- Moooooove over, Ukraine!
- Ghost of Kiev gets Infinity Gauntlet-ed,
- Izium-Slaviansk front,
- DREIZIN REPORT ORIGINAL VIDEO: If Russia’s “plan” was so perfect…,
- Chili comes to Jesus!
- My statement to the RNC,
- Putin’s thugs infiltrate the U.S. Capitol!
- Again, the ruble
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Folks, I really appreciate the nice emails. I no longer have time to respond to most. More to the point, I don’t respond to requests for deep, detailed answers to obscure questions that will never make it to the site. Instead of writing me, please consider leaving a comment here. I do read the comments, and I’m impressed with the level of intelligence and sophistication displayed. There is yet hope for us all!
Moooooove over, Ukraine!
Writing this on Monday evening, news came in that some Democrat clerk on the U.S. Supreme Court, evidently seeking to foment protest and intimidate the Republican-appointed judges, leaked a pending decision to overturn Roe v. Wade.
Not to argue abortion—the country was simply moving this way.
In the early 1970s, the era of Roe v. Wade, there was the “sexual revolution”, the welfare society, and things were breaking down. There was a glut of unwanted babies, born to very trashy mothers. Today, many Americans fly to Cambodia etc. (nuts!) to buy their children.
In short, there is a SEVERE supply-demand mismatch, and NO ONE CARED TO DO ANYTHING ABOUT IT.
Over time, the Supreme Court decision (if not walked back!) will reduce this imbalance by expanding DOMESTIC supply.
And, it’s great for the babies!
Of course, all the “Ukraine flag” Twitter accounts will forget about the Ukraine, REAL QUICK.
Overnight, America is back to eating itself.
Loving the country, not the politics, I think this switcheroo is funny as hell. Our actors in Congress were well overdue to start fake-hating each other again!
It also means the Ukraine will have to pull out all the stops, and then some, to bring attention back to itself (if that’s possible.)
We may soon hear some truly crazy s*** about Russians boiling people alive in vats of anthrax.
Either that, or “So long, Ukraine! You had your five minutes!”
The Ghost of Kiev gets Infinity Gauntlet-ed
Folks, I don’t think it’s fair, the way this guy has been rubbed out. He was a hero, he shot down 40 Russian planes, and now, with a snap of the fingers…..
…..he never existed.
How would you feel if this happened to you?
Oh, and someone please break it GENTLY to Dan Crenshaw. He was really excited about this guy.
Izium-Slaviansk front
For the last few weeks, the fronts in eastern Kharkov and the northern Donbass have been functionally merging, and now these areas cannot be viewed separately.
As I’ve described previously, Russia’s strategy differs greatly from the rapid-advance, “leave as many enemy behind us as possible” days of late February and early March.
It’s now one of very slow, deliberate grinding down of Ukrainian forces through massed artillery, aerial bombing, ground and sea-based missile attacks, nighttime commando raids, and occasional tank raids against weakened positions.
The Ukrainians bring up forces, they get wasted, they bring up more, get wasted, and slowly Russia (and the Donetsk forces further east) move in.
There is clearly no hurry to advance; the main goal is to wear out the Ukraine’s human resources—and then, ultimately, there will come a breaking point, and everything will take care of itself.
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Based on extensive prisoner accounts, today, we may confidently say that the majority, perhaps SIZEABLE majority, of Ukrainian forces deployed to the northern sector—with fighting primarily between Kharkov city and the Russian border, and then Izium southeast to Yampol’—were NOT in uniform as of February.
They are mobilized inactive-reservists, draftees, or (deployed from their home regions, in violation of their contracts) Territorial Defense militia.
What this tells you, is that the regular army has taken very substantial losses (likely including through desertion.)
I previously estimated that casualties in the northern sector since early April have been at least 3:1 in Russia’s favor. I now believe it’s more like 4:1.
It is telling that the Ukraine has failed to document even just one new Russian prisoner in the last few weeks (unless I missed something—but I don’t miss much.)
Many Ukrainian bodies will never be recovered—for example, those hit directly with an Iskander tactical ballistic missile (see below for demonstration purposes only), of which Russia continues to shoot at least several per day, each and every day, at Ukrainian sector command posts and platoon or company-sized strongpoints.
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If Russia’s “plan” was so perfect…
(2nd part of my big video release for this week)
In any war, not everything can be all rosy for one side. Please watch my below video for more information:
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Chili comes to Jesus!
I’ve done the research, and confirmed that the below video shows Sergei Velichko, callsign “Chili”, who despite his baby face (I think he’s older than he looks) was a longtime fascist activist leader in the Kharkov area, and then got involved in the war, signing up with the local Azov, Aidar, or some other “ideological” unit, where he became a platoon leader or something like that.
(I could look up all the fine details, but it doesn’t matter.)
Remember that video of caged Russian prisoners who were shot in the legs and left to bleed out and die?
That was Chili’s people. Or at least, Russia blamed Chili.
(BTW, what’s up with these “callsigns”? The original Donbass rebels from 2014, used callsigns because they were almost all from the Ukraine—from the Donbass, but also from as far as Odessa—and had to protect their families; they couldn’t let their names get out. Ukrainian forces, on the other hand, had no such worries; the Ukraine Security Service (local KGB successor) was not pursuing them or their wives or parents. Yet, they copy-catted the rebels, taking callsigns because it’s so “cool”, and using them to this day.)
Russia still blames Chili.
On the Ukrainian side, Chili is, of course, untouchable. No one’s going to arrest him. Perish the thought! Ukraine’s got all sorts of dudes slitting Russian prisoner throats on video, superstars with millions of hits. They’re all roaming free because hey, there’s a war on for Democracy!
NONETHELESS, Chili is now second-guessing himself, like those SS men who began selling Jews to representatives of the Jewish Agency from late 1943 onwards, to prove they were not the “bad” SS guys, but the “good” SS guys that should not be strung up, should Germany lose the war.
Here’s the Chili video:
Of course, like most Ukrainian military men, he prefers to speak in Russian, as that’s his language.
Here is my own translation:
“We, our unit, shot Russian(s) specifically prisoners in the legs. (These) people are prisoners, they surrendered, they are with bound hands. I don’t consider this to be right. I don’t know where this video came from. But I don’t consider this to be right.”
LOL, dude. You admit your people did it, but you don’t know where the video came from?
(And, what happened to the prisoners after your people shot them in the legs and left them to bleed out… Perhaps they died? Maybe, focus on that instead of the legs?)
In short: Repent, or don’t repent!
More to the point, for us as observers, what does today’s Chili know or suspect?
Why has he become a human rights activist?
My statement to the Republican National Committee (RNC)
This may seem “random”, but here goes.
If you are on the RNC, do not—UNDER ANY CIRCUMSTANCES—write to me to be unsubscribed from my mailing list, UNTIL you have found a way to permanently remove me from all mailing lists that your organization gives or sells to Republican candidates.
Below is part of a response that I sent to an RNC member yesterday, after he/she got a little saucy with me:
[NAME REDACTED],
I’m not selling anything, promoting any product, or asking for money, so, under Federal law, no, I am not required to have an unsubscribe link, or to unsubscribe you at all.
You can feel free to direct my emails to spam if you wish, that’s your call.
I get literally three hundred pieces of fundraising spam a day from you people, it never stops, you help preside over an organization that has given or sold all my personal email addresses to all comers, so while I am not asking for your sympathy, just on principle, no I won’t remove you from my list.
Yes, you read that correctly—three hundred pieces of email spam per day.
Six months ago, it was two hundred, now it’s three hundred.
If I unsubscribe to one or 20 or 100, it doesn’t help, because I am only unsubscribing to those, not to the source/master list that the RNC is passing around.
Do yourself a favor—NEVER, EVER, EVER donate any money to any Republican cause through WinRed or any other electronic venue. They will be coming for you for the rest of your electronic life.
(I think it’s still “safe” to send a check to your local city/county party committee, if such are your politics.)
Putin’s thugs infiltrate the Capitol!
Few know this, but Putin’s thugs infiltrated the U.S. Capitol grounds on January 6th, 2021, and, having dressed up as police, brutalized the peaceful protestors, to include repeatedly beating a lady named Rosanne Boyland with a large baton, after she was lying on the ground, motionless, and had likely already lost consciousness—thus causing or contributing to her death.
I’m not sure why it took so long for the video to come out publicly. After all, this happened 16 months ago. We were lied to that Boyland died from some cardiac episode, and nothing else.
Per the George Floyd playbook (although I don’t know DC city law), even if she was high on fifteen different drugs, if the Putin thug CONTRIBUTED to her death, then it’s murder and a war crime, it’s basically genocide.
I’m glad it finally saw the light of day. Now that we have proof, Federal prosecutors can finally indict a bunch of Russians for these crimes, to include (in no order) a bunch of oligarchs, Putin’s cook, his food taster, physician, masseuse, pedicurist, every Russian bank, and of course, Donald Trump.
I look forward to reading about it in the papers.
Mail bag
I received emails or comments from no less than three readers, slamming me for suggesting that people buy iodine, because what you’re supposed to take in a radiological emergency is potassium iodide. Folks, this is why some people blog successfully, and some come across like autists.
It’s hard to go on Amazon and find pure elemental iodine. Almost all iodine supplements consist at least in part of potassium iodide. (If you seek an iodine supplement, and you know WHY you’re buying it, you will find the right stuff.)
Obviously, my critics didn’t know that. It’s no good to wear “nuclear physicist” on your sleeve, if you’re too smart to know anything.
Of course, if the SHTF, you would need to dose properly, and I’m not a doctor—do your own research, or better yet, if/when the SHTF, talk to a doctor. Don’t poison yourself or your kids.
Aaaaannnd… the ruble
The U.S. dollar fell as much as seven-some percent against the ruble this morning.
The trigger? I imagine Germany has caved on the gas-for-rubles thing, although, of course, they won’t advertise it.
In short, the ruble has gained around 15 percent since “the invasion.”
In a post some weeks ago, I said that with gas-for-rubles, the ruble could achieve a “60-handle”… and it happened.
This is an ENORMOUS damper against price inflation inside Russia. It counteracts the “transshipment” premium, whereby European auto parts and many, many other de facto “banned” products WOULD be more expensive due to being sent to Russia now through third countries, rather than directly.
In other words, at the current exchange rate, most Russian consumers will likely feel almost no effect from the sanctions at all.
A day or two ago, The Hill (a U.S. establishment publication focused on Federal politics) ran an opinion piece by a smart guy in India, saying that, hey, maybe the sanctions won’t work, after all.
Got that? It had to be someone from INDIA!!! No one in the U.S. dares say the obvious, yet.
Well, I’ve been saying the obvious for months, but The Hill likely won’t print me.
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Mr. Dreizein we got to hand to hand it the secret hands behind MSM narrative. I noticed that they gave the rotten/cruel/inhuman Rooskies a break and shifted to the Alito narrative being the destroyer of democracy/traditions (mind you this is only say for 5o years that abortion was declared as legal and then a birth right as apple pie, but never mind the thousands of years of human history and family traditions). How the secret hands smoothly morphs into a new narratives starting with Russian interference in our sacred democracy which is supposed to annoint Saint Hillary as the President to Covid the deadly virus to the cure as vaccinations (never mind there are no theuropetics or preventions such as taking Vitamin D and Zinc to boost the immune system, shifting seamlessly to Putin the Hitler and now Alioto the destroyer of democracy and traditions. I am Just amazed at the collective insominia of the American populace to fall for these narratives. Thanks for your blog you really nail our collective stupidity and lack of critical thinking.
limitedThe warning is to be for one time, but the possibilities of bombing are continuous for the whole duration of the special operation, WITHOUT warnings after the first one.
Good site sir!
The location of this war is very burnt into the minds of Russians from the French revolution, the first world war , second world war to the present ! Nazis also have a special significance to Russians !
I appreciate what you are trying to do in reducing ignorance it is so dangerous!!
Is it too soon to call it the former Ukraine much like the former Yugoslavia ?
Haha! Why not?
What is your evidence that the northern front wasn’t a feint? I’ve never heard of a opening battleplan in the war by the initiating side that was also modern army, with a general staff, that didn’t include a feint in over 100 years.
It is the job of general staff to sit around day after day making plans & logistics schedules over and over and over and they love feints, it’s almost the only really creative thing they get to do. Moreover the Russians knew they would be outnumbered at the start of the war at least 2 or even 3-1. You would seem to need a feint to hold the enemies reserves in place to overcome inertia elsewhere. And of course the political capital Kiev is the most effective direction for a feint. Perhaps they met with such light resistance at first that they ended up hoping for a breakthrough and reinforcing after the fact (I don’t know that large reinforcements were even sent north just speculating that might be what has you convinced).
It should be noted that if the north was feint almost no one in that entire command will have reason to know. The general staff wasn’t telling even full colonel’s in army group b during case yellow that they were ‘just part of the feint’ as far as I can tell. Just in case you have some source out there. Even the U.S. in both Iraq wars had big feints built in, even though it was like the conquistadors versus the mexicans out there. They even used Batteships for a feint in the first Iraq war! So if the north wasn’t the feint, I’m not just supposed to believe the Russian general staff is fallible, but essentially incompetent in the most basic elements of warfare.
Russia had 50,000 soldiers tied down around Kiev for a month, many thousands more in the northeast. Strategically, this achieved nothing. All those forces were withdrawn, and now the northeast is being used as a base from which to attack Russia. Of course, think whatever you like 🙂
I thought maybe you had some evidence that wasn’t publicly available you were basing your opinions on, or even rumors, or something.
The feint army, German Army Group B, in the Battle of France had a rough manpower ratio of 1 man for every 2 men with the main thrust, all told 300,000 men in Army Group A were involved in the feint.
As it was that feint group did a remarkable job & played an indispensable part with outnumbered, technologically outclassed forces, but if 1st Panzer and the real thrust was stopped on Sedan & the war ended in a stalemate it could, I guess, also be said they were wasting their time fighting an indecisive tank battle in Gembloux Gap.
But that doesn’t make very much sense to say, does it?
The question isn’t how many Russian soldiers were tied down near Kiev for a month. It is how many those 50,000 Russians tied down around Kiev for a month. I’ll believe what I have evidence for combined with what I know about modern warfare.
I’m sorry, your comment is too much non-relevant info to read. My understanding is, your conclusions on Ukraine 2022 are based on the Battle of France or something like that. But, this is not a WW2 history blog. Why don’t you start your own WW2 history blog? It would probably be a good blog.
in all events, I really enjoy your work.
If the Russian phase A included a feint around Kiev it was very poorly executed and resulted in the death of 3 Russian generals. The Russians would not use General staff as cannon fodder for a diversion.
Hello,
Where will Hungary be situated in maybe a year? In Nato? In EU? Or allied with Russia?
Hungary has been wise with its neighbours for quite sometime. It is being put under great pressure at this time.
I watched an interview of Viktor Orbán a second time and have come to suspect the eastern block countries in Europe may form their own union as they no longer align politically with the western EU countries. I believe it will occur in phases as they want to attract as many conservatives from the west as they can before they declare their independence from the EU. This is just my gut feeling….I may be wrong.
You underestimate how well American voters can juggle intellectual chainsaws. A clear majority, according to the polls, supports restrictions on abortions after 12 weeks even as the cross-tabs in the same polls show 4 out of 5 respondents wanting to leave Roe v. Wade unchanged as judicial opinion. We support Ukraine and think Russia is bad and our Congress is happy to have a garage sale of all the stuff the Army and Marines want to get rid of (towed howitzers! please!); but no one in either the House or the Senate wants to vote “yes” on any resolution about actually sending U.S. soldiers into combat.
It is what Martin Van Buren said about the people who voted him out of office: you can trust the sober second thoughts of the American people. The trick is to wait until their Congress and media get past the hangover of whatever binge thinking is current.
Nice! You should have your own blog.
Sober second thoughts imply second chances. Plenty of second chances back in the 19th century when horses were still used for travel. Brave new hypersonic age may be less abundant in second chances. It further implies that Americans deserve second chances no matter how many times they fuck up. You literally have a demented mummy serving as President. You can say that elections were stolen but one can steal only so many votes. 80 million zombies still voted for him. The same applies to all corrupt sociopaths and professional warmongers collectively known as American Congress. And this is your constant so let’s face the unflattering truth. You don’t deserve a political vote, laws, statehood (you have no borders left to speak of), or any type of organized polity to be perfectly honest. You have collectively forfeit the right to “sober second thoughts” a long time ago.
Please, Scarlet Witch, give us sloppy Americans another chance. Don’t cast us out of the Marvel Character Universe just yet! 🙂
That seems somewhat harsh, Scarlet Witch. Some of us Americans are actually quite lovable and redeemable. Me, for example. We Americans are known to do the right thing once in a while but only after doing every conceivable wrong thing. There is hope for us despite all our faults and flights of nonsensical fancy.
I am aware that quite a few Americans are honorable and intelligent people and I know some. But it’s not a few that matter but many. A critical mass of the population is brain dead and morally bankrupt. It makes society unsustainable in the long run. The world was absolutely convinced that America hit intellectual and moral rock bottom a long time ago. Then we take another look and realize there is no bottom. It’s an abyss. It’s blatantly obvious nowadays to everyone with all postmodern gender and woke BS. These new levels of barbarism and vulgarity are surreal even by American standards. It’s in the best interest of humanity for the American federation to disintegrate at this point. Less power for deranged coastal zealots bent on remaking the whole world in their decadent, brain-damaged likeness.
You call for the USA to be dissolved or destroyed one more time, your comment will be deleted, and any handle commenting under your email address will be banned. Find some other blog to spew on.
You sound just like the woke bullies I was referring to. If the opinions and assessments of others don’t flatter your own beliefs or perception of reality then their tongues should be ripped out for triggering a negative wave of precious feelings and barbaric cancel instinct justified by dishonest spin and twisting of context like “call for the USA to be dissolved or destroyed”. For some reason, I always visualize wokeness as girls with neon-dyed hair and dudes dressed like Jaden Smith crawling around coastal sewers like New York and San Francisco. Thanks for bringing my unconscious bias to my attention. And your lack of honor.
Find a man.
Real classy. Chilling effect accomplished. I have to admit I didn’t see such masterful checkmate coming.
It pains me to agree with your painful points about my country but I do, except for your last point. It is unfortunately true the reality of America disintegrating under the cancerous, corrosive pressure of a sinister, insidious Neo Marxist-Globalist ideology and that saddens, angers, and disturbs much of the American public. Is disintegration of America the best solution to our crisis? I disagree. We are beginning to see the emergence of a growing anti-Marxist resistance that will ultimately reflect the drive towards a mass purge in our society of all that threaten our very existence but the scenario I foresee does not necessarily involve the permanent destruction of my nation. From the ashes of any civil war rise the beginning of a new nation, tempered by such travails and tragedy. The changes will be radical, bloody, and violent but we as a people will endure and survive this coming catastrophe and, from that painful crucible will be a very different nation.
And another thing…
80% or more of the people who reside in America do not have the wits to decipher the cognitive dissonance masquerading as main stream media that is being spewed from every electronic device 24/7.
The fact of the sheep herd makes more powerful those with the greater discernment who can, using our collective will, greatly influence the collective mind.
The facts, as I tend to assess them, indicates we are in the majority as compared to the self imposed overlords, their minions and their supporters.
Keep up the good.
I wish to speak up for freedom of speech and object to dreisinreport threatening to delete scarletwitch’ post.. She makes many good points. It’s much better to see if there is truth in what she says, rather than allowing your prejudice to get in the way of seeing other points of view. Your allegiance should be to Truth first and foremost, not to any personally favored view or entity.
This one is brilliant.
While the first, second, third, fourth, and fifth rounds of sanctions served only to strengthen the ruble and make Russia one of the few places with a declining inflation rate, just wait until they get a load of the sixth round!
LOL!!!
Two things on the economic front.
1) Now that Putin has “sanctioned” all of the non-friendly countries, I wonder what the collective West will do now to replace those lost natural resources?
2) I assume (because of the effect of globalization), Russia can still get access to western manufactured parts and stuff through other countries – kinda like a global underground/black market system?
Rabbi Mizrachi has mentioned in his lectures this episode of the murderous SS trying to ransom millions of Jews to Ben Gurion. My impression is these SS murderers were no humanitarians but were rather desperate to get their hands on certain supplies to support furthering the Nazi war effort. Also because Ben Gurion refused to ransom these Jewish people from the SS, so the these millions Jews died in the gas chambers. Apparently Ben Gurion was concerned that these particular Jews were too religious and orthodox in their beliefs and would not support such a secular state of Israel that Ben Gurion had in mind.
Nonsense. Stop reading fake history sites.
Rabbi Mizrachi has mentioned this true story about the negotiations in Egypt for freeing Jews from the Nazi death camps in at least two of his lectures that I have listened to over the last decade. The Jew who was the lead negotiator with the SS wrote a book about it. I can’t recall the name of this man or the title of his the book but perhaps I might contact Rabbi Mizrachi and ask.
I don’t know anything about this alleged rabbi, but no, Ben Gurion was not offerered millions of Jews. The Jewish structures saved everyone they could, it was a very small fraction of the “millions” you speak of.
The U.S. is controlled by the descendants of Nazi’s who invaded in 1935 and committed genocide on the American people. Don’t know about this? That’s how many people they killed in the U.S.
These Nazi’s found Nazi’s in Ukraine to support. And their hatred for Russia is because if not for Russia the Nazi’s would have taken over the world and there would have been world wide genocide only seen in Star Wars movies.
WW II is not over yet. And these Germans who occupy and control the US want to finish the destruction of Russia that they started in the beginning of WW II. This is the entire reason for U.S. support of this war.
See, Murder of the Creoles of New Orleans 1935, Youtube. My father was there. I went to school in the USA that was mostly for German kids. I have a half sister and a half brother who have the same Nazi father.
Did you know that Russia had far more soldiers fighting alongside Nazi Waffen SS units against Russia (and other war theatres) than Ukraine ever had? The Russian ROA and RONA battalions (under gen Kaminski) had almost a million soldiers.
Currently there is a NEO-NAZI, pro-Russian separatist unit, the RNU, fighting against Ukraine in the Donbas region. Check out their emblem… styled on the Nazi Swastika… https://newslanc.com/tsukerman-russian-nazi-volunteers-in-donbas/
LOL. The ROA was all prisoners trying to stay one step ahead of the death camps. They did basically nothing, and deserted at the first opportunity. Keep your bullshit off of my blog, please.
Grandfathers of both my mother and father were hauled to Jasenovac death camp and had their throats slit by Croatian Ustashas. And yet sadistic fascist fucks who tortured and murdered my family as a type of sport make me less sick than revisionist scum of your ilk. You will NEVER be able to diminish the Russian sacrifice and Great Victory, you racist fuck!
It looks like the Russians, like the Americans in Iraq and elsewhere, fell for their own triumphalist narrative going into Ukraine: It will be a cakewalk; they’ll greet us with flowers, etc. The Russian leadership has to know it’s fighting an all-in Washington and NATO. And yet they’re in Ukraine with what looks to me like insufficient forces, and moving on essentially one front: the Donbass, which is just miles from the Russian border. And they’ve been fighting there for two months. Meanwhile, Ukraine is a huge place and the vast lands out to the Polish border are undoubtedly brimming with increasingly better-armed fresh and rested Ukrainian forces. Will the Kremlin wake up to these realities, or will they continue to be taken in by their own imaginary infallibility?
The Russians, however, knew the importance of allying themselves in advance with China, India and the Southern Hemisphere. WWIII is shaping up rather quickly. I had little idea that I, the youngest son of a WWII vet, would actually live to see the next World War. Sad thing is that I find myself on the wrong side. Siberia is looking more and more like a good place to be in a global nuclear exchange.
Please get a decent mic. Preferably with a pop filter (Audio Technica 2020 is cheap, very good quality and comes in a USB version) You are spitting bars like an East Coast rapper.
What exactly is the issue your are experiencing that is driving this comment? Over modulation? The audio sounds fine on our end. I would like to hear from others on the audio quality of the video commentary.
Hahahha
For a good, cheap mic: https://www.thinkpenguin.com/gnu-linux/usb-condenser-podcasting-microphone-tripod-pop-filter-gnulinux-tpe-pdmic
Here’s a puzzler: why did Ukraine admit to just this one lie in a vast sea of lies? I can’t figure that one out.
Great post. I hope in due course you will be able to talk about the micro chip question. Commentators in the west are saying this is a big problem for Russian (and Chinese) missile production. Is it?
Been following since you were mentioned on the Duran. Great updates – keep em coming.
Great update, thank you. I also read now Moon of Alabama, interesting updates as well. Kiev tried to force Ukrainian army to fight “rebels” in 2018 but desire was low, which makes sense. Imagine Texas decided to separate and Arkansas is forced to fight them. Not many in Arkansas will be eager to kill Texans, since both have relationship through family and friends. Thus Kiev needed Azov and other hard core nazi groups in Western Ukraine. Also do not forget Ukrainian and Russian comedy, often comedy shows are only places where people can speak https://youtu.be/cAfXNbnXwxg
Above is Zelensky playing Georgia and making fun of Gerard Bush and talks abut how Georgia and Ukraine sell each other broken tanks and US pays for all twice.
https://youtu.be/GgyYYzyfi7Q
Above is pretty accurate comedy about how Ukraine is used by the West to get fight Russia, I like especially how France is portrayed.
First, thanks for your excellent work. I write here to put my humble opinion on your analysis on why Russia did not respond to the attacks in its own territory allegedly perpetrated by Ukraine, so far.
Here I clearly disagree with your position, since if true, for e.g., an amateur video game player would even come to a very simple solution on how „the West“ wins the war: by sending more US/UK Generals and Embassy staff??
Certainly that‘s NOT the reason why these so called decision centers have not been attacked yet.
Great video, where all I can say is you make some very valid points and an excellent summary. Please, do more regular videos Jacob. Oh, and nice to see you looking more at the camera this time.
I imagine if Ukraine wants to make a statement they’ll attack Russian territory near May 9. Maybe May 8. Would Russia respond? Probably not. You want your enemy to respond to YOU.
MR. Dreizin They are claims that whole story about SCOTUS is only LEFT tactic for attracting attention from new movie in CINEMAS called 2000 MULES about stealing of 2020 election by most favoured president ever. https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2022/05/timing-intentional-roe-v-wade-leak-lefts-answer-2000-mules-documentary-release-today-proves-2020-election-stolen/
In all seriousness, the more people that are reading blogs like yours, the less likely we’ll see American boots on the ground in Ukraine. Blessed are the peacemakers like you, Mr. Dreizin.
Never donate to the Oregon Republican Party until they clean house by removing Solomon Yue and his cronies. Corrupt RINOs need to go.
Too early to post, but I’m doing it anyway.
Hottest, sexiest weapon in Russian arsenal is the Onyx missile from Bastion Coastal Defense system.
The launch does sound really cool.
To stop the Ukraine attacks inside Russia, the Russians may take out a few western Generals but say nothing about it. That way, the US will get the message but will not be as compelled to retaliate. Perhaps this has already happened.
I’m the Fartknocker of Keeev. I cropdusted the Russians with a 1MM cubic meter ass bomb (crop dusted) after eating cabbage. They are all dead. I almost died….brown stain and all. спокойной ночи
LOL! Snap! You’re gone
Thank you very much for your updates. I believe your information is very valuable to those of us that try to understand what is happening. Again, thanks for your sharing.
The openning of the conflict with the Kiev feint was intended to draw attention from the true schwerpunkt which was to expand out of the Crimea to take Mariupol. The Russians knew taking Mariupol would be the toughest nut to crack. They reserved the Chechens to do the lions share of this fighting. The threat of amphibious attack on Odessa was part of the feint. The Russians did not want Mariupol to be reinforced.
I am reminded of von Manstein’s “Sickle Stroke” plan of May 1940 where there was a light attack in Belguim to draw the British and the French up the Channel coast with the schwerpunkt fell through the Ardennes to cut those forces off.
Deception is a key element of warfare and having the enemy move forces to ones own benefit is a key goal. It is a huge element in Russian doctrine. That 14 kilometer column stalled out side Kiev was dangled as bait.
Back to reality, the Chechens didn’t do much in Mariupol besides PR themselves.
Russian observers are highly praising Chechen troops. It was a joint effort with DNR forces, of course, but Mariupol was no tourist spot when they rolled in. They deserve every bit of clout. And they really connected with the Russian public thanks to their videos. Lots of deadpan humor.
Hello. No “Russian observers” are highly praising Chechen troops. Some have reported on Chechen troops, just because the material is out there, it’s an easy story. But, no Russian observers are highly praising Chechen troops. I am not talking about Russian-oriented bloggers outside of Russia, I am talking about news people and security pundits inside Russia. The Chechens are generally doing their job, but they have not proven themselves in any particular way, above and beyond other units.
it is my understanding that the Russian forces do not allow themselves to be recorded on the battle field (or at all for that matter) and so all of the PR videos coming from the “Russian” side on telegram are from the DPR militia and chechens. Which is why people mistakenly think the chechens by themselves liberated Mariupol
Bingo.
Chechens are pretty good at firing machine guns from the hip. They make a good video. Not great use of ammunition, but great video.
Hey Jacob – re RNC donations. I find my experience of donating to a red PAC the same as yours. It’s taken me 2 years to get off the e.ail lists. Now I tend to support only homestate candidates (AZ) and I’ll drop a cash donation in the envelope and mail it – no return address.
If western generals are indeed leading the conflict – which I agree they are – then one has to reckon with the fact that they are either directly involved in or complicit with war crimes. The Ukrainian army – forget even the Azov scum – is placing its hardware next to civilian buildings. Its forces do not allow civilians to leave those buildings. They drive around in civilian vehicles.
I once trained with SF ODA and they told me that in another training event, one ODA member convinced a role-playing guerilla to don a notional suicide vest which their explosives guy made and attack a government building. Either from years fighting Jihadis (and sometimes financing and training them) and/or the more general moral decline – if you’re on the side of “history” you’re allowed any vice – we’ve become corrupted or compromised. If there are good guys in this conflict, I don’t think it’s us.
Thanks for sharing, a very interesting story. What does ODA stand for?
Give my regards to Cressida 🙂
Operational Detachment Alpha. The basic SF team – smaller than a regular Army infantry platoon, and, unlike a platoon, intended to function independently in a given mission.
It seems to me that these pin prick strikes into Russia are wasting resources. Despite all this talk of a long war, troops are being told stand and fight against hopeless odds. Just like the attack on the two Russian patrol boats, sure they destroyed the boats but then the Russian’s destroyed the command center where the drones were launched from. It looks more like public relations operation than a military operation at times.
Hello. We don’t know that Russia lost any patrol boats, that was just a claim. If there was no video or at least photo documentation from the Ukrainian side, forget it. If you saw something real, please email me.
I was going off a New Atlas Video I saw earlier today:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yTIQUg18C0k
To clarify on the pin prick strikes, these sort of tactics are often most successful when they can be linked to a larger military action like on D-Day when the French Underground was used to destroy rail bridges that stopped reinforcement being brought into Normandy to counter the invasion.
Bingo. This kind of pinprick stuff, in isolation, will have zero effect on the big picture or the war outcome. But, people do whatever they can do.
I will watch your video. Thanks.
Don’t know if these have been verified… but here are two separate links of presumably Russian patrol boat being destroyed by a drone.. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7RESw07QE1Q AND https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qTSbw0Xc86U
It’s clearly seen from videos that boats keep moving and start manoeuvring after the strikes. Good question will be “why they cutting videos 2s seconds after the strike?”. Raptor boats have armoured capsules for both 3 men crew and engine. I terribly doubt they actually sunk these boats – yes, aluminium parts were wrecked, but these 3 drones were shot down as per Russian MoD report and later they bombed launching facility as well. It’s not even pyrrhic victory, it’s straight up lose
100% on WinRed. The aholes never leave me alone and trying to unsubscribe just gives them glee. There are many reasons I despise what the GOP has become, this is just one of them.
Amen.
Regarding the cross border attacks on Russia. You are correct to say this looks weak on the part of Russia. Especially considering that they supposedly are using only a small fraction of their military capability so far. What is to prevent them from up’ing the fraction a bit to put another force back in to the area they withdrew from. Also, my thinking is the leaders in the UK and USA are too weak to respond beyond rhetoric and more military equipment so go ahead and take out the Western military illegally assisting Ukraine in Kiev.
There’s a lot of special-ops NATO people in Ukraine and elsewhere in the area. Any bets on whether the two petroleum facility fires were started by Ukrainian, versus “other” troops/sneaks? And there’s a long border for RF to patrol on its western marches — us “Murkans” can’t even keep refugees from flooding across our border, and can’t even detect a bunch of Saudi terrorists learning to fly in US flight schools and then (presuming the Narrative is correct) crashing commercial jets into US skyscrapers. I would bet the Russian security services are maybe not a lot better at detecting shadow forces infiltrating western parts of RF and pulling off these pinpricks. And even if RF forces gain dominion over eastern Ukraine, nothing is going to stop the “West” from pin-pricking (or worse).
There is a way that Russia CAN ATTACK the decision centers in Kiev without violent response for the possibility of western collateral casualties, they can issue a warning for a limited period that all foreign people in those centers should leave immediately, and Russia is not responsible for their.fate for being present in a legitimate military target.
In that case, probably all the Ukrainians would leave those buildings as well. No sense in rocketing empty buildings!
I cannot understand why western collateral casualties, in any Kiev decision centers, would trigger a violent response (one that could be logically justified).
After all: 1- Russia has stated one of its objectives is the destruction of Ukraine military. This should include the decision centers. And Russia has no obligation to suppose western advisors are working there.
2- Russia has stated repeatedly it would destroy theses decision centers if they keep attacking Russian territory. They cannot say they were not warned beforehand.
Mr. Dreizin, This morning i saw some US new where Pelosi and others were saying that the russian are threatening response to action centers but no action. I believe that you are correct saying it will take it to another level. Perhaps this is what the west is pushing for to bait them for stronger actions.
As always thank you for the excellent report you provide us.
Perhaps destroying the whole building with all the computers, files, communication systems and conveniences would already send a strong message.
Many thanks Mr. Dreizen for your informative posts. Do you not think that the advanced ‘Switchblade’ and ‘Ghost’ drones will prove to be decisive weapons?
I’ve never used the switchblades myself, but the team I trained in Afghanistan on Pumas was trained on the S-300 versions. From what I can tell there are two related problems which the US Army has not addressed, and which come from the GWOT. First, the drone operators for the S-300 have to be close to the front. Apparently the system can be set up more quickly than a Puma or Raven, but still requires those other assets to give the Switchblade target information. Which, given those systems, means other operators are also close to the front. Drone operators are sitting ducks whilst setting up and flying their drones – not so much a problem if you’re fighting in the GWOT, but a big problem against a capable army. The S-600 can fire from farther away, and apparently, finds its own targets. But without other assets guiding it onto the general enemy areas, the operators won’t know where to go before the drone runs out of juice. So are those other operators close to the front? Second, the antennas for these systems give off a great deal of electromagnetic radiation, which a capable enemy can track. So, once again, the operators are in danger whilst they set up and fly. Enemy can counter-battery them. (Not the same system but the same principle: Ukraine hit some patrol boats of the Russian Navy recently with their Bayraktar drones – in response and immediately the Russians hit the airbase from which these were launched with precision missiles.)
On top of these risks to the “pilots” there are electronic countermeasures for such systems which can jam or even fry the electronics of drones. The Russians seem to be ahead of us in this field, though we can’t know with certainty. I’ve not seen any video evidence of successful Switchblade strikes thus far, and you know if there were our MIC would love to do some victory laps. Furthermore, the S-600 explosive seems to be of the same kind as the Javelin, which has not performed well. Is this because the Javs we’ve sent are out of date? Or, is the weapon itself not faring well versus Russian reactive armor? Anyway, so long as the Russians advance under the cover of their EW and Air defense systems, I don’t think drones will do much (as the Bayraktars haven’t thus far.) Artillery has been the main killer for both sides.
you mention in your video its your second of 3 segements. where is the first? and third?
Eric, Jacob’s first segment was in the previous post labeled – “Here comes the second front”. His 3rd video has not been published yet. It is forthcoming
The first was from the article posted on the 30th. I believe the third is still on the way.
Thank you Mr.Dreizen for your post. Every morning I login to your website to find the truthful updates on the progress on the war. Thank you again for being honest and truthful.
extremely good
They never went to Kiev to take it. 50000 is hardly enough troops to do it. It was diversionary tactic to pin some Kiev forces in Kiev to split their army so DPR and LPR and regular russian force can work on Donbass and then they regrouped. Listen to Scott Ritter and Coronel McGregor explain. Its classic pincer manuever
The initial Russian foray into Ukraine should not be viewed as having any goals at all, other than to assess the Ukrainian military and political reaction. It is quite possible that an overly optimistic prediction could have been the Ukrainian immediate capitulation to the Russian show of power with very little violence. Once it was learned that large “sloppy” Russian military forays were being attacked with deadly intensity the Russians were already too far apart and ill-prepared to respond properly to high intensity violent warfare. They were virtually a military parade being ambushed by a very skilled, well armed, and well prepared army of professionals and partisans. If the Russian military presence had gone unchallenged, they would have rolled as far as the Capitol building in Kiev. Why would they stop? It is also possible that the Russian military fully miscalculated the Ukrainian response and just simply got its ass kicked and after recovery changed its tactics. The point is, that their initial foray is irrelevant. They adapted to the reality of the theater and are now fighting the Ukrainian forces in a manner that is giving them an advantage.
I am fairly sure the Russians thought they could force the peace deal they had been trying to get. I would be surprised if they did not learn that removing the government is the worst thing to do from Iraq, Afghanistan and Libya. Even if the new regime accepted a deal the next person would ignore it and go back to NATO and at this point their terms were not too bad, basically just prior agreements and to give up the independent Republics that had been at war.
They planned to pressure Kiev and tie up the army. They did fail to get Ghostomel airport as their FOB though and took forever to decide on the new line, leaving that long convoy of support vehicles. Also think they were as shocked as everyone else at just how many portable AA and at units NATO supplied.
You can see when Russia accepted that negotiations were impossible and the moved to fully clearing the territory they held and decided to stay in other areas thank just the DPR and LPR. The pull back from Kiev is interesting and I suspect it is because the SF or SAS started running the patrols there a week or two before as they went from getting convoys behind the lines to actually getting the forward deployed armor and artillery, I think they decided it was not worth dealing with and pressuring Kiev was pointless unless they started leveling the infrastructure. Probably a mistake since it opened a path for saboteurs to Russia. Only guessing there though.
Excellent comment, thank you. One point, they did take Gostomel (by air assault in the first week) and held it until evacuating at the end of March.