North Koreans joining the Russia-YooKrayne war: How it will probably look.

Folks, my webmaster Manny has again fully turned off the mass mailing function, except on occasional “freebie” posts (such as this one), which are purposefully sent, and rare.  I am sorry especially to those paid subscribers who, for some time, received emails with every comment that was written by anyone.  My blogging platform made some back-end changes and, as usual, didn’t tell us.  I thank readers Dave and Tina who alerted us to what was happening.  Now, it’s over.

Today’s “freebie” (the first in two months) is about “the North Koreans.”

It was easy to dismiss, because almost everything that comes out of the Reich is total BS, but, anomalies do happen.

Yes, North Korean military personnel are now in Russia, presumably headed for the war zone.

There is a widespread assumption (even among veteran Russian commentators) that they will be serving in their own, standalone, North Korean units.

In fact, this is VERY unlikely.

Simply, they don’t know the language (probably, even the best-prepared ones, would hardly be understandable over Russian tactical radio) and they have no combat experience and probably no directly relevant training, let alone, any command capacity for modern (that is, 2024) combined arms warfare.

It is much more likely, that they will be integrated into existing Russian units, same as the foreign mercs (or “volunteers”, whatever) on the Reich side.

In an assault unit, the optimal ratio of those who are only beginning to learn the language AND have no combat experience, would be not more than one in six.  In a second-echelon or border guard type unit, this could perhaps be one in four.

With ENOUGH North Koreans in play, they could potentially help to “restock” a number of Russian assault brigades and regiments, delaying the next round of mobilization within Russia, without which it will not be possible to continue multi-front offensive operations beyond this year.

From this perspective, the timing of the North Koreans’ arrival is perfect.

Again, that assumes enough North Koreans.  The 11,000 or 12,000 figure that’s been going around (based on claims by South Korea, which may or may not be accurate) may be sufficient to push off another mobilization by a month or two.  No, it’s not much, but it would allow Russia to avoid pulling more men away from their families shortly before the New Years’ holidays (“not a good look.”)

Also, there is obvious benefit to North Korea.  Those who survive and return home intact, would become the new elite of North Korea’s army.

South Korea’s military and intelligence establishment is obviously very concerned.

In 1950, South Korea was invaded by a Northern military force that was not merely equipped and generally trained by the USSR, but also led by Korean officers who had served as observers on the side of the Soviet army, in the last year or so of the war against Germany.  Most of the South was overrun, and only a major U.S. amphibious assault just northwest of Seoul, more or less brought down the North Korean army, allowing the USA and South Korea to (briefly) advance to as far as (in some places) the Chinese border.

(Subsequently, the Soviet Air Force, in many cases “pretending” to be Norea Korea’s air force, fought the U.S. Air Force and U.S. naval aviation for several years, over the peninsula and in nearby waters.)

So, you can understand the South’s sensitivity to having North Korean personnel participate in a war on Russia’s side.

Incidentally, as I mentioned in a recent piece, per a Gallup poll from last month, South Korea’s president has a 20 percent approval rating.

If you are wondering why South Korea is now routinely flying surveillance and pamphlet-dropping drones deep into the North (today, one was shot down near Pyongyang), there’s your answer.  20 percent.

The South has no Falkland Islands to invade, but, it can sure fuck around with some drones.

Thanks for reading.

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