another, larger wave of raids was carried out…..
…..against monasteries, churches, and church offices and residences throughout the Ukraine…..
…..including the church’s “signature” monastery, the Kiev-Pechersk Lavra (a UNESCO World Heritage Site), as per the first photo and video, below.
The raids were conducted under pretexts such as…..
…..we think this church building is hiding Russian infiltrators, or stockpiling weapons, or (vaguely enough) conspiring to commit treason.
That type of nonsense.

Below, G-men “visit” the Cyril and Methodius Convent (women’s monastery) in Transcarpathia, near the Slovak and Hungarian borders.

Other raids were conducted in Rovno, Vinnitsa, and Zhitomir provinces.
I’m not sure which location this is, must be one of the above:

Geography nuts may have noticed, all the above locations (other than Kiev)…..
…..are in WESTERN Ukraine.
Politically, these areas would be more receptive to confiscating church property…..
…..and giving it to the state-approved, breakaway faction.
My guess, that’s what the stage is being set for.
The raids found… well, no weapons.
It would have been easy enough to “plant” a stash, and show it on TV…..
But, who (outside of the Ukraine) would have believed that?
At several locations, the G-men displayed Russian language books and journals, mostly from the 2000’s if not earlier.
(Prior to this year, any school or library in central, southern, or eastern Ukraine, or in Kiev, would have been chock full of Russian books.)
At this particular location, it seems only RELIGIOUS books were seized:

At least several priests were charged after the raids.
We don’t know how many, looks to be under 10… so far.
The charges are “spreading propaganda of the Russian world” (i.e., Russian irredentism.)
Here’s one priest, signing his charge sheet (or whatever), in the presence of a plainclothes Ukraine Security Service man.

Well, at least they had the sense not to handcuff and perp walk these priests.
The head (by other accounts, the press office) of the Ukraine’s military intelligence, the G.U.R.…..
…..suggested the priests be traded for Ukrainian soldiers held by Russia. LOL. Off the fucking charts!
In reality, the church is GUILTY…..
…..of sermonizing for peace, and emphasizing (in its prayers and sermons) the historic bonds between Russians and Ukrainians…..
…..which is seen as a THREAT to the post-2014 regime…..
…..as, among other sins, it contradicts the “official narrative” (as per school history textbooks)…..
…..that Ukrainians are an autochthonous ethnos with a distinct lineage and an integral, unified history separate from Russia’s.
In particular, the regime hates that the church, per 1000-plus year tradition…..
…..refers to “Rus” or “Holy Rus” in its prayers and sermons…..
…..(e.g., “we pray for the peace of Rus“)…..
….Even though (long story short) “Rus“—later Rossiya, or Russia in English—was basically founded in Kiev.
But, the regime hates that word.
Regime official history is that the Ukraine has been the Ukraine, since dinosaurs roamed the Earth.
As I wrote before, the church (which is nominally under the Moscow Patriarchate)…..
…..is also the last cultural bond between the Ukraine and Russia, that is not yet totally suppressed or illegal…..
…..So, it has to go.
I won’t even be surprised if they dissolve the entire church soon, put its assets under the regime-approved breakaway faction.
UPDATE: This is moving fast. It appears, there are now plans to confiscate the Kiev-Pechersk Lavra and hand it over to the regime-approved breakaway faction. The head of the Ukraine’s National Security and Defense Council, Oleksiy Danilov, a former racketeer from Lugansk, has said something along the lines of, “the site never really belonged to the Ukrainian Orthodox Church, it belongs to the people, and now we’ll see who gets to use it.” Speculation is, the first stage of confiscation will involve allowing the regime-approved breakaway faction to use the site co-equally with the Ukrainian Orthodox Church… before the latter is pushed out entirely.
In general…
Anyone, today, in the Ukraine, who challenges the narrative or speaks out in any way…..
…..is basically GUARANTEED to suffer physical harm and/or detention and prosecution for treason, perhaps disappearance, even death.
(The Narrative is, that’s Russia not Ukraine. Well, just FYI, there have been cases of men in uniforms, or even just camouflage clothing, being denied admission to Russian restaurants, bars, clubs. “Nothing” happened to the unpatriotic owners, other than some bad PR and perhaps harassment by angry locals. Then there’s the famous case of a Moscow University journalism student being harassed and threatened because he was the only one in his department who came out for the war. I could go on with many other examples. None of this would fly in the Ukraine. Unless you’re some harmless little granny, you’ll be straight up “disappeared”, sayonara, nice knowing you. You got your countries mixed up, sorry. Try flipping them around.)
This older lady, below, was assaulted on the Kiev subway…..
…..for trash-talking the army, saying they are killers (that’s as much as I can make out.)
OK, not too bright. Bad judgement.
The brave (Russian-speaking) patriot gets into an argument with her, tries to grab her arm (to make a point about ejecting her from the train)…..
…..she defends by putting out her foot…..
…..and he gets up, and, after threatening to strangle her…..
…..slams her face into the window frame, hard, using both hands, at 1:26.
You can see most people on the car don’t approve (this is Kiev, not Lvov), but no one dared say a word.
Some did not even dare to look. See below:
People in “liberated” areas (retaken by the Ukraine from Russia) have been rounded up…..
…..many disappeared with no contact, some small proportion have been killed.
This household in Kherson was raided on advice from a couple of snitches, probably looking to settle a score.
You can see them pointing fingers, one then the other.
The soldiers have no idea, they throw some accusations, make the mom and her son spread out against the fence, so silly.
Must have watched too many Cops reruns.
The soldiers obviously got nothing, beyond, “Why do you have a bunch of rubles… you must be an enemy spotter“…..
…..(the son claims to have worked a manual labor job with the Kherson government, of course he was paid in rubles.)
(Over 700 have been detained in right-bank Kherson, but only seven charged, so far. Almost all real “collaborators” made it out among the 130,000 civilians who evacuated with Russia. Of note, a highly credible Russian source claims the head of the Kherson city jail, an officer named Kirill Rashin, chose not to evacuate, and was then arrested and executed by the Ukraine Security Service.)
Moving on, we can’t pass over the propaganda.
It’s MUCH more than just the “Ghost of Kiev” and spoon rape / rape dungeon stories that were fed to retard consumers of MSM crap.
Ukro-propaganda is the dumbest shit you’ve ever heard.
You have no idea, let me school you.
My babysitter (from that part of the world) believes the widespread fake Ukro-news story…..
…..that some subhumanoid Asiatic (Buryat-Mongol or whatever) Russian soldier…..
…..at an address not identified, in a town not identified…..
…..looted an electric tea kettle…..
…..but LEFT THE BASE (!!!), as he’d never seen an electric kettle before…..
…..(and couldn’t figure it out, because Russians are so poor and ignorant.)
Who loots a tea kettle?
Russians drink tea all day, they have all the kettles they need.
He couldn’t find a scented candle or an alarm clock radio?
Below is a video…..
…..likely originating with the Ukraine army’s Center for Information and Psychological Operations…..
…..with a guy pretending to be a (faceless and unidentified) Russian soldier, on a bus going home from the war…..
…..making a video for his wife, showing all the stuff he’s looted for her…..
…..including a cheap little hair dryer (LOL, you have to see this), a TV, and a breast milk sterilizer, so that “we will give milk to our little one.“
(It sounds as dumb in Russian as it does in translation.)
And, Zelensky’s wife has made a new push (carried in the UK tabloids at least)…..
…..to convince you that Russian wives and girlfriends, are asking their soldier men to rape Ukrainian women.
Got nothing else, I guess.
I covered this back in April, they are recycling it.
From back then… Here’s a release from the Ukraine Security Service, in their long tradition of, “We hacked the enemy’s phone connection, recorded them talking, and put it on the Internet.”
This is supposed to be an intercepted phone call between an unnamed (of course) Russian soldier and his unnamed (of course) lady friend.
The entire length of the “excerpt”, translated by me, goes like this:
Lady: “And so, you go ahead there, you rape the Ukrainian broads, and don’t say anything (to me), understood? (Giggle.)”
(pause)
Lady: “Today, I…”
Soldier: “…(unclear)… You asked not to say anything to you.”
Lady: “Yes. So I don’t know anything. (Giggle.) What of it?”
Soldier: “I can, yes?”
Lady: “Yes, I allow it. (Giggle.) Just use protection. (Giggle.)”
Soldier: “OK.”
Hooooookay. Yeah, my wife tells me this all the time. Moving on…..
Let’s cover the opinion polls. Like Democrats, the regime does phony push-polls to show how much support it has for the war.
I don’t even know why they go through the motions.
Many people are afraid to answer the polls, honestly or at all. The regime really thinks 85 percent of the public wants no peace talks, nothing but war until victory.
I don’t know, it might be 60 percent. It’s NOT what they claim.
The Ukraine is a giant pressure cooker, and is likely to get crazy (e.g., mass looting) once Russia turns the light and heat off for the winter.
The critical moment may come once the police give up, because their own homes are also dark and freezing.
At that point, it could get wild.
Of course, there WON’T be any revolt, because the opposition has been banned and dismantled…..
…..and the regime’s political security arms (who surely have their own generators and other comforts) would shoot to kill.
As for the army…..
…..Fantasy talk of a coup to remove Zelensky BUT keep the war going, is silly.
The only possible “pro-war” coup, would be with U.S. backing, a la South Vietnam 1963.
Short of that…..
The army is obviously hanging on an American paycheck, and would crumble in five seconds without it, there is no money.
They need to get paid, and the only way to do that, is to keep the war going.
Of course, America’s not going anywhere for as long as the war is ongoing.
After that… well, you know.
Now, you see, the problem with this type of regime…..
THERE IS NO FEEDBACK LOOP FOR CORRECTING MISTAKES…..
…..OR BRINGING THE RULERS BACK DOWN TO EARTH.
Zelensky’s advisor Podoliak said on TV last week, he expects to speak on the same show, in six months, FROM CRIMEA.
These guys are floating in space.
But, they’ve driven their public mad (or into deep silence), those who weren’t mad already…..
…..and now they can’t back down, not one inch.
The place is just BATSHIT CRAZY.
(BTW, I described this back in March, with a piece titled “Ukraine is cracking.”)
The “smart” thing would have been, make a deal to freeze the conflict (recognizing Russian control of Donetsk, Lugansk, Crimea)…..
…..perhaps “demilitarize” by pulling all heavy military gear back to the Dniepr…..
…..and live to fight another day…..
…..a bit like Poroshenko did in 2014.
Basically, wait for Putin to die or retire, and some weaker man becomes Russian leader, and then…..
…..(if you’re still in power)… make your move, hoping Moscow folds like a cheap suit.
But now, it’s MUCH too late.
Today, these guys probably BELIEVE their own BS.
And, much of their public is likewise so far gone, it will have to be DEPROGRAMMED, like Germans in 1945 and thereafter.
Some critical mass of the unthinking public (some of them coming under Russian rule, some not) will wake up and realize, they’ve been led astray.
(They don’t have to come to like Russia, any more than Germans love the USA.)
It won’t be a pretty road to get there.
When You Can Only Report What’s “Approved”, You’re ALWAYS Behind
The point of the USA and its hegemonic bloc clearing out their arms stocks for the Ukraine…..
…..(in an orgy of loyalty-proving, some east European countries have given away literally everything of value that they had)…..
…..was, the Ukraine would use that stuff…..
…..to take back all lost territory and end the war, THIS YEAR.
Ooops!
“It was a bad call, Ripley.”
Now, Russia is advancing again, not hugely yet, but the steamroller is warming up.
Now, U.S. and European military officers and officials are crying to the New York Times and Politico…..
…..that “we’re running out, we could not have expected, such an intensive war, not remotely like Afghanistan, oh my goodness.”
Yeah, a huge surprise that fighting a land war with Russia, would clean out the garage.
Of course, this was all obvious, and COULD have been reported sooner…..
…..BUT, only recently did it become a talking point at the Pentagon…..
…..which is anxious over maintaining enough stock to deal with China etc.
And, naturally, our brave MSM doesn’t get ahead of the Pentagon (you know, a “free press” and all.)
A reader wrote in the comments on this blog, SEVERAL MONTHS AGO…..
…..that Russia is “disarming” the USA, via the Ukraine.
YouTube commentator Alex Mercouris touched on this as early as July.
It’s been obvious for a while, no?
Well, we know governments come to their senses slowly…..
…..and thus, the “free press” that takes their cues, also catches on slowly.
After so many months, it’s finally “OK” to say the War Machine must keep enough junk on hand to give to Taiwan…..
…..and fight potential ground wars against North Korea, Iran…..
…..or God-knows-who (Uncle Sam will always find somebody.)
This is what recently pushed Milli Vanilli (General Milley)…..
…..to suggest the Ukraine get back to peace talks with Russia.
Now, with unnamed sources whining about running out of weapons…..
…..why would Russia sit down to negotiate its own surrender?
Jeez Louise!
UPDATE: I just read, Uncle Sam has chewed out the Ukrainian command for wasting his precious HIMARS missiles on useless, “just making a point that we hate you” type targets, where there’s not one single Russian soldier present (e.g., local/regional government office buildings—that was a favorite.) BAHAHAHAHAHA. Don’t you know, messing with the kingpin’s “product” is the Crime of Crimes. Uncle Sam is now, finally, demanding more rational use of his resources. Where’s Captain Rhodes when you need him?
Or these guys…..
They might also be of assistance…..

GOP’s “Audit The Ukraine Aid” Drive Is A Big Joke
It looks like Kevin “deer in the headlights” McCarthy, made a deal with Marjorie Taylor Greene (possibly among others)…..
…..for her “legit outsider” support to remain GOP leader in the U.S. House…..
…..if he agrees to audit the Ukraine aid…..
…..which, I assume, means, establishing a “special inspector general” office…..
…..as was done with Afghanistan, many years ago.
I’ve already written, nobody cared what the Special Inspector General for Afghanistan Reconstruction had to say.
That office was created in 2008, the staff did mountains of work.
Conservative media and social media, only ran with it…..
…..AFTER the 2021 withdrawal, LOL.
For 13 years, no one cared. All those million dollar goats and whatever, we only heard the story when it was too late.
HOWEVER, that’s not my focus here.
You see, it looks like MTG, Matt Gaetz, and other Republicans who want to audit the Ukraine…..
…..are interested only in the roughly $20 billion of U.S. arms given to the Ukraine since February 2022.
(Readers of my pre-blog mailing list may recall, there were “off the books”, probably illegal, cargo flights of weapons to the Ukraine, EVEN IN LATE APRIL 2021. But, that’s untouchable.)
(Keep in mind, the $20 billion expense, is the cost of reordering the weapons, to backfill Uncle Sam’s arsenal. Otherwise, just giving stuff away, doesn’t really “cost” anything, except to transport it.)
But, wait a minute… Didn’t Congress appropriate $60-some billion for the Ukraine since February?
(Brandon has asked for another $37 billion, that’s pending.)
Why, yes they did!
So, why only look into $20 billion of it?
What about $40-some billion that was (or is now being) spent on likely very overpriced, likely no-bid contracts…..
…..to rent ships to transport over 1,000,000 cannon shells (among other stuff) to the Ukraine…..
…..and to transport, house, and feed many thousands of Ukrainian trainees in Poland, Czechia, etc…..
…..and to ship refined petroleum products to the Ukraine, through Moldova (after Russia destroyed all Ukrainian oil refineries)…..
…..and on various propaganda outlets and “information operations” (bot farms or whatever) in Europe…..
…..and all other categories and line items involving CONTRACTORS OR GRANTEES???
I mean, that’s where you’ll find most of the FRAUD, WASTE, and ABUSE, right?
Well, cough, cough, we’re not touching that.
American war is a lucrative business…..
…..and it’s OK to talk about fraud and abuse, at some LATER date…..
…..but to dwell on this today, while “Ukrainians are dying, blah blah“…..
…..well, that’s “disloyal”, no?
It’s problematic, for sure.
Evidently, MTG and her friends want splashy headlines about U.S. weapons (intended for the Ukraine)…..
…..going to (for example) the Islamic State in the Greater Sahara…..
…..which, incidentally…..
…..the president of Nigeria complained about, a few days ago.
That way, if she’s still in Congress when the Islamiacs use a U.S. Stinger missile (intended for the Ukraine)…..
…..to shoot down a large passenger aircraft…..
…..or worse, a large passenger aircraft with Americans on it…..
…..or still worse, an American large passenger aircraft…..
…..MTG can say she was looking into this, she warned about it, if only someone had listened, oh she’s such a leader on this issue.
OK, that’s cool.
Not bad for a politician, I’m not complaining.
Always nice to see people thinking ahead, planning their careers.
But it does nothing for today.
PS: Separate topic, regarding what the Ukraine NEEDS today, not what it got months ago. Despite all they have received, so much has been damaged or destroyed, that Ukrainian forces are now short on armored/tracked vehicles, artillery, and severely short on artillery munitions. The situation is approaching critical. At this rate, by early January, they will essentially be OUT OF EVERYTHING, even as Russian military industry churns out more and more late-model, modern gear and munitions. Uncle Sam and all his junior partners really need to step up their game, reach further down into the barrel. “Send more Javelins”!!!
PPS: As for HUMAN resources… Ukrainian manpower has reached the limit. They’ve already almost fully tapped their “surplus male population”, and simply cannot squeeze much more additional strength out of the populace, without drafting (with commensurate motivation and morale, and logistical and socioeconomic collapse) utilities and rail workers, port workers, police, essential farm labor, and so forth, as well as men over 50 and even boys 16-17. Otherwise… the army is not short of men yet, but it CANNOT expand. We’re *beginning* to see THE END OF THE ROAD. The army that you see now (including the border guard, the draft offices, civilian employees of arsenals and military repair shops, the state security men, etc.) is already almost all there is, or is going to be. The Ukraine with its ~29 million remaining residents (will be even less with the next refugee wave, they will have to let out some teenage boys with their moms), CANNOT remotely match Russia’s mobilization, period. The biggest problem, is that of the 1.5 to 2 million healthy, young/young-ish males who left the country for Europe since 2014 (not even counting those who left for Russia), ***ALMOST NONE*** have come back to help fight Russia. They may feel one way or another about the war, but most have residency, can’t be deported on a whim, and are comfortable where they are (even if it gets bad, it’s still way better than the Ukraine.) This is the ELEPHANT IN THE ROOM that no one is talking about. When the “Maidan” regime broke with Russia, it KILLED the economy, the youngest and brightest took off, and now those people are GONE GONE GONE. Actions have consequences, assholes!!! So… All these “war could last for years” goobers, do not know what the fuck they are talking about. Just because you WANT the war to last for years… well, so what? I want to lose 35 pounds and be supersexy again… but at least that’s HYPOTHETICALLY possible.
LOL

Dude, if you support and respect them so much, shut the hell up!
Even the Anti-Defamation League, the Conference of European Rabbis, etc., etc……
…..(in short, “The Jews“)…..
…..don’t mention this stuff, it doesn’t exist for them…..
…..(as they’re all-in on the Narrative, they simply like the Ukraine more than Russia, case closed)…..
….so, who the hell are you, to bring it up?

Below, “SS” insignia on the guy at left.
Of course, there are many hundreds, maybe thousands of such photos circulating the ‘Net.
I could cover nothing but these photos, but then no one would read me.

Wait… What… were those Trump supporters?
Lock them up!
The kids, too!
I Guess We Can Talk About This On Twitter Now
Just a reminder, Variant X is coming, it will kill millions and bring down the roof.
It will change the political landscape of the USA, discrediting and emasculating the Federal government…..
…..thus bringing substantial power (de facto if not de jure) back to the states, especially the “red” states…..
…..where deaths (and chaos) will be somewhat lower.
Anyone vakksed-and-boossted (and especially, boossted again) with an mRNA so-called “vakk-seen”…..
…..including children, is at substantial risk of severe disease, long-term debilitation, and of course, death…..
…..from Variant X.
This includes most healthcare workers nationwide…..
…..as well as hundreds of thousands of police, firemen, urban transit workers, sanitation workers, etc., in the blue states and cities.
Not to mention, almost the entire U.S. military, including the National Guard.
Yup, sounds encouraging.
Now, for some timely details…..
A month ago, in my first podcast with Coffee And A Mike…..
…..I pointed out the relationship between the vakk-seenz and the ongoing “RSV eppi-ddemikk”…..
…..RSV being a minor, common cold virus…..
…..that NO ONE outside of the medical profession (and even many within the profession)…..
…..had ever heard of, until this past September or so.
I was the first (that I’m aware of) to state the OBVIOUS online.
I didn’t understand the relationship, but a relationship was obvious.
About ten days ago, Citizen Free Press (successor to the burnt-out Drudge Report) linked to some censored expert’s Substack page…..
……which suggested the mRNA vakk-seenz have so lowered imm-yoo-ni-ttee within the population…..
…..that they are facilitating the widespread passage of RSV among (asymptomatic or largely so) adult carriers (who would otherwise not be carriers)…..
……to newborn and infant children.
This same explanation (minus the exclusive focus on babies)…..
…..was earlier proposed as the reason behind the amazingly early-in-the-season, and intense, ongoing flu outbreak.
That is, the number of carriers who are spreading germs because their imm-yoon systems have been “artificially suppressed”…..
…..(but not suppressed enough for them to get much sick themselves)…..
…..is OFF THE CHARTS.
This is believable, and in fact, likely.
What other explanation is there?
We’ve got this “eppi-ddemikk” of some previously-inconsequential, common cold virus, that’s filled up the pediatric wards…..
…..and at the same time, probably the earliest start to flu season on record.
Obviously, we’re just getting warmed up.
It’s now clear, the vakk-seen lords have screwed everything up AND this will have huge epidemiological consequences.
I would not be surprised if the coming Variant X event is a double eppi-ddemikk…..
…..consisting of korona-vyrus Variant X and some other pathogen…..
…..perhaps a lesser one, or perhaps a major one, such as a nasty strain of Avian Influenza that jumps to humans…..
…..(in which case, turn off the lights.)
Oh, Nothing, Just More Killing Of Russian Prisoners, On Video
I’ve shared a number of these, over the months… but… it doesn’t get old, does it?
Not for what it shows, but for what it says (i.e. the meta-message.)
That being…..
The perps can film and share it far and wide, nothing will happen to them, they’re the good guys, so why the hell not?
Just some young guys having some good, clean fun, no consequences.
(CAUTION: MOST OF THE RUSSIAN SOLDIERS SEEM TO BE FACE-DOWN EXECUTED ALREADY, BUT THEY ALL GET SHOT AGAIN ANYWAY. THE ONE STILL VISIBLY MOVING, GETS SHOT AGAIN, AND HIS HEAD SORT OF EXPLODES, NASTY. **DO NOT WATCH UNLESS** YOU HAVE EXPERIENCE PLAYING “RATED ‘T’ FOR TEEN” VIDEO GAMES.)
PS: I don’t know if this is actually “new”, but as much as I track these things, I only saw it two weeks ago, so it’s new to me.
Comments Policy
We’ll get to the HUMAN SACRIFICE, soon.
My new and improved comments policy is always at bottom. Please read it, so you don’t waste time writing comments that won’t be approved and published.
I make sure the comments section is well-written, on-topic…..
…..and free of Nazis, Marxists, and FBI agents-provocateurs (of which I’ve had a few)…..
…..so that mature, quality people know they can come back for a good time.
Like a beach club with a “no shoes, no shirt, no service” sign.
Although it’s free, it’s still my product, and reflects on me personally.
The whiners can take their “free speech”, shove up it their butts.
I’m not Twitter or the phone company.
The Yiannopoulos / Fuentes / Kanye Episode
If Nick Fuentes is really such a Nazi, he should volunteer to fight for the Ukraine.
Then, he’ll be as “kosher” as Manischewitz Premium Gold Gefilte Fish.
As for Milo… The REAL problem is not Milo.
The problem is…..
Trump is still an undisciplined wrecking ball…..
…..and every time he “steps in it”…..
…..the entire Trumposphere (if not the entire conservative movement, as with the Government records he borrowed)…..
…..has to step up and do frantic “damage control.”
We lived through this for years, nothing has changed.
Some people want to live through it again.
Others want to move on.
I have great friends on both sides, I don’t take a side.
I’ll just say, barring the entire house coming down…..
…..(which I think WILL happen, but just for the sake of argument…)…..
…..Republicans have ZERO chance of taking the presidency in 2024, NO MATTER WHO they put forward.
It’s clear, probably several million Trumpers will NOT support a tough, effective, seemingly genuine conservative…..
…..but “establishment endorsed” figure such as DeSantis.
They will ONLY settle for Trump.
Again, I’m not criticizing, just stating the obvious.
Human Losses Of The Ukraine War
In the context of pitching a scheme for a tribunal against Russia…..
…..European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen gave a speech, at which she said, “More than 100,000 Ukrainian military officers have been killed so far.”
This caused such a stir…..
…..that an EU spokeswoman had to follow-up, saying Leyen’s figure includes wounded, not just dead.
The MSM pretty much boycotted the whole thing…..
…..(it obviously doesn’t line up with the Narrative)…..
…..except Fox News‘ website, which took pains to make clear it was a mistake.
Many “alt” sources ran with the 100,000 dead figure, as if it was some kind of revelation from Leyen, who is so well plugged in to military intelligence (not!)
In truth…..
…..this figure must have come from Leyen’s speechwriter’s 15 year-old, airhead, research assistant intern…..
…..who found it somewhere on Instagram.
Note how Leyen claimed “100,000 military officers“, not “100,000 soldiers” or “100,000 military personnel.”
Obviously, this was written by someone who doesn’t know the difference.
If you lost 100,000 officers, you probably lost two million men in total, LOL.
(Perhaps Leyen got the Ukraine’s army confused with the Waffen SS, of which one of German Chancellor Scholz’s grandfathers’ was a general.)
Fact is, Dreizin has been keeping tabs on Ukraine war casualties, and Dreizin is THE AUTHORITY.
No one else comes close to Dreizin.
I’ve been eating, breathing this stuff for over nine months.
For all you addicts, here goes:
Since February 24th, 2022…
KIA and “died from wounds” have averaged 49 +/- 3 per day for all forces on the Russian side…..
…..and 97 +/- 3 per day for all forces on the Ukrainian side.
The ratio of wounded to dead is approximately 4.2 for all forces on the Russian side, and probably around 4.0 on the Ukrainian side.
Over 85 percent of wounded on both sides, recover and are fit for duty in a few days to a few months, although near the upper end of that range, the soldier would likely be reassigned to logistical/noncombat duty, which may or may not be in the area of operations.
Close to 15 percent of wounded on both sides, are permanently damaged and/or require longer-term therapy, and must be demobilized.
Most people citing (knowingly or not) Russian Ministry of Defense (MOD) claims of Ukrainian losses, now standing at 130,000…..
…..are unaware that in Russian military culture, enemy losses are enemy losses, dead AND wounded…..
…..even with many of the wounded likely to return to duty, doesn’t matter.
What Russian officers estimate and value, is how many enemy personnel were lost to duty in a given battle/operation…..
…..such that they will not be immediately available for the next round in a given sector…..
…..and then, you can plan accordingly with your own force disposition.
Of course, someone at MOD is picking up and adding all the numbers, cumulatively, for a running tally in a nice presentation…..
…..but that’s just PR.
This is why you should NOT read other sources, or try to figure stuff out on your own, regarding this war. It’s a waste of time. You may be smart in all other respects, but with this, you’re like a sea sponge trying to understand the dashboard on a Lexus. You don’t know what you don’t know, and what you don’t know is EVERYTHING, and you become a propaganda victim. And that includes any journo’s still reading me, who just pick up the phone and call their pre-arranged Ukrainian contacts, and take dictation and print whatever they are told. All of you should just follow the Dreizin Report!
The Russian side has taken at least 12,000 uniformed prisoners (over 4000 in Mariupol alone), and traded back up to 2000 of them for its own.
The Ukrainian side has taken 2000-2500 uniformed prisoners, and traded back possibly most of them for its own.
There is strong to indisputable visual documentation of at least 34 Russian/Donetsk/Lugansk POWs executed (or shot and left for dead) in at least five separate incidents by forces under Ukrainian command.
Desertion on the Ukrainian side is likely at least 30,000, mostly from the first months. Most of these men are probably hiding out with relatives in the countryside.
Desertion among Donetsk/Lugansk forces is likely minimal, as these men have little “depth” to hide in.
Prior to late September or early October, there were no Russian regular army “desertions”, per se, as any contract soldier was free to resign at any time, just up and leave. Resignations in the combat zone and rear areas including bases deep inside Russia proper, likely totaled at least 20,000 (possibly much greater.)
It is likely that most Russian “resignees” were called back up in the recent mobilization.
Based on the Donetsk official running tally that is constantly updated (I’m rushing to publish, won’t look it up now), around 900 civilians have been killed by Ukrainian rocketing/shelling of areas under Donetsk civil government administration.
The corresponding number for Lugansk is not published, but should be much lower, not more than 300.
Around 30 civilians have been killed by Ukrainian rocketing/shelling of Russia in its pre-2014 borders. Another eight or so were killed in an attack on a gas rig off the coast of Crimea. Also, one was assassinated (Dugina), and three or four (including the unwitting truck-bomb driver) died when the Crimea bridge was blown up. Around 15-20 more died in a suspicious fire at an arms design bureau.
Certainly at least 8000 civilians have been killed in areas directly contested on the ground by the warring parties, as well as in shelling/rocketing/bombing of frontline or near-frontline areas beyond the Donbass.
(Of these, up to 5000 were killed in Mariupol alone.)
Less than 500 civilians have been killed by Russian bombing or rocketing of targets deep inside Ukrainian-controlled territory, as well as by errant/malfunctioning Ukrainian air defense missiles (the latter accounts for most pictures you’ve seen of devastated apartment buildings in Ukrainian-controlled, non-frontline areas.)
Ukrainian government claims (in the first month or two of the war) of 25,000 civilians killed by Russia, are PREPOSTEROUS. It’s not that many even today. They pulled that number out of their lying asses, knowing the MSM would (in the absence of anything else) run with it, even if with a “Kiev claims” disclaimer, doesn’t matter, they never questioned it, and if it’s in print, their zombie audience will believe it.
Civilian “excess mortality” due to lack of home heating, lack of medicine or medical attention, lack of clean water, etc., in the current or recent combat zones, especially among the very young and very old, is certainly in the thousands…..
…..but this death toll is now shifting, and will continue to shift, to areas under Kiev’s control, as the power and everything else goes out.
(On the current track, “excess mortality” in Kiev-controlled areas will likely be in the HUNDREDS OF THOUSANDS this winter, but Uncle Sam could order them to negotiate and stop all that… ah, what am I saying? Not gonna happen.)
There, now you know.
Commercial Real Estate

This building, on Route 1 near the border of Arlington and Alexandria, Virginia (just across the river from DC)…..
…..has been almost entirely VACANT since it was built…..
…..AT LEAST TEN YEARS AGO.
More—A LOT MORE—office space, has gone up, and is STILL going up, nearby.
I don’t understand how you can sit on this “asset” for ten years…..
…..considering the property tax, and natural wear and tear on the roof (high-rise flat-roofs need maintenance every 10 years at least), and whatever else.
I guess, it’s easier when you can just borrow money and roll over loans at EVER DIMINISHING INTEREST RATES.
Well… we’ll see what happens now that interest rates have finally gone the other way.
People say China has a vacant real estate problem.
OK.
I say the USA has the same.
Human Sacrifice
In the Winter 1998 issue of its “Intelligence Report” journal, the Southern Poverty Law Center…..
…..a “hate monitoring” group, today a huge competitor to the ADL, and known for its scandalously large endowment of around $600 million…..
…..(enough to keep the place going for at least six years with no income)…..
…..wrote the following:
A neo-Pagan religion drawing on images of fiercely proud, boar-hunting Norsemen and their white-skinned Aryan womenfolk is increasingly taking root among Skinheads, neo-Nazis and other white supremacists across the nation.
They didn’t know it at the time…..
…..but they might have been talking about THESE GUYS (see below video.)
Like the Schutzstaffel (SS), Nazi Germany’s regime security arm…..
…..the Ukraine’s Azov brigade (a political intimidation army under the Ukraine’s Interior Ministry, NOT the defense ministry) and its associated movement…..
…..were… how shall I say… never really big on Jesus.
In the below video, said to be from 2017…..
…..Azov members conduct a religious ceremony…..
…..involving burying and feeding what’s likely a representation of the head of Perun…..
…..the most powerful god of the ancient Russian pantheon.
Towards the end of the video, the men erect a full-on Perun totem on the site…..
…..and their Viking-Norseman looking boss, leads them in a shout of “Slava Perunu!” (glory to Perun!)
In pre-Christian times, this would have been to make the ground fertile, or to consecrate the site, making it lucky or holy, something like that.
Before shoveling soil over the idol “head”…..
…..the Azov boss cuts his arm and drips some blood over it.
Because, you see, the Old Gods were always hungry…..
…..and if they didn’t get fed…..
…..then the crops would fail, your dick would fall off, your brats would hate you…..
…..the “Dawn Boss” would secede, the neighboring Poootteeen tribe would invade…..
…..Constantinople would not ship you enough javelins and bee stingers…..
…..vile councillors at Court, would seek to audit His Majesty’s gifts to you…..
…..that kind of thing.
Hey, I promised you human sacrifice.
And I delivered.
This is sacrifice from a human. Blood is blood.
Ah, you wanted more than a few drops?
You awful, vicious person! Hahaha.
Go watch Mad Mel’s Apocalypto.
Reminder
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Ridiculous Spelling Policy
As usual, if you wish to comment on anything korona related, please use more-or-less my usual idiotic spellings of key terms (e.g. korona, vy-rus, vary-ants, vakk-seen, vakk-seenz, vakk-syn-ay-tted, vakk-syn-ay-shun, booss-tter shawt, imm-yoo-ni-ttee, ann-tee-baw-dee, pann-de-mmyk, pfye-zzer, moh-derr-na, etc.) or your comment will NOT be approved, as it will be a risk to the existence of this site on its given platform. Feel free to come up with your own moronic va-ree-ay-shunz. Thank you
Comments Policy
Comments and any associated weblinks or other references must be directly relevant and tangential to my published material (not just to other comments), specifically the material above the given comments section that you are adding to. THIS IS NOT A DEBATE PLATFORM TO DISCUSS IRRELEVANT HISTORICAL QUESTIONS, OR YOUR OWN PET SUBJECTS THAT DON’T BEAR ON WHAT I WROTE. Please, no disjointed / overcaffeinated rambling, no “pet issues” that have no direct bearing on what I wrote, no unclear/unexplained or irrelevant weblinks, no trying to write your own mini-blog news update digest in my comments, no Nazis, no Nazis pretending to be Jewish like “I’m a bar mitzvah boy, but I’m so ashamed of my people who are not the real Jews of Jesus’ time“, no Marxists, no using anti-Ukraine jargon that no one outside of your online freak community can understand (e.g., Ukrops, 404), no calling for the destruction or dissolution of the USA or its government, no calling for violence against current or former elected or appointed officials of the U.S. Government, no nonconstructive or hateful ranting about Jews (or Swej, Joos, Jooz, Jooze, Juice, Juize, Jewz, Jewze, J-Dogs, J-Dogz, J-Dawgz, J’s, Chews, Choos, Chooz, Chooze, Zionists, Zio-Nazis, Anglo-American Zionists, Amerizionists, Zionist Occupation Government, ZOG, IsraHell, Bibi SatanYahoo, “those of whom we cannot speak”, “your friends whom we can’t talk about”, “a certain small ethnic group”, the chosen, the tribe, the chosen tribe, the thirteenth tribe, tribe of Judah, the Khazarians, Khazarian mafia, Rothschilds, Khazarian Rothschilds, JewTube, JooTube, JewMerica, JooMerica, etc., etc.), no being nasty to other commenters, no trolling the “sysop”, and no claiming “the korona doesn’t exist because vyruses don’t exist.” Please share your ***CONCISE*** (2 smartphone screens of text is NOT concise), relevant, coherent, organized thoughts, and come back for my next post. Also, by commenting, you expressly accept and agree to my “one bullet, one Nazi” policy, and please be advised, this includes Nazis everywhere, even in the Ukraine. Furthermore, if you are a LibJew/DemJew, you are BANNED from commenting on this site UNLESS you acknowledge the extensive presence and influence of Nazis and other fascists in the Ukraine, who don’t give a fuck that they have an allegedly “Jewish president”, because they’re still getting paid, and they’ll “take their country back from the Jews” once they take care of the Russians (can’t slit all throats at once.) If you can’t acknowledge it, then get the fuck out with your “Never Again” bullshit.
STT loves these Ukrainian produced productions of “Russian” troops calling home. So much so that he includes one in every episode on his Youtube channel. Tune in every day if you think this is funny.
https://youtu.be/Zqa0CNaQxAY?t=336
“THERE IS NO FEEDBACK LOOP FOR CORRECTING MISTAKES…..
…..OR BRINGING THE RULERS BACK DOWN TO EARTH. ”
Are you talking about DC, Brussels, Kiev, or all of the above?
Hah!!!
So you mean to tell me that based on your calculations the Russians have to use well over 250 artillery rounds to kill one Ukrainian? So the Russians are stupid is what you are telling me here, spending between $30k – $50k per dead Ukrainian just in artillery round costs? What are they doing firing that many rounds when their hit rate is that abysmally low? What are their drones doing? What are their satellites doing?……..
Russia has very few “serious” drones available, most of its inventory has a total round-trip range of only 3 or 4 kilometers (i.e. Chinese-made commercial off-the-shelf quadricopters for $300.)
And, what “serious” drones it does have, fly low and slow and are often a very easy target for Ukrainian air defenses, mostly Stinger and Igla shoulder-launched missles, of which there are certainly many hundreds still left.
Russia also has insufficient satellites over the Ukraine, nowhere near as many as Uncle Sam and his friends.
You’d know all this if you could step out of your shell, download a translator, and follow a half-dozen of the leading Russian military-oriented Telegram channels, most of which post original news, interviews, and video directly from the war zone… to include, lots of frank stuff that doesn’t look great on Russia’s war effort.
But, like all trolls and gadflies, you’d rather just bloviate.
If you came here just to hear yourself talk, not to learn anything…
Get the fuck out.
Regarding the video about killing of PoW, this can’t be new since the leafs are green. It must be Sep or early Oct, the latest. And also based on cloths.
I find the estimates on the Russian side in the ball park. Russian MoD claims 6000 KIA only from the army, probably my guess is another 4000 – 5000 from the militias, and about 1000 from Wagner.
I also struggle with believing the Ukr casualties so low especially since, starting May, I think, Ukraine banned civilians from providing information over the online channels. Maybe Dreizin could not factor in this bias of the information channels he is following.
One thing to consider is the large number of videos in the Ukrainian graveyards. The number of flags (one per KIA) seen in those videos is overwhelming. On the other side, the videos of Russian cemeteries show a much smaller number of causalities, feeding into the perception of 10:1 ratio.
Thanks for your comment. Donetsk publishes a dead and wounded count, each week. This is open-source and searchable, but people are too fucking lazy even to use a translator. Donetsk has lost over 4400 military dead, to date. Donetsk is just one of many components (albeit a large one) on the Russian side.
As for photo and video of Ukro cemetaries, you simply don’t know what you’re looking at. To the extent they have been identified in the photos/videos, they are located just outside provincial centers or even giant cities such as Kharkov. These are not little village cemeteries.
I can see you’re a smart guy, but, sorry, you’re like a tomato trying to figure out the flight control panel on a Boeing Dreamliner. Just give it a rest. Trust the Dreizin Report.
I’m afraid to say that your figures for casualties are most likely wrong…by quite a bit. Don’t know how you figured this out but rudimentary mathematics alone without any field intelligence at all would put the number of Ukrainian military deaths no less than 350 per day on average on the Ukrainian side and that is from artillery alone. When we factor in everything else we would likely get a death toll well above 100k. Just from the shells fired per day given a minimum figure for Russians and a maximum figure for Ukrainians we can work out that the ratio of Ukrainian : Russian dead is no less than 4 to 1 and can be as high as 9 to 1. Lets split the difference and say 6.5 to 1.
During WW2 conservative estimates show that about 56 artillery shells were needed to kill one soldier. Of course back then war was a far less sophisticated ordeal technologically and in terms of strategy however lets take this as a very conservative figure to land on some reasonable calculations. Given Russia fires between 20 – 24k rounds of artillery per day we can work out that they kill between 357 – 428(av. 392) Ukrainians per day just from artillery. The Ukrainians fire between 2 – 6k artillery shells per day killing 35 – 107(av. 71) Russians per day. So just from artillery after some 290 days of war the Russians have probably killed between 103k – 124k(av. 114k) Ukrainians and the Ukrainians have killed 10 – 31k(av. 20.5k).
Those are artillery figures alone and what we know from ww2 is that about 65% of the deaths were caused by artillery. However lets be super conservative here and despite many close combat clashes as well as air strikes, tank battles, drone strikes, cruise and ballistic missiles, artillery still makes up for 80% of battle field deaths. As such total military deaths for Ukraine are 129 – 155k(av 142k) and for Russia 12.5 – 39(av. 25k). If we use the 65% figure from ww2 this gives us Ukrainian deaths of 158 – 190k(av. 175k) and Russian deaths at 15 – 47k(av. 31.5k).
So any way you slice it there is simply no way Ukrainian deaths are lower than 130k and could very feasibly come very close to 200k. The often cited 100k+ is itself an old and conservative estimate making your calculations quite baffling to say the least.
Why don’t you shut the hell up, and actually listen and learn something for a change?
Who gave you the idea to base everything on WW2? This is not WW2. It is a new kind of war. Any fool can see, there is not remotely the manpower of WW2. There is high density of fire, when/where needed… BUT at the same time, very low-density manning of the front. This has never happened before.
In this war, even in the most hard-fought areas, VERY seldom are there more than 200 soldiers per kilometer of static front, on the first line, on either side. In flat and open (sparsely built-up, and not densely forested) sectors in the south, it can be as few as 50. In these latter cases, the first line is nothing more than a sparse collection of observation posts for calling in artillery or airstrikes, should the enemy advance.
(On the Eastern Front during WW2, even in low-intensity sectors at any given time, the average was multiples of this.)
Hence, in this war, you can lob all the shells and rockets you want, but the vast majority are unguided and they don’t hit anything, because there is not much to hit, seeing as the enemy is hiding or covering only in a few rare spots (and, many of those spots are fortified, or obscured, whether by trees or in cases of a barn or large house used as a base by just five or six guys, good luck guessing which corner to hit.)
This is amply documented by photo and video evidence.
Russian Grad platoons have often launched 120 rockets just to smoke out 10 or 20 guys, and even then, they may only kill two or three; the hope is that the enemy simply takes his dead and wounded, and retreats.
Only in the last two months has Russia upped its game and substantially raised its hit ratio (which is having a huge effect, but it’s recent)… but, it’s still not remotely what you’re imagining.
PS: I did not cite 100K, I cited 130K, which as I said is from the CURRENT official Russian count (which includes both dead and wounded.) Learn to read, asshole, and don’t come back here, if all you want to do is spew your own “expert” bullshit.
Blocked and banned.
Hello Jacob,
I appreciate your unfiltered style, dark humor and unique analysis on a wide variety of subjects that you manage to connect.
I’m now particularly interested by your mention of Ukrainian officers having the authority to summarily execute soldiers that refuse to follow orders. Somehow this strikes me as especially concerning, even within the festival of atrocities which is the Ukrainian conflict.
Can you direct me to your source material regarding this subject?
Thanks and keep up the good work!
Hello. The prime source for me was the legislation on the Ukrainian parliament’s website, back in July or so. Sorry, I don’t know where you’d find it in the English language, today. It’s obviously not a desirable topic for the MSM.
A bit late to the party, but glad I showed up. This ‘retired’ blog is brilliant. There is not one thing I disagree with, but would like to add, IMHO, that aside from being a conman, Musk is probably a government agent, as well. AFAIK, there is not ONE of his ventures that’s not intricately tied to the US government. To say that he ‘blindly’ walked into a Twitter deal, not knowing that Twitter uses US government servers, or has a back door to Twitter, is absurd. I’ll take it a step further….I wonder if it was Musk who actually dumped those billions into the Twitter purchase, or rather, some government entity. When we follow the money…….
We will likely find out in a decade or two that all Musks projects were handed to him by the guvmnt to forward projects they needed to outsource for ‘credibility’ and ‘washing’ funds to their brass.
Your first sentence is nonsense. Find a more reliable source.
It was an article in The Times
Well, there you go. Find a more reliable source.
LOL, The Times, what a joke. Here’s a headline from their home page:
“Koo-vED [my substitution] may have left you with immunity memory loss — and that’s why you’re getting sick”…definitely find a better source my dude.
The US just authorized Ukraine to strike targets on officially recognized Russian territory. This seems like a huge escalation aimed at provoking Russia. I wonder why they would escalate in such a way if Russia is getting a huge influx of manpower from mobilization and has capacity to expand the scope of missile strikes on Ukrainian infrastructure. Could this be construed as them deliberately trying to provoke Russia into destroying Ukraine. Would that make any sense considering the horde of refugees that would flood the EU in response. I don’t know what they are trying to accomplish.
Enjoy your leave! Hopefully your communication skills improve by the time you’reback.
All of the data indicates a kill ratio in Ukraine of at least 5 or 6:1 (lower at beginning of war, higher now). The fact that Ukraine is on its 8th or 9th mobilization and conscripting any man (and women too now) with a pulse, tells you what you need to know. They are in deep shit. The Russians were not serious about the war for months, but they are now.
“All of the data”, LOL. You have no data. Nobody is conscripting women, you fucking idiot. That was just a “we might consider”, public relations, puff piece headline for non-critical thinkers with reading comprehension problems… people like you. If you already know everything and you just come here to spew, not to learn, then get the fuck out. Blocked and banned.
“Blocked and banned”
It’s hilarious that you don’t make any money from this blog so you can just say whatever you want to you readers. They line up in droves to offer their hopeful speculations as though they were devastating rejoinders to your carefully considered (and usually prescient) observations.
It is a cause of great merriment.
.
In the digital age, demonetization is true freedom of speech. Apparently, we’re going to need to kick your door down to get you to stop.
Refresh and enjoy your vacay. We’ll look for more abusive commentary in the New Year.
Thanks. It’s true, there is no free speech where money is involved. If you have to worry or second-guess yourself about taking or not taking a certain position, thereby potentially alienating and losing even a small part of your audience a.k.a. cashflow… you are censoring yourself, you are not free. You are a business person, making a living by serving customers, like a guy who owns a shoe shop or a cafe, clearing four dollars per gyro, you need to serve X thousand gyros per week to pay the bills and keep your wife in the bonbons. Sadly, most people have to work, and they have no other time. There are so few Dreizins who are willing and able to burn the midnight oil to put out original, quality content on a part-time basis, without compensation, so eager to stab everyone’s particular sacred cow (to beat people into using their brains for a change), just not giving a fuck.
Hey how could the KIA’s be so close 2 to 1 given that ukraine is constantly asking for more arms and has supposedly almost gone through all their inventory of not just theirs but also most NATO’s surplus. The Russians have to be destroying most of it which often includes personnel KIA. Not to mention ukraine has not won a single victory involving a large loss of Russian life this includes the Kharkov offensive and Kherson offensive. I also have heard many Ukrainians only receive about a week of training before being sent to the frontlines verses a professional army for Russia. Also the officers often hide in the rear a few kilometers back like NATO officers. Plus all the missile and drone strikes in the interior of the country, which often targeting barracks or buildings full of personnel. Your telling me this leads to a 2 to 1 kill ratio?
Yes, tough shit for you huh? You want more blood, feel free to cut yourself a little (not fatally.)
FYI, many Donetsk draftees received ZERO training, but, you’re obviously not reading that in your preferred sources.
For goodness sake man! Do us a Christmas special or something. Now that really would be a lovely surprise on Xmas morning 😊. Enjoy your………semi retirement 😉. All the best from a Scot living in London.
At some point on the misery road, you look down and realize that you have a functioning weapon in your hands, at least some ammo in your webbing and maybe a frag or 2. You realize this and remember that you were forced into the trench you are squatting in. Your misery wipes out all thought of the future and you realize that all roads lead to the same useless end. You look around and see one of your officers chatting with a military-policeman. You kill them – simple after all. You take a frag and toss it into the nearest command dugout that you know about. Maybe you can get away, maybe not. Does it matter.
Mr. Jacob Dreizin, You are the Man & The Authority regarding all these Russo-Ukrainian War Matters, appreciate your work and statements very much in the last months.
But, regarding Ukraine war casualties, i’m missing your take on the missing (in US you call this category MIA, afaik)
(Also remember that both sides mutually accused each other of not caring or bother to recover their own dead, beginning with the Ukrainians blaming Russians early in the conflict, now the Russians blame the Ukrainians)
Keep it up, Mr. Dreizin, good recreation & I wish you and your family a happy healthy new year. 2023. 23.
Hello! “MIA” is an administrative concept, but all MIA are either dead or prisoner. My estimates involve real dead and real prisoners. Does that make sense?
Thank you for reply, Yes, basically it makes sense, but one should not forget that there is the possibility that a certain side oder both sides shift their “MIA” somewhat aside (actually being aware that most of them if not nearly all – are dead). Nadsi Wehrmacht did that, for PR reasons, of course, in the so called Westfeldzug of 1940, allegedly carried out with ‘only’ 27.000 dead, in fact it were around 50.000. They knew that by the time they published the former number. And what can we read in most history textbooks incl. heavy WW 2 histories to this day: “27.000”).
>>”In July, a law was passed, allowing commanders to kill any soldier ON THE SPOT, who fails to follow an order, any order. ”
Could someone provide a link, or a phrase I could search on that would take me to it?
Enjoy your break 🙂
Dear Mr. Dreizin (or may I call You Jacob next time?),
Merry Christmas and Happy New Year! Thank You for all your work, texts about US politics were really amusing, like lonely truckers desiring Gabbard, her vanity, etc. ha ha ha ha ha:) Rest well, it’s been busy year I have no doubt, that US foreign policy keep us on toes and “entertainted”… Regarding the Eastern War, I hope there will be some conclusion, like You have predicted. Even so, Janaury or February 2023 and the end of war seems so faraway. I’m tired from war rhetoric and psychopatic atmosphere in Europe. I’m worried if USA instead of Taiwan, KLDR, Iran adventure will sacrifice Baltic lands, Sweden, Finland, Poland, Romania, Moldova, Czech Republic, Slovakia to the war effort and our incompetent politicians will lead us to war (with a smile and revolutionary spark in the eyes). I’m living in Czech Republic, one company is busy with contracts for VSU this year and next 2 seasons! https://www.novinky.cz/clanek/domaci-kazdy-ctvrty-den-tank-pro-ukrajinu-40416373 https://www.czdefence.cz/clanek/ukrajine-pomahaji-a-i-nadale-budou-pomahat-v-boji-proti-rusku-ceske-modernizovane-tanky-a-houfnice https://www.czdefence.cz/clanek/ukrajinska-obrnena-technika-se-bude-opravovat-v-cesku (and repair shop should be in Slovakia too).
Training of soldiers in ČR is done deal. I’m really worried about extension of war here, because voices from media, those “military experts”, diplomats (current and ex’s) are full of optimism. Yeah, Russian army is corrupt, dysfunctional (no training, discipline, brain, bad or missing gear, weapons, supplies, also no winter stuff), war will be over like in two weeks. You just need to send all NATO air-planes and it’s over… I guess this is just cheerleading, or they are batshit crazy and believes their own propaganda (more probable). If I am Russian general/leader, hey those European countries are helping killing our soldiers, destroying our equipment, let’s do some diversionary actions… or coup. Because I know “Great game” USA needs only Germany, France, Italy and other Western European countries, Turkey, I think Eastern Europe is disposable pawn. Remember 1938 Münich agreement? Any thoughts? I remember reading Playa Giron (not easily accesible book from 1990!s here I have my own copy). Is the fate of Eastern Europe to host “Ukraine Freedom army” for many years before new Giron – invasion? That’s sounds like CIA modus operandi…
Let’s not be just pessimists, medicine game and Chinese disease are percepted here differently, shots not under the gun and law, children are out of danger (I hope) too, because many doctors are saying it’s not needed for them. People are more wary than before. Yet main ex-epidemologist said clearly, well covid won’t be over. I guess they are already preparing people for unpleasant reality of new woes, still not a word about deadliness and other new effects, which can kill us and cripple us for good this time. You can take it from the bright side, number of “autistic” people not understand You will decrease drastically. Perhaps when I will be alive next summer I will write You what’s new here. In ČR is a new larp game in progress 1929 again, despite the fact we are producing enough electricy, You are paying for this like some sultan with endless money (most expensive energy in the world Czech Republic land of wonders and miracles. You are paying like a Russian oligarch also for natural gas too (but in Slovakia people have help of government and no problems with energy prices, here not, but yes help to your grave and death). I guess we have to unite with Slovakia and creat new country:))
Take care
Pavel
Jacob, I hope you and yours have a great December and New Year!
If you have a minute for a quick answer, to what extent should one take Strelkov (Girkin) seriously in his analyss of and predictions for the war? He is the arch-doomer, but I think you’ve said that he was prescient before.
Also, is there anything of value to be learned from the Duran?
Duran keeps their stuff in the boundaries of what is permitted to say to avoid a ban of their channel. To keep earning money on circulating the traffic and selling their merch. They’re not bad in the areas they oversee, but you won’t hear everything from them because they limit themselves.
Yes. That channel is a business, clearing (based on current metrics) at least fifty thousand dollars a month, if you include their personal channels which also get a lot of views. They’re not going to jeopardize that. They have made a deal with the devil, to make the most money by reaching the largest possible audience, on the worst censorship oriented platform. Hence, they can beat around the bush of geopolitics, but they can’t directly, full-on criticize and challenge any agenda, let alone Brandon himself. Not only would youtube shut them down, their own audience is such a mess that most couldn’t even handle it. Based on their viewers who have come to me, about half seem to think the vakkseens are wonderful.
The Duran has their expertise in geopolitics, particularly european+british politics. They’re very good in that area I think. They’re much more limited in other areas, including military analysis.
As for the va,cci,ne and co,vi,d topic, it’s easy to say they avoid it because they don’t want to get banned — which is true — but I also think they limit their discussion of those topics because they think it’s far outside their area of expertise.
So, overall, I think Duran is good as long as you recognize their strengths (geopolitics/european+british politics) and weaknesses.
The Duran can be quite entertaining, depending on the topic. I highly recommend Mercouris to those wishing to hear constant scorn and disdain heaped on the British political system. He’s even more entertaining than Farrage at his (Farrage’s) peak. No one compares to him on that count.
On some other topics, he’s not so interested and informed, and tends to bloviate. Like anyone with a daily show, he must “fill airtime”, no choice.
But, no matter the topic, he and his co-anchor have precisely zero “expertise” whatsoever in anything they talk about. Like most pundits anywhere, even on brand name media outlets.
If you speak well, you can convince a lot of simple-minded groupies and dimwits (a.k.a. subhumanoids) that you are an “expert.” In most cases, the real experts are working in a given field, and too busy (or in too sensitive of a position) to have their own show.
Mercouris was a small-time lawyer before his “career change”, he’s a very smart guy but that’s about it.
The Duran provides solid broad scope geopolitical analysis. As far as war coverage, they are rather limited, as neither one has a military background, nor are they steeped in Russian culture/language. They basically provide info that you can find on any reputable telegram channel. I have found Scott Ritter, the New Atlas, and Mark Sloboda, to be among the most insightful voices covering the war, along with Mr. Dreizen.
Hi Jacob,
I’d like to ask you a pair of questions:
What do you think is the probability of Ukraine putting into production a Shahed-136 analogue in the coming months (as rumor has it will) and, if it does, what is the probability of the Russian MoD being caught with its pants down on the front lines and in the rear (Russian Telegram is in a mini-freakout over seeming failure to learn any lessons from prior attacks on airbases of increasing strategic importance).
Secondly, in your post “2023 Will Be 2020”, you wrote that:
“Anyone who thought otherwise, who saw “Russian weakness” rather than Putin’s “Michael Corleone”-level patience… and who needed some two-bit, part-time, demonetized blogger to tell them this… really needs to get the “Ghost of Kiev” out of their ass.”
Well, it’s 1 month later, and essential infrastructure is still getting (much less) power, Russian strategic airfields have been attacked, but what seems to really matter are fertilizer exports and tomato imports. Furthermore, you yourself said (‘Kogo Na Rasstrel”) that it was Putin who put off mobilization until the problem of low manpower caused undeniable setbacks in Kharkov, even though he was advised to mobilize in July. Why you think that Putin is “Michael Corleone-level patient” as opposed to a basic neoliberal who will do the minimum required to avoid short-term military catastrophe, and ignore looming problems until they become acute? (I understand that the Russian steamroller is warming up, but I wonder how much of it is due to, and not in spite of, Putin’s preferences.)
Thanks!
Hello. There is no freakout, there was no “failure” to learn lessons. The airfields are protected. The very low-flying drones were destroyed in the air. Wreckage from one, killed some men on the ground and caused repairable damage to two aircraft. Most of this was documented by on-the-scene geniuses with smartphones.
go fuck yourself dude. I am happy to leave. You are so sick you don’t even get it. Macgregor is at another level, you can’t even remotely get near him. You too stupid, you are not able to understand or process information. You are such a pussy you need to attempt discrediting Scott because he is so much more informed and capable of intelligent analysis he puts you to shame. Take a break and don’t come back.
Hey retard. I told you McGregor literally plagiarized my work… and your pea brain can’t handle it, LOL. Sorry to dump on your holy prophets, they are crap. I’ve got the track record, while McGregor said Russia won 9 months ago. Why worship a putz who’s been that wrong? Get off the groupie bus, stop jerking off, find yourself a girlfriend. You need to find something to do with your life. I’m just having fun here watching dumb cartoons with the kids, thanks for keeping me awake. What are you doing on a Monday night, besides eating Cheetos, surfing Twitter and scratching your nuts?
Hey Jacob. The “looter” video is comedy gold, as always with those SBU folks. Let me point out to the non-Russian speakers around here that the hairdryer guy speaks with relatively faint but audible enough Ukrainian accent: in many Ukrainian folks’ Russian speech the second to last syllable/vowel is stretched and accentuated, which is possibly Polish influence, while the syllable/vowel immediately preceding that one is suppressed/shortened. UA/southern accent is a dead give-away in pretty much all of these. There were even more hilarious ones, with “Chechens” phoning back “home” and telling their homies how badly they’ve been owned by UA in the most grotesque stand-up comedy-worthy Caucasus accent.
Oh, and regarding the said “intercepts”, I really wonder what means are being used — strangely no light has been shed on the technicals anywhere… Is it plain 2G/3G/4G calls that are being intercepted? But then calling to from UA numbers to Russian +7… numbers from has been disabled since March, and roaming on Russian SIM-cards goes without saying… If it’s WhatsApp/Telegram traffic, which is what everyone nowadays is using for calling their homies, then two options: – either SBU have direct contact with Zuck and Durov for backend access to pretty much any account (perhaps provided some “evidence” is presented that account belongs to an “orc”). – Or they are cracking RSA1024 and AES256 encryption keys in field conditions as easily as munching a pickled cucumber after a couple shots vodka — then they need to run for Fields medal!!!
Don’t really understand the obsession with both Russia and the US in controlling Ukraine. It is basically a failed state with an ageing an destitute population, barely maintained soviet infrastructure and without that much in the way of resources that either party doesn’t already have. Other than securing Crimea’s water supply, it would have been easier for Russia simply to offer everyone in the Donbass a free passport and resettlement in Russia which already has plenty of land relative to it’s population. Similarly for the US, there isn’t really much of strategic value there. They would be much better off trying to repair damaged relationships in the middle east, which has at least two thirds of the world’s remaining oil and will be far more important than Europe going forward.
Well written, but you speak from total ignorance. The Donbass has enough coal to power half of Russia (or all of the Ukraine and then some) for CENTURIES. There is believed to be perhaps a trillion dollars of gas off the coast of Crimea, mostly unexplored. The Ukraine is also an exporter of electricity (up until they got bombed) and could potentially power much of eastern Europe.
More importantly, whoever controls Crimea and its main port, dominates or at least threatens Russia’s main export route for oil and wheat (coming out of Novorossiisk.) And, the Ukrainian border in the northeast, is just 600km, less than 400 miles, from Moscow.
Also, the USA has clearly used the Ukraine war to assume total political and economic dominance over Europe, at a relatively low cost to itself. It’s been worth every penny.
Next time, do the research and learn something before you spout off.
Yes, I understand your points re port access etc.
Russia already has hundreds of years in coal supply and the world’s largest natural gas reserves.
What exactly does US control over Europe actually offer long term? They do not have any natural resources that the US does not have. There may be some additional weapons sales, although the ability of Europe to buy many American goods going forward is likely to be limited as their industrial base collapses under $300 barrel equivalent gas prices and similar electricity prices.
USA has plenty of coal, although in 5-10 years time oil and gas production will go into long term irreversible decline. After fracking/tight oil, there is very little left. Why maintaining Saudi Arabia as a client state would be more valuable to the US than all of Europe. Obsession over Europe is not grounded in any practical reality of long term US interests. US would be better off pursuing better relationship with Russia if anything.
You must be new here. As I have said more than a couple times, the economic cost or benefit to the average American (or to America as a society) has nothing to do with anything. The U.S. foreign policy establishment, military-industrial complex, and of course the energy industry are cleaning up royally over this conflict. Try stepping out of your tiny little mental block box for a minute. Otherwise, why the fuck are you here? Just to hear yourself?
PS: Saying Russia doesn’t need Donbass coal because it has enough of its own, you are some kind of dim bulb. The world is running out of everything, sooner or later. The Donbass may be the world’s largest coal deposit. There is also likely enough gas offshore from Crimea to turn the Ukraine into a major exporter.
I hope Jacob will deign to call me a dipshit for my answer.
1. The US can put nuclear missiles and non-nuclear military weapons in Ukraine to threaten Russia (see Cuban Missiles crisis). It’s analogous to holding a g,un to russia’s head during all future negotiations.
2. The US/NATO can deny Russia access to the black sea. Sea access is a necessity for projecting military power globally. On maps it looks like Russia has plenty of sea access in the far north, but most of that’s frozen year round and difficult to use. If Russia loses access to the black sea and baltic sea, then other countries can attack russia from afar but russia can’t attack anyone else from afar, and russia can be isolated from most international trade.
3. Russia just took a bunch of oblasts from Ukraine, but actually the reverse could have played out. Imagine the donbass civil war continues and the conflict pushes into russian territory. Suddenly russian oblasts are holding nato-backed referendums to secede from Russia.
Window, don’t ask for Dreizin to abuse you, that’s crazy talk. He’ll do it for free.
Some of the issues you raise are interesting, but you’ve got that balance wrong. Point (1) is captain obvious stuff. (2) Black Sea – In a total war situation, the Black Sea is a bathtub of death for the Russian Navy, so they’ll never put too many Naval assets there, Crimea itself more important. Russia is investing in masses of smaller corvettes, some that can traverse their Rivers, all that can fire relatively cheap cruise missiles (the technology is older than me and they have plenty of washing machines, should be obvious by now). Short of total war, Russia controls the Sea itself, Turkey plays both sides and let’s them float thru, in part because the Anglo powers have historically shafted Turkey. Also – just checking a map – looks like Russia has a Pacifc port too, but if you think Russia cares about being a Naval power, re-focus. That’s a China problem. Russia is acting to not be chopped up into statelets and ravaged like a Ukrainian OnlyFans performer. Russia might well offer up a chunk of their Eastern territory to China – because the USA is offering the same *’ing thing as booty. Point (3) no, the western powers wouldn’t bother running an election. They’d hand out mono-colored t-shirts and burn down the downtowns.
Thanks for all your past efforts…have a well earned break and I look forward to your return in the new year.
Is there anywhere an English-only speaker can go to get a reasonable assessment of what’s going on in Ukraine? Other than The Dreizin Report, I mean. Martyanov is a bullshitter, MacGregor is too. The Saker is, too. How about Moon of Alabama or Sonar21 (Larry C Johnson). The Duran guys blather on. The New Atlas guy (Brian Berletic)? Obviously the American media is full of shit. What are places might there be – if any? Considering that it seems to be kind of important – a battle between the US & its vassals and the emerging BRICS countries – it seems reasonable to be interested in what’s actually happening there.
I’m the only English-language source on the Ukraine war who (1) is not MSM or any other Narrative zombie, (2) is not an “alt” bullshitter like Martyanov, Larry Johnson (“sonar21”), New Atlas, Big Serge, etc., (3) consistently publishes original content, and (4) speaks and reads Russian.
Although he’s a convicted perv, Scott Ritter has been shockingly good on this topic, overall. However, he doesn’t know Russian and thus his analysis is, while accurate, fairly generalized and based only on his gut feeling and general knowledge of history and military affairs, not backed up by specific facts or examples that might be of interest to an audience.
…….Col MacGregor too, speaks from experience which you cannot remotely match. All of his reasoning is well founded and based upon intelligent analysis which depends upon his vast experience in the military. Yes, he could still be wrong, but that is obvious: nobody can predict the future, yet, given the available information, certainly far from complete, his analysis are solid, regardless of their “predictive” value…..
LMAO you dumb fuck. MacGregor was reading my newsletter back in March/April (he reached out to me, several times), and LITERALLY REPEATING ME on Tucker Carlson’s show. That was after he started to sober up. In late February through early March, he had told Tucker as well as Stuart Varney, that the war was practically “over”, and Russia was just doing a “mopping-up operation.” How’d that work out? This guy shit his pants so bad, he should have climbed into a hole and disappeared, eight months ago. You’re a fucking idiot, you and people like you, who follow “alt” fools even when they’re consistently wrong (Martyanov’s even worse.) Get the hell off my blog.
I’m curious: you say 10:1 kill ratios are the realm of science fiction, but didn’t the first gulf war well exceed that? I thought that was more like 100:1. And I thought the Soviet-Finnish war wasn’t *that* far from 10:1. Are those numbers propaganda? Overall, I guess you are persuading me you know better than others about the Ukraine war death tolls.
LOL, no one knows how many Iraqis were in killed in 70 days of unimpeded bombing, before the week-long ground war, in which “coalition” dead were much greater than 1 to 100 or even 1 to 10. You must be a young one.
Happy Kwanza to you and yours!
It´s quite frightening to see a, How many only read the headline and b, How many that skim/doesn´t comprehend the article even here.
I do enjoy your ´tude and analysis and I laugh regularly when reading, your answering comments are truly funny.
Sentences between “*” are sole for comedy.
*Regarding the blood sacrifice I can only say that at the very least they are Noahide compliant, not a word about Jesus Christ. For further jocularity I urge you to read up what “bad people” are reborn as according to the Church of the latter days saints(spraying coffee funny if you take it non-woke).*
Ever thought about setting up a “Locals” account, in order to get some remuneration for your work?
Fragging? There is no mention of fragging and I would think this would be huge on the Ukraine side.
I remember during the Vietnam war this was happening, specially with fresh ROTC officers thinking they new everything. Me thinks this would be an ideal situation for a dude who’s been rounded up and sent to the front to deal with a dick head officer.
Being a frontline soldier in the Ukrainian army is a near death sentence regardless of whether your officer is competent or not. Artillery don’t care, and its gonna find you sooner or later.
Mostly it’s the guys slow to get off a Slava Ukraini or do it with the wrong accent who are getting a “reverse” fragging.
https://twitter.com/politblogme/status/1599788824111874048?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw
When you said you were retiring, then qualified it in the post that it is for this month only, I felt you were channeling Jackson Hinkle for a moment there. 🙂 Happy Holidays!!!!
Ah, and Happy Holidays!
Love your work. Do you think the German economy is as F’ed as I do, and we are seriously looking at the engine of Europe being de-industrialized? No more cheap energy means non-competitiveness for German industry. The rubber has to hit the road at some point but the DAX just keeps chugging along, for now. Also, many politically apathetic people (myself included), hate the fact that the US is subsidizing this Nazi, totalitarian shit-show in Ukraine… but even if thousands of people in each state call their Congressman to bitch, will it make any difference whatsoever? You come from this world… if the politicians get their big checks from lobby groups, do they hear a v/m from constituents and say “whatever, little people” before hitting the delete button?
Hey, you worked in Congress? Sounds like it. That’s precisely how it works!
Awesome as usual!
Bitcoin origin was attributed to CIA (or DARPA) long time ago, since the discovery of a paper describing similar idea.
The dark money part is a great theory, although not a single satoshi moved anywhere from Satoshi’s account since the inception.
This long post is quintessential Jacob Dreizin. Tragedy and despairing humor all rolled up into one. It was a bipolar experience going through it: Hysterical laughter one moment followed by grim horror the next. What a messed-up world! But, honestly, we should be paying something for such unique and brilliantly quirky content. Enjoy your (brief) retirement!
the Ukraine, ROLF
Great post.
Teslas and other coal powered cars have become a religious loyalty test for anyone to the left of the divide. That combined with the fortunes being made from green energy by the overlords mean that there will be no sane reckoning where countries quit mandating coal powered cars in the near future.
I have come across the unproven (and I am sure soon to be discredited) conspiracy theory that Teslas and the rest of the coal powered cars are a way to end individual transportation for the middle and working classes. During a religious frenzy it is hard to determine if that is too coherent a scam to be authentic or just a happy, for the rulers, by product. If the masses no longer can afford a car or don’t buy them because they can’t afford to replace the battery, that will raise the status for the upper classes even more. Let the peasants ride bicycles or, in the suburbs and small towns, imaginary busses.
Kind sir thanks for the “blitz” and refreshing frankness!
Enjoy your time off with the family!
Let them eat batteries!
Here you go Mr.Dreizin.. a song written to resonate with much if what you’ve said.https://youtu.be/9M9Lu-HGtPM
Enjoy your break.
Dreizin, I think you are way off the target when it comes to Ukrainian KIA. One hundred KIA per day makes it to 24000 in the war so far. While retreating from Kherson, Surovikin stated that AFU had 9500 KIA in that part of the front, from the beginning of September until the mid November. Mariupol was massive just as much. I honestly don’t think anybody can track these numbers, not even intelligence agencies. One hundred thousand seems a lot more realistic at least to me.
Sure, believe whatever you want, you’re the expert so go with whatever “seems” right for your feelings.
Dreizin also said wounded are 4 to 1 and 85% of that are “definitive wounded”. If you count them, then the figure is more than 50K, which could be. I don’t think the ratio can be possibly be near the 2 to 1 figure anyway. Maybe it was in the first months, but after Mariupol it has probably been 1 to 4.
Also the author looks to contradict himself as first he talks about UAF basically running out of men, while 50K for an army of 4-500K is significant but not decisive. If he is right UAF could run this for other 3 years easily without any further mobilitation. Even though the arm upply is the most critical point of course.
Hey dipshit, do you have a reading comprehension problem? I never said the Ukr army is running out of men in service, in fact I affirmed the opposite for now. What I said is the Ukr is very near the limit of its mobilization potential. Wake the fuck up when you read.
And no, the frontline army (that almost all casualties are coming from) is not 450-500K.
so you have problems with logic: if they are not running out of men, why they should mobilize?lol
By the way, why they are mobilizing so much if they have lost just 25000 soldiers?
Hey dumbass, the Ukraine needs to further mobilize (beyond the enormous efforts already made to date) because Russia has just mobilized and will shortly outnumber them on the battlefield… which is a death sentence, as up till now, Russian forces were far outnumbered (the only clear advantage the Ukrainians ever had.)
I think everyone else here understands this, I’ve written about it more than a few times. You don’t listen or grasp anything because you’re a blockhead. You just want to hear yourself spew, not looking to learn anything.
Sadly (as much as I’d love to), I just don’t have time to go back and forth endlessly with every dimwit virgin troll who has nothing else going on in his life.
Hope you are right about bitcoin. Cant wait till the spooks need it to go back to $64k. Buy now.
”I want to lose 35 pounds and be supersexy again…”
Doable…not as hard as you think.
I lost 45 pounds after going carnivore. Forty pounds came off in 3 months. I can’t eat only meat anymore, but while I did it worked great. I’m no longer a type 2 diabetic thanks to the diet. Can’t hurt to try it.
In September, the Russain MOD claimed that the Ukraine had suffered 61,000 kia, with Russian losses at approximately 6,000. At this point we can expect tens of thousands more to have died, but according to your metrics, these losses would be substantially less. Approximately 27,000 kia for the Ukraine. How to account for this discrepancy?
How to account? Easy. Idiots believe any propaganda from their prefered side, even if it’s a fantastic claim of a 10 to 1 kill ratio.
What is fantastic about that claim? Ukraine has overstretched logistics, Russians are firing 10 times more shells and missiles. Why bother that much only to have 2:1 kill ratio? If that is indeed the kill ratio, Russia has no chance of winning the war. The Ukrainians are consent to biological extermination of their military-age man. Russia is not. If those are Russian losses Putin will fall without a doubt.
What is fantastic is that it’s 10 to 1. That only happens in science fiction where guys with guns go back in time to fight knights in shining armor. Sorry. You should read less comic books.
How about guys with RSZO fighting guys with guns? How about a sea-based cruise missile launched from 500km saying hello to a guy in a trench while he is taking shit? Does that work for you?
The Ukraine had 500+ “RSZO” at the start of the war, as well as around 900 tactical ballistic missiles with 450-500kg payload warheads, of which they managed to launch hundreds. They still have scores of “RSZO” at least, including at least 20 remaining HIMARS launchers from the USA. FYI, no one launches cruise missiles at trenches. Go back to reading the fake Russian calling himself “The Saker”, you obviously have his site bookmarked, I know your type. My blog is not for you.
I didn’t know that “The Saker” was fake Russian lol. I don’t even know what that means, but there you go, I will trust you. I have read maybe a half a dozen articles there at most, not later than 2 months ago. I do follow Martyanov regularly tho, he is a funny old dude. Probably a real Russian for that matter. Guy thinks that Russia is stronger than all of the West combined lol.
Martyanov is a mega-bullshitter, in his own parralel reality, he has been wrong about everything so far. That should be obvious to all, by now.
Martyanov is a very technical guy. He knows a lot about strategic forces and submarines and ICBMs. Uncle Sam is waaaay behind in air-defence, they cannot protect jack shit in Ukraine. That is the only reason why they are conservative about giving Patriot to the AFU, it is a Swiss cheese. But yeah, he and the Duran, and Larry Johnson are overhyping RuAF by large extend. I mean, I am a Serb, I obviously want Russia to win, but I don’t want to build analysis on false premises.
AFAIU the number of 6000 KIA was for casualties of the Russian army, LPR and DPR not included, which may have had the biggest casualties. I might err and it is hard to verify for me, as I don’t speak Russian and oh gosh citing correctly is something unknown today…
losing 35 pounds and becoming supersexy is forbidden on this website
Every time I buy a battery-operated tool I purchase one with two batteries. I find they last about 6-8 years, (sometimes less) and when I seek a replacement the battery costs more than the original purchases. What you said about the EV’s is spot on. I live in Kali and am not worried about Newsome’s big no gas engine plan. None of these con’s will work and that will become evident in time. Musk is only revealing from Twitter worthless information that we already knew. There is no Federal law that I can find that criminalizes what the individual members of the government did censoring Americans. But maybe it will give ammo for lawsuits against those anti 1st amendment actors.
enjoy your time off Jacob and Godspeed to your family. I’ll be waiting for your first post in 2023.
Jacob, enjoy your time off. Although I didn’t start following you until March I’ve enjoyed your rants and raving’s, some I agree with some I don’t but nevertheless you’re the best thank you for all your hard work.
Power tool makers have no concern for battery longevity, max run time is the only care so they allow for deep discharge and full cycles which significantly reduce lifespan. The cars unless beaten like a dog with fast chargers and always running them down to zero will have thousands of useful charges, and for most that is well over 10 years. Going with the average commute of 18 miles, you can get much longer life span calculations than that.
If it was 10 (plus) years, Tesla would warranty the battery for 10 years, seeing as replacing the battery on your own, costs as much as buying a cheaper car. Instead (since you obviously didn’t read what I wrote), not only do they warranty for 8 years, they also warranty that the battery at 8 years will be at no less than **70 percent** of original capacity. What that tells you, on average, at 10 years, you might as well throw the thing away. Tesla obviously knows, they have identified when their battery function downslope goes off a cliff, it’s right there in the warranty. Why are you arguing with the manufacturer??? Just to fucking argue because you’re a troll?
Once again, an excellent expose´ of what ails us and also serves to document our decline. But is that enough? My sense is that things must get worse before they can get better. Ukraine is an example. A few hundred missiles and drones targeted at key infrastructure nodes results in no electricity, no water, no sanitation (toilets require water to operate), and no natural gas for residential heating. And the Ukraine military is sucking up all the diesel, so no commercial trucking to restock groceries, so widespread food shortages. Now you are thirsty, hungry, freezing in the dark, and the toilet won’t flush. And all the able-bodied men are dead or dying far away. When this happens, something has got to give. People are not going to just sit quietly in their apartments and die in the dark. But what to do? Give them direction.
If a male wants to leave Ukraine he can identify as a woman. I’m sure the regime is LGBTQwerty friendly, right?
Hah! Some guy tried that. It was in the MSM, a sob story.
Happy Hollidays, Dreizin, see you next year!
Hi Dreizin,
[1] How did you get KIAss of russia and ukraine fixed to 50 and 100 respectively while russia application is superior due to combined operation forces involved? When russia provides figures, it uses the word “destroyed” and “eliminated”. Russian MoD has mentioned “wounded” separately as well. Are your estimates accurate or conservative?
[2] Republicans and democrats voters have nothing in common with respect to agenda unless something dramatic happens w.r.t immigration policies. De-santis seemed to be hardline republican? Could he get more democrat-leaned voters than trump got in 2016. I am assuming now polarization among voters is more than in 2016.
[3] Why are there no efficiency related tests w.r.t covixd-19 vacccxiness in US. This is the job of FDA. Isn’t it?
Hello. Russia’s MOD has their daily bullshit briefing that includes the daily claimed enemy losses, but their cumulative count (occasionally released on a pretty slide) is much more down to earth, and does not use “exterminated” etc., thus clearly includes the wounded. You can choose to believe the higher number daily BS if you wish. Obviously, everyone believes what they want to believe.
Good to see someone who always remains to be on same side. If your figures are true, what does it mean. Russia isn’t using fire power as expected? or poor ISR capabilities? or is russia still delusional about peace. From this, we can say no matter what military maneuvers that russia and ukraine might make. It finally depends on economic, social factors or USA abandoning this ukraine project forever.
Great post. Enjoy the short “retirement”.
Back in the early 80s my physics teacher, known colloquially as “Sid”, was a former WW2 RAF air crewman. One of the boys in the class had drawn a swastika on his exercise book. He was not a Nazi and I think he was copying some pop group or something. But I will never forget the reaction. He very calmly said: “I lost many of my friends fighting that. Please make sure you never show that again.”
Totally shocking that this type of imagery and behaviour is going on in Ukraine and that the so called democratic, peace loving west seems to think it is all fine.
Stepping back, the vak-seens, Ukraine and electric cars do seem to be an unholy Trinity of money making scams enforced by propaganda at the expense of the people.
Great finale for 2022! Thanks.
Yes, the Ukrainians have gone batshit crazy and not just the ones in Ukraine. Here in Canada we have a large Ukrainian diaspora, most of whom have lost their sense of reason.
Case in point, there was a procession organized at St Peter’s Square in Rome over Easter where the organizers decided to have a Ukrainian and Russian woman walk together as a sign of peace and reconciliation. One of the Ukrainian cultural organizations here in Canada had a meltdown over that, strongly criticizing the Pope for the gesture. While I’m no fan of this current papacy, to me, the gesture struck me as the one thing that every Christian (or anyone of good will) should get behind. Unfortunately, many have made Ukraine their idol and traded glory to God for glory to Ukraine. In light of that, the repression of the Orthodox Christians in Ukraine is unsurprising. When Christianity is co-opted by nationalism (like the “German Christian” movement during WW2) it’s lost its way.
Jacob, peace to you and yours this season! Thanks for your work on this blog. It’s a source of consolidation and encouragement to know that there are a few others out there who are thinking about issues critically instead of blindly falling in line with the mainstream. I look forward to catching up on your analysis in 2023.
Given how the Ukrainian government is trying to control the media, can somebody explain me how Gonzalo Lira is still making videos?
Good question. I stumbled across Lira in the early days of the SMO when I was grasping around looking for objective sources of information. However, I came to the conclusion that he’s mostly a self-promoting clown (with occasional moments of insight). I haven’t listened to him since his arrest, brief incarceration, release and return to public commenting. Something about that episode seems very suspicious to me. But then, everything about Ukraine seems like a house of mirrors. Very difficult to discern what’s really going on.
My conclusions exactly, Martin K.
Something about Lira does not compute.
He has presented a lot of material as his original ideas where anyone watching the principal available sources of info and analysis knew darn well that Lira had appropriated other people’s work without crediting them. The whole disappearance thing was not credible. Since t hen I basicalliy don’t watch him. I did watch his program with Alex Krainer and Tom Luongo because IMO Krainer is one of the smartest guys out there.
He is US citizen. Though enemy to Biden’s and Zelensky’s regimes, Zelensky’s regime cannot touch Us citizen. They cannot disappear him as their own Ukrainian citizens. SBU could kill him and fake his death as accident but he is not worth the risk. Because Gonzalo Lira does not go to deep analyses of Zelensky’s regime. Partly because he cannot speak the local language. He says mostly some regular stuff that could be said on the opposite side of the world. I mean the fact he is dwelling in Ukraine has nearly zero benefit to his followers.
This is a great question. It’s one I have wanted to ask but didn’t know who to bounce it off. He’s living in the Ukraine to the best of my knowledge with some pretty formidable dudes wanting to shut down pro Russian shit. Last video I watched of his (couple weeks ago) he spoke of the power outages. The fact he’s still alive is as mind bending as China’s Zero C0v1d policy.
Great read.
Enjoy your time off JD.
Well done! You scared the shit out of me but you will be back! Youre perspective is of great value to look at the things that are happening! Have a Nice holiday Season!
I was coming up with all sorts of theories on your absence:
– you were under the weather
– you had a Thanksgiving like “Scarface” meets “The Wolf of Wall Street”
– they finally took you out, you were renditioned, and were now in a shipping container suspended from the ceiling of a warehouse in Morocco
– you were waiting for all the mid – term results to come in lol
Welcome back. Looking forward to 2023!
Thanks, Jacob, for this excellent, thought provoking post.
Enjoy your vacation!
Did the native Americans use javelins? Maybe they could have a collection around the museums and ship them off to Kiev.
I am an engineer by training. Later, I studied operations research. Both courses at Imperial College. I come from a family of engineers. We all studied before the Age of Woke.
Around 5 years ago, in Cairns, Australia, I tried to explain to a bunch of Aussies that Elon Musk was a con man. They thought he was a genius. It was obvious to me that he had the Deep State or something like that supporting him. I am glad that you came to the same conclusion.
You live in Australia? Good luck talking sense into anyone over there.
I live in Cairns Jacob and your steriotyping of Australia is plain ridiculous.
I am an Expat and Aussies here are not like family in Uk & USA & German colleagues that are so propangandised with Russsophobia.
No one wanted jabbing either in my wide experience until State Govs forced No Jab No Job.
So cease the lazy remarks – how anyone in the USA can slag off others when they have Biden as President is just laughable
Dreizin, I think you are waaaay off on the Ukraine casualties. One hundred a day means 22000 so far in the conflict. While retreating from Kherson, Surovikin was talking about 9500 KIA in UA offensive only. Also, Zelenskyy mentioned 100 KIA per day a while ago. It is higher than that man, certainly. Also wrt to WIA/KIA ratio for AFU, 4.0 is to high imo. Some AFU officer (Svoboda battalion I think) spoke about them living in wet trenches surrounded by dead bodies (Bakhmut area). It is tough there for sure, hard to survive even a small concussion let alone a bleeding wound.
Bitcoin nonsense is probably coming to an end, so it won’t matter anyway. It can not compete with the centralized monetary sistem. But it will continue to be a cult thing lol.
Thank you Sir, have a very Merry Christmas and a Happy New Year. I like the longer posts, makes it a little more human. My best to you and yours, and see you next year.
Interesting that David Icke is wary of Musk as well.
1996 concerning the Bitcoin scam…
“https://groups.csail.mit.edu/mac/classes/6.805/articles/money/nsamint/nsamint.htm”
looks like Bitcoin to me.
No, it is not bitcoin. Those MIT classes describe basic electronic payment with some extra features of anonymity.
Nick Fuentes is pro Russian, he said so, I also guessed so. Your still confused on stolen valor. A group of people operating on confusion and changing the definition of words, but hey Merry Christmas, Thanks for the all the stuff on whats happening over there. Your triple agent provocateur will be waiting for your next post on the flip.
Don’t post this comment or you will get coal.
What
In regards to casualties
Could Jacobs estimates about Ukrainians killed in action be that low
30k Ukr KIA vs 15k Rus KIA
The Russian number makes sense, but the Ukrainian number seems quite low, just based on the 9 to 1 artillery advantage (Arestovich, taken with a pinch of salt) the Russian have, or am I missing something?
And when Douglas MacGregor says that there are 10 to 1 casualty rates, and I believe he also pegged the figures of killed Ukr at close to 100k. Shoigu 2 months ago placed that number at 67k (I think)
Question is, has the casualty rates skewed dramatically in Russia’s favor, now, late in the game?
Douglas McGregor went on Fox News several times in late February and into mid-March, and said the war was basically over, it was just a “mopping-up operation.” Douglas McGregor is full of shit.
Makes me think of the line “like whipped cream on shit”.
Hope the other stuff you’ve got to deal with during your short retirement is mostly pleasant. Thanks for the “monster mash-up”. Wow. Enjoy the holidays with your loved ones.
Enjoy your, well earned, holiday. I look forward to reading more blogs in 2023. When you get through with the Ukraine fiasco and the U.S. implosion you might want to have a look at how entrenched fascism works in Australia. Cheers.
Middle realm = Zhong guo = 中国 = China.
The guy was Chinese.
PS. That’s furlough, not retirement.
The last name is (supposedly) Nakamoto.
P.S. I was permanently suspended from Twitter in July over a remark about Ukraine. It was deemed “hateful conduct,” though it didn’t sound like hateful conduct to me, more like an accurate observation. It kind of felt like a part of me died. I had had that account for over 10 years, and was a prolific poster. I recently started trying to appeal my suspension because of Musk’s “commitment to free speech.” I keep being told they’re reviewing my account. I suspect the people who were suspended for “hateful conduct” might have a harder time being reinstated because of pressure on Musk from left wing activists worried about hate speech. I’m wondering how serious he is about reinstating people. I am discovering a movement on Twitter called “bringthemback.” There are A LOT of suspended accounts. I wonder how many of them came this year after being long-time members on Twitter.
Is Musk genuinely committed to free speech or is this some kind of PR stunt to promote his personal interests and agenda – whatever that is?
I’m in the same boat. My account got suspended for spreading hate, even though I was showing examples of MSM articles talking about Ukraine’s far right problem.
Maybe, just maybe, he needs to do this TwitterFiles thing first to blunt any opposition from globohomo. After all, Apple and the EU did threaten him last week. But I’m not getting my hopes up.
Great information.
I got sick more than three weeks ago, and am still having symptoms. I swear I got something while standing in line to vote. The polling place was way more crowded than any time in my memory and several people were coughing and sniffling, etc. Someone at work suggested I might have RSV. I said, “what’s that?” I had never heard of it, and I’ve been around awhile. I have always gotten bad colds or flu, but this virus seems to be lasting way longer than normal. Could be because I’m older, but I’m pretty healthy otherwise. Have not had a fever or body aches, just respiratory symptoms. I did not get the mRNA vakseen. I got a different vakseen, and have not had Kovid.
Ukraine sounds bleak.
Wow you must have drank a solid 55gal drum of coffee ( lol)! I have a lot to digest till January .Tesla cars are really not that great my opinion on body design anyway, they look over tall to hide the battery pack , weight to power ratio in my opinion again obviously will never match ICE cars- green suckers, the buyer’s.
With respect to electric vehicles you forgot to mention the thousands that burst into flame from salt water corrosion from hurricane Ian here in Florida. Some even burned down the owners house if it was parked in a garage. They also take hours to put out and require special training for fire fighters.
https://yournews.com/2022/10/11/2431285/salt-water-turns-electric-vehicles-into-severe-fire-hazards/
Musk, like Gates and Zuckerberg, made their money through appropriating technology developed by others. Government-developed tech, usually. They then have to depend on people with actual knowledge in tech areas to grow and maintain their ill-gotten empires. They are the luckiest cons, not supergeniuses that just also happen to be money- and power-hungry.
THIS. IS. A. MASTERPIECE!!
A sabbatical, for the Dean of Hard Facts at the University of Fog Cutters.
Separately on your reply to Jay, besides DNA based not having all the problems of RNA, there are also protein based shats, and one Novavax uses a much better site on vir-rus that in the wild is much less likely to be subject to evolutionary pressure to develop a response. Hopefully less change, and provides wider varmi-ant protection. Most interesting thing is report that Novavax creates some mucosal immunity. It is the OEM making the claim, but this late in the game, it’s using test results and not computational hocus pocus.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BFdzNUus_CE
at the 3hr 10 minute mark, goes for about 25 minutes with Q&A
https://www.express.co.uk/news/science/1625726/china-kicked-out-uk-nuclear-project-sizewell-c-energy-crisis-edf-kwasi-kwarteng
It begins to move, perhaps more details soon.
Novavax is a junk with more toxicity than mRNA. In the comparative studies, the heart side-effects were greater than mRNA.
“August 7, 2022 – LONDON, Aug 3 (Reuters) – The European Medicines Agency (EMA) is recommending Novavax’s COVID-19 vakkseen carry a warning of the possibility of two types of heart inflammation, an added burden for a shawt that has so far failed to win wide uptake.”
“Nov 2022 The EU-approved CO-VID-19 vakkseen Nuvaxovid should not be administered to people aged 30, and below due to increased health risks posed by it, the Swedish Public Health Agency announced this week.
Nuvaxovid was the fifth CO-VID-19 vaccine to be approved by the EU.
After initially approving the vakkseen for people aged 18 and over, the Public Health Agency announced on Tuesday that the vakkseen presented a danger for people aged 30 and below as it increases the risk of heart muscle inflammation and pericarditis – more commonly known as heart muscle inflammation and pericardial effusion – even though the risk remains “very low”.
It may be a danger, but, I won’t take at face value any European claim that it’s worse than Europe’s preferred vakkseenz. Of course, they are looking at their own preferred brands with rose-tinted glasses. We’re talking HUGE money to European pharma companies that make this stuff (some of it under license from the USA, but nonetheless)… as well as truly dangerous levels of political and bureaucratic prerogative, ego, career interest, and plain inertia. Same reason they (and the USA) never even approved ANY of the Russian vakk-seenz, which have been demonstrated to be MUCH more effective in preventing symptoms than the Novavax (no one denies this.) They simply won’t accept large-scale outsourcing of their golden calf to China, or Russia (even long before the war), if they don’t have to.
I have a question regarding mRNA vs DNA vakk-seens. If we put all conspiracies aside and pretend like the various western governments are acting in our best interest then what reason can they give for deciding to go ahead with a totally unproven method of vakk-sen-ating which will be rolled out en masse whilst in the midst of an “emergency”. It seems like a giant gamble and contradicts all the risk adverse decisions that were made during 2020 – 21. I’ve seen the Pfye-zzer CEO talk about how he was surprised when told of the decision to go with this tech and how he was later convinced that it was the right way to move forward but I’ve never heard the actual explanation for this seemingly counter intuitive direction of travel. Plus western governments were placing purchase orders before it had even finished the testing phase so it can’t be that they were making the decision based off results. Mr Dreizin Is there any logical reason for using mRNA instead of DNA technology for the vakk-seen?
DNA/Ad,enov.irus va,cci,nes are also very new/untested. The co,vi,d DNA va,cci,nes were the first ones widely used/approved ever. And the J&J’s adeno/DNA va,cci,ne seemed to have severe problems with blo,odc,lots. If adeno/DNA ultimately ends up being safer than mRNA, then random chance has a lot do with it I’d say — both were a very bad idea. I guess adeno is SLIGHTLY more tested than mRNA, but it’s minor. That said, they were probably interested in testing mRNA tech because it’s more flexible for future va,cci,nes and genome editing via CRISPR.
Thanks WindowBug, ok yes that makes sense but I was actually mistaken in my terminology, after reading “DNA” in the article and in a comment I just used that term instead of what I actually meant which was traditional vakk-seens that use a weakened or dead version of the vy-rus or something like that. I agree that they were probably keen to use this tech because they see future potential but that is still not a justification to roll out a basically untested product to the entire population in the middle of a “crisis”.
Ah, in the past, they tried traditional va,cci,ne methods for other types of co,ron,avi,rus,es and they always proved ineffective. Remember, co,rona,vi,rus,es are not new and have been studied for a long time. I guess using adeno and mRNA for vac,ci,nes hadn’t been proven to fail for cor,onavi,rus,es yet, so they just went with it.
That’s in addition to just wanting to get mRNA working as I said. If mRNA had worked well, then it could be applied to CRISPR genome editing soon.
I was skeptical of your variant X prediction — I think I might have been one of the very first to comment “v,i,r,u,s,e,s get weaker over time” or something to that effect. However, I got c,o,v,i,d in 2021 or something and it was very mild — just one day of feeling feverish and then normal. My parents also got it around 2020 or 2021 as well and it was nothing to them. Almost no symptoms except some sniffles.
Then my parents and I got it again, last week, from Thanksgiving and it absolutely hammered us. Way, way worse than last time for me and I can’t remember my parents ever getting that sick — definitely not in the last 20 years. Empirically, it does appear to be getting worse.
It was your best rant ever, Dreizen. The Variant X stuff, though, sounds like AJ on meth. It would make a lot more sense if you support it with good evidence (or maybe you’ll get your PhD in virology by late January!). One thing I have noticed though is politicians here have stopped saying “get va…” (you know) and they’re looking for ways to destroy evidence…
Your second paragraph about getting Covid recently: This happened to a colleague of my work too. And to one of my friend. In CZR (central Europe). Whatever. They were tested for Covid and their tests were positive. So theirs GPs reported them to the authorities, they were treated as covid-positive and had to follow rules for covid-infected including week-long quarantine. But in my opinion, this looks as bullshit to me. The last covid variant is soooooooooo weak and these people were not covid-vaccinated. I think covid lobby is still sooooooooooo huuuuuge I think their real illness was caused by something different than Covid (possibly regular seasonal flu) and falsely attributed to Covid. I think it might have been the same case with family of yours.
Enjoy your vacation from blogging mate. See you in January.
Bitcoin is not money. It is not a commodity, because a commodity can be seized by a government or its ownership transferred by the outcome of a court case. It’s not a security, obviously, because again, it’s ownership cannot be adjudicated by a court of law. It’s a decentralized database. It’s unlike anything that has ever existed, and there are no laws regulating decentralized databases, because nobody ever imagined that a cryptographically-secured decentralized database would grow to be so useful and valuable.
I don’t understand Bitcoin at all! But one thing that I find contradictory/even more confusing, are the continual reports that the dastardly North Koreans keep stealing Bitcoins to finance their nuclear weapons program. sort of ; what are they actually stealing and how do they convert that into materials and wages?
And Merry Xmas to Jacob too.
Very interesting comments on Musk/Tesla/Twitter. I myself speculated that Musk has seen the writing on the wall concerning the Green/Net Zero agenda and is bailing out to “greener” (metaphorically speaking) business pastures. He may be a con man, but in this respect so are most American businessmen. At least he is partly “giving back” (oh, how I hate that phrase) with his Twitter campaign.
It is definitely “Wait and see” with Musk.
Could his free speech Twitter campaign be fueled to any extent by concern for his progeny’s future quality of life?
So enjoy your break and merry Christmas! On a trivial side note, due to power saving measures in my country, there are no Christmas lights in streets or malls, just decorations ……… even the Christmas trees are without lights…… and it adds to the “beginning of the end” nasty gloomy feeling that is in the (cold) air, winter has finally come…….. and one journalist (or maybe a bunch of them) choose this very moment to write an article saying that the cold will kill more people in Europe this year than the Russian army killing Ukrainians soldiers in the Ukraine. Bruxelles can’t lose face, can it ? They are even better than the Russian army since they can kill their own people without even firing a bullet. Enough with this madness and nonsense and happy new year
Love reading your work. Enjoy your break and have some fun with your family. God Bless you and keep up the good fight.
So, you’re saying base line 13,818 KIA and 55,272 wounded on the Russian side (probably mostly Ukrainian breakaway militia); and 27,354 KIA and 109,416 wounded on the Ukrainian side. To date. Hmmm. If true, this is a low intensity conflict. Considering the Allies lost 127,847 in just the 85 days of Operation Overlord (the Normandy invasion) – or 1,481 KIA per day. Not disputing anything you’re saying. Your numbers seem rational. It also explains why this conflict continues to drag on. The intensity of combat isn’t at the level of a major land war. It’s only half the intensity of the Vietnam war – a police action – where the US and allied casualties were about 282,000 KIA over nine years, or about 86 per day. Helps to put things into perspective.
Deliciously long post and yet, I wish it was longer. The electric kettle story had me laughing out loud .Have a well deserved break, Jacob. Happy Hollidays to you and your family.
Jacob, could you share how you keep track of losses for the Russian side? An average KIA ratio of 2:1 would imply that over the past few months the rolling ratio was closer to 1:1, which is surprising given the Russians’ massive artillery volume and missile strike advantages. Is the Russian system for calling in artillery that crap compared to what USA has given to Ukraine?
Thanks
Yes, I agree with you. given that most casualties, on both sides, are from artillery, I would expect the ratio to be much greater in favor of the Russian side – reflecting their decisive superiority in this field.
Another seldom mention aspect is missing in Action. Again, I would assume huge numbers on the Ukrainian side.