- Ukraine war exposes EVERYTHING wrong with American politics
- …and here’s my solution!
- Donbass update
- Some belated May 9th festivities
- Dumber than dumb
- And other Twisted, Terrifying Tales of Evil and Depravity!
Ukraine war exposes EVERYTHING wrong with American governance
About the $40 billion in fresh U.S. aid to the Ukraine…
I laugh—like a big, condescending jerk—at people who complain now about it. Hahaha. This is so silly. Like Mr. T, “I pity the fool.”
The PROPER time to complain, is when this figure has risen to $70 or $80 billion.
Which it will surely do, by late summer, or early autumn at the latest, IMHO. This year, anyway.
What’s in the $40 billion? Of course, no one’s going to give that much cash to the Ukrainian funny farm, directly.
I have not read the bill, but intuitively, I know it’s mostly to compensate the U.S. Department of Defense for weapons donated to the Ukraine, as well as the cost of delivering them to the Ukraine (up to 14 NATO cargo flights per day into Poland), as well as compensating certain (mostly east European) NATO countries for their own donations, so they can buy new (mostly American) stuff as replacement.
It’s a big bonanza for the arms manufacturers.
Any direct economic assistance to the Ukraine will be just enough to barely hold up its pants, same as every year since 2014, when they began showing this donkey just enough carrot to keep it on its feet and shuffling in their direction, nothing more.
A more important question than “what’s the $40 billion for”…..
…..is why did Republican senators fly to Kiev a week ago, to kiss Saint Zelensky’s ring?
Of course, they did it to signal to their military-industrial campaign donors that they are “cool.”
You see, there’s not much money for Federal campaigns in (for example) Wyoming.
So, Senator Barrasso must go scrounging around with various national lobbies and interests whose voice means more than Wyoming’s.
(We’ve seen the same with Dick Cheney’s lookalike son, Liz.)
For as long as an other-party challenger can raise money the same way, Wyoming’s incumbent senator(s) will always hear nationwide (or out-of-state) lobbies and interests, AT LEAST AS MUCH as they hear their own voters.
Surely, our Founding Slave-owners did not intend the peoples’ representatives from X state or district to merely hold down a seat for the national oligarchy, or for rich ideological donors on the coasts (but I repeat myself.)
But, that’s where we are.
Of course, Barrasso will vote for giveaways for Wyoming. But on any question where it’s not actually taking money out of their pockets…..
…..he will always ignore the wishes and moral interests of his constituents, if the price is right.
I’m sure most Wyoming republican voters (i.e. most Wyoming adults) would rather he say something about the 1/6 prisoners who are still rotting in jail without a court date, for mere trespassing (when the doors were open, anyway.)
But, you know, Barrasso must be “respectable” to national donors. He has a campaign to fund!
Texas senator John Cornyn also flew to Kiev, what a clown. In his time off from Washington, he should be camping on the Mexican border!
How does it look to his conservative voters, that this big bozo spends his “recess” flying to Kiev to shake hands with Saint Zelensky, instead?
We need a CONSTITUTIONAL AMENDMENT to prohibit persons and entities with no genuine presence or operations in a given state, from donating money to campaigns in that state.
Am I exaggerating the problem?
In 2021 alone, Dick Cheney’s lookalike son raised $7 million for his 2022 reelection campaign—only $202,980 of it from Wyoming!
Don’t believe me? See it here.
Let’s be frank, this is an occupation regime. Wyoming’s (and it’s not just Wyoming) congressional seats are occupied, via outside money. Money that couldn’t give a crap about Wyoming.
Who needs that much money for a campaign in Wyoming???
It’s Wyoming. Population 581,000. Just rent a minibus and drive around, stop at gas stations and shake hands.
I could go on about JON OSSOFF and many, many, many others, but you get the picture.
The solution has to come from the states, because it won’t ever come from Congress—not to mention, Citizens United would likely prohibit such an act by Congress.
Russian VDV mobile infantry and Wagner mercenaries have advanced up to 15 kilometers west of Popasnaya…..
…..and have taken several towns or villages just east of Soledar, which sits on the one paved, continuous, Ukrainian-controlled main road into Lisichansk.
This road is now at risk. Russians are now as little as three kilometers from the road.
Close enough to fly short-range artillery spotter drones over it, 24/7.
Without this road, there will be no meaningful resupply for (or organized evacuation of) thousands of Ukrainian servicemen in the eastern part of the north Lugansk bulge.
The defense of this Ukrainian bulge ending at Severodonetsk-Lisichansk is crumbling.
The writing is on the wall.
You now see why Uncle Sam was calling Russia for a ceasefire.
Send more Javelins!!!
Some belated May 9th festivities (and another lesson on Carthage)
I meant to share this a little while ago.
If you recall, Lindsay Graham…..
…..the “closet homeless-sexual trying to DEFLECT by acting the Big Tough Guy On The World Stage for his conservative/religious voters (and it works every election!!!)”…..
…..had called for Putin to be shanked like Caesar by one of his own generals.
Well, I don’t think that’s likely to happen.
Here is the political situation in Russia. (This is a video of the “Immortal Regiment” procession in Moscow on May 9th. A million people turned out in Moscow alone.)
I’m guessing this wasn’t shown on CNN.
For anyone interested, the music overlay is the instrumental version of Arise, Enormous Country (a.k.a. The Sacred War), composed in 1941, by the founder of the Alexandrov Ensemble.
Also for anyone interested, the ruble is at 58.5 to the dollar as of this writing, having just broken through to a “50 handle” for the first time in years. It has gained over 25 percent since “the invasion.”
Meanwhile, we here in the States face a shortage of doggone BABY FORMULA…..
…..and crop planting is still depressed in the Midwest, they just can’t get enough seed into the ground in time, due to cold and/or washout conditions (and Argentine and Brazilian harvests are a disaster, there is no one to pick up the slack)…..
…..and spiking mortgage rates have completely priced out “first time buyers”…..
…..and everyone with two or more brain cells, assumes another plague is coming. I could go on.
WHO’S SUFFERING NOW??? LOL.
As I have said since before “the invasion”, don’t call for the destruction of Carthage, unless you’re quite sure you don’t live in Carthage!
I saw all this coming. Many Americans saw this coming. You needed to work on Capitol Hill or in the Brandon Administration not to see it.
We’re clearly headed for some type of collapse and “regime change” over here, and it might not be orderly.
(I foresee many urban 7-11’s being looted, as a start, but please don’t think it won’t reach you somehow.)
I heard there’s even a fertilizer shortage—perhaps we could fertilize our fields with politicians.
Dumber than dumb
This is a follow-up to the “Ukraine running short on professional soldiers” track from my last post.
Memo to the Ukraine:
If you hide a combat vehicle deep in-between two apartment buildings, in a narrow alley between two buildings where (by the looks of it) a hundred-plus people live, and Russia takes it out…..
…..Don’t snap a video and show it to the world!
You’re basically admitting that you are Hamas, you dumb, dumb f*cks!
But, don’t worry. Uncle Sam will still fund these jokers.
“Send more Javelins!!!”
To some of my loyal commenters (everyone else can ignore):
No, the Barrett Township, Pennsylvania police did not work with the CIA to set up Scott Ritter as a pedo in 2009, LOL.
They probably didn’t even know who he was. I’m old enough to know, at that time, he was all washed up and long, long out of the news, no threat to any power.
He did it to himself. (In fact, that was the second time.)
From what I read, his defense (the second time) was that he thought the cop to whom he showed his junk, was only pretending to be a 15 year-old girl.
Now he is trying to stay relevant on YouTube shows, and suddenly he is such a brave hero, risking so much, LOL, sure.
I’m still keeping him away from my kids.
And, to be clear, I was IN THE ROOM when he boldly declared to my grad school in early 2003, with supreme, in your-face confidence, as if he owned that auditorium, that the USA would use nuclear weapons in Iraq. (Not Iran, Iraq.)
Batsh*t crazy? Or, a narcissist who will say anything for attention?
Folks, choose your “analysts” carefully.
And, please don’t come to my comments section just to let everyone know what Scott Ritter said today—ridiculous, I don’t care. This is my blog, not a community forum.
Thanks for commenting! Comments and any associated weblinks or other references must be directly relevant and tangential to my published material (not just to other comments.) THIS IS NOT A DEBATE PLATFORM TO DISCUSS HISTORICAL QUESTIONS. Please, no unrelated musings (e.g., about Putin’s family values, how Hitler could have won at Dunkirk or Normandy, etc.), no trolling/baiting, no calling for the destruction or dissolution of the USA or its government, no ranting about Jews (or Joos, Jooz, Jooze, Juice, Juize, Jewz, Jewze, J-Dogs, J-Dogz, J-Dawgz, J’s, Anglo-American Zionists, “those of whom we cannot speak”, the chosen, the tribe, the Khazarians, Khazarian mafia, etc. etc.), and no arguing with other commenters. Please share your concise, relevant, coherent thoughts, and come back for my next post. Thanks again!
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Jacob, you’re spoiling us with these daily updates.
Agreed, we are being spoiled Thank you !. Dreizin Report was also recommended on U K Column today at 28.00 mins : https://www.ukcolumn.org/ukcolumn-news/uk-column-news-20th-may-2022
Great update as well. I am worried about the US. I lived through food shortages during the collapse of the Soviet Union. It was ugly. When the government finally released cans from military food bank, it was the bottom, but the west celebrated with drunk Yeltzin. It will not be that bad here, but unpleasant. Well off people might afford high prices, but not poor. I loved the video of May 9th celebration. I watched entire parade on Rutube as well. All expatriates stand firmly with Russia, we know what is going on and why.
Australia produces about 40 million tonne of the good hard wheat and in the off season to boot,
Hi Jacob, I just wanted to thank you for the thorough and well informed analysis you are providing us with in your blog. It is really valuable in such a polluted mainstream media. Keep going because we count on you to enlighten us in today’s crazy world.
Excellent analysis as usual Jacob. We are having unseasonably cool and wet weather in BC, Canada, looks like we might have some fruit production shortages. What are your thoughts on Chem trails and weather modification?
technical note: the comments glitch is back, on yesterday message my comment disappeared along with the one it was reply to, possibly along with a handful more at the tail. I did appear right after the posting
The “title” given to Warmonger Lindsey Ghad me almost lose a mouthful of coffee, the bit about “homeless sexual.” Maybe I’m just too sheltered but I’d never heard things phrased quite that way before.
Which is precisely why we like coming here to read/hear Jacob.
Honest, droll and informative. What more cane be asked for
I spewed mine at the ‘…we’ve seen the same with Dick Cheney’s lookalike son, Liz…’ comment!
Apparently monkeypox is popping up all over the western world. Great. Gas is $4.29 here in Clarksville, TN. I haven’t seen that price since Shrub was in office. I have noticed traffic is much thinner at the main strip near the mall that is filled up with chain restaurants. People are not going out like they used to. I don’t know how people are surviving. Rents are beyond the ability of most people to pay with the average income in town. I fully expect people to start rioting soon. At least I live by a military base so not likely to see insanity here. This whole situation is building to something very ugly.
What’s happened to the US Fed gov is an insurgency, What else could you call it, when you war against your own people, bankrupt them, scam them.
The only way out is the States join together via their own attorney generals and state congresses, perhaps not a secession, but a Stand on States Rights, Federal over reach, and stop the Brandon Regime. Today baby formula tomorrow take over Walmarts, Target, Publix, who knows with these clowns?
On the constitution amendment idea: it looks nice ON PAPER, just as the other amendment or the base constitution — but it’s as good as much of it is applied. What is next to nothing, especially lately. If WY people want a good rep, they need to breed one and vote for him. It’s easy to blame the money, propaganda, and a long list of other things, but that only leads more away from the root cause. We have that old saying that every nation gets the leaders it deserves. We see it in action all around the world. Especially where prosperity was the norm for long. To see a real change probably need to wait the full roll of the cycle through the bad times to produce the strong people. I doubt I’ll see any of it before I kick the bucket. (sorry for the black pill, brighter thoughts welcome)
As Pasa mentioned in his own comments, people do get the leaders they deserve and they also get the real elections and the fake elections they deserve. We are watching the results via a fake president and a stolen election that has served to seriously damage our America right before our eyes. What the Left could not manage to legitimately win, they managed to genuinely steal.
The question is whether a real national election, lawfully held and lawfully counted will be allowed to take place this fall
With the cooperating and colluding Biden Administration, the Deep State, the World Economic Forum, Gates, the WHO, the U.N., and others poised to fulfill their “Great Reset” by 2030, any obstruction to that time table will not be allowed and that includes a Republican dominated U.S. Congress, or a Trump presidency which would probably delay that timetable.
Even though the Republican Party is nearly as corrupt and despicable as the Democratic Party, there will be enough resistance to moves by the New World Order to provide a real impediment to their 2030 timetable.
I anticipate a “Big Event” to begin to materialize within the next 3-5 months, some type of global “emergency” which will seem to strike nearly everywhere and which will set the stage for not only a manipulated election but for the next major stage of a global tyranny enacted by an international cabal of individuals and agencies led on the surface by the WHO.
Already the legal framework for this anticipated global power grab over humanity and civilization is being constructed and in place waiting for this “emergency” to take place.
There is a globalist-neocon coalition (globalist=neolib) in the U.S. A globalist-nazis coalition in Ukraine. A globalist-whatever coalition in other countries. Yet, unforgettably the globalist corruption is grassroots, also. Some unnumbered people have and will continue to buy this hook-line-sinker and will carry out their master’s orders. Whether it’s under the masked facade of a democratic process or a fully disclosed authoritarian regime what ignatius (not a good guy) said about NED illustrates the regime well: “David Ignatius, once President of the National Endowment for Democracy (NED) (aka specialists in color revolutions), who arrogantly stated in a 1991 interview that ‘a lot of what we do today was done covertly 25 years ago by the CIA…The biggest difference is that when such activities are done overtly, the flap potential is close to zero. Openness is its own protection’.”
Grassroots… there will be neighbors, or people in the city, etc. enforcing whether by soft or hard tactics.
quote from: http://thesaker.is/so-how-serious-is-ukraines-neo-nazi-romance/
As the video above shows, there is a difference between Russians parading united in times of trouble (there is a photo in circulation from 2015 showing Putin with only 3 or 4 plain clothed guards while walking in the march with thousands of everyday citizens, many within arms-length of him) and a country at its throat in times of trouble. Either people join together with a helping hand or a Will Smith slapping hand (to kick a dead horse one more time).
This article is astonishingly fresh and unencumbered by conformist drivel. The tone maintains that truth can be delivered in a humorous vein.
As for “The question is whether a real national election, lawfully held and lawfully counted will be allowed to take place this fall”. having ballot boxes for running ballots from illiterate idiots should not be allowed anywhere. Yet states Pennsylvania , Michigan and Georgia continue with this corruption. Once a policy is in place you can never retract it. Or so hope the malingerers’ that do the Democrat and Independent electioneering frauds.
https://www.thereminder.ca/national-news/russian-troops-planted-mines-in-ukraines-fields-to-ruin-harvest-sajjan-5387119 – what Canadian media is saying on any typical day
Another great update mate, keep up the good work and stay safe
I agree with your Ideas on campaign donations, however there are sneaky ways to get funding to the chosen. A story is just breaking on how a very powerful group including a former head of MI6 brought about the downfall of Theresa May PM in order to replace her with BOJO. the purpose of this was to bring about Brexit in order to move the UK away from Europe and back closer to the US. The problem as I see it is that if these groups are successful even if they break campaigning rules and face penalties they don’t care they got what they wanted. I am not saying that British people wouldn’t have voted for Brexit anyway but this group removed any potential obstacles including a sitting PM. To be fair they were up against similarly ruthless groups to themselves from the Remain side so all’s fair and all that. The US system of government is much better to facilitate change like you point out that’s what Amendments are. Very good post, we need to understand the reason for war before we can bring about any reasonable change.
fyi the British people voted for brexit prior to Teresa May becoming PM
I know its a side issue, but Is it my imagination, or are the Russians toying with the Ukrainians up in Kharkov? It’s like watching Charlie Brown, Lucy and the football, with the addition that Lucy’s armed with a hammer for when Charlie ends up on his backside.
Total idiocy on the part of the Ukies being drawn out of their defences without an achievable strategic objective.
My favourite bit was when the ukes posed around their mobile border post that they brought with them. Not self aware at all..
thank you for the analysis of the situation here and over there. trying to bang a 15 yo is not a “lapse” in judgement…don’t GAF how drunk you are. one other thing bout that Wyoming pol, not a son. DARPA made a transclone for the dick. have glorious weekend
Thank you Jacob. You cheer me up. I feel sorry for Putin though. I reckon, like me, he has been waiting for the US and Western economy to collapse with all this unfunded spending and for the US to bring the troops home and start solving its own problems. How long can they keep this up?
Read today that Biden is reluctant to send longer range, more powerful weapons to Ukraine, but that’s what they want. WSJ reports that Ukraine’s intelligence chief promises to kick Russia out of Ukraine entirely if they can get these big weapons. https://www.wsj.com/articles/ukraine-will-fight-until-all-russian-forces-are-expelled-military-intelligence-chief-says-11653046810
Neocon forces inside U.S. must be communicating regularly with Ukraine’s leadership about what to say, who to allow to visit, and what weapons to ask for.
The CIA along with MI-6, have been leaving a heavy footprint all over the place in the Ukraine territory. Instead of screwdrivers and forceps they brought in sledgehammers. 350 million of that 40 billion dollar ‘baby’ is allocated to CIA operation Ukray.
I had meant this for Jacob…
Your characterization of Lindsey Graham was spot-on. It reminded me of a funny off-color expression I once heard:
“He doesn’t have a round mouth from eating square meals.”
Which grad school were you attending in 2003? Just curious, and for the record I’m not pro Ritter or anti. I like Dreizin Report and Ritter interviews both.
I also like Dreizin Report and Ritter interviews
Scott Ritter is a pedophile? I have been sharing his views which appear truthful. All his analysis goes in the garbage with that he sexually children? Was he ever convicted?
He was convicted twice. The second time, he could not avoid jail, two years of it.
I’m from Wyoming. Everything you say about Barraso is correct. The governance in Wyoming is much more liberal than it’s people. Most those in government despise the people they represent. This is not just at the federal level, but state reps and senators also. They mostly are doing what they can to help Liz get reelected. The way it works is that Wyoming is pretty solidly republican. If you win the republican primary you are probably going to get elected so all the action is in the primary.
The state politicians fight tooth and nail to allow cross-over voting and to allow the most votes to win the primary even if it’s less than 50%. For example, when our govenor was elected, he only won 35% of the primary vote. 3 other republicans split 65% of the vote – all much more conservative – and more importantly – constitutional than Mark Gordon.
that is how Liz will try to win, in the primary. Unfortunately for her, there is only 1 republican running against her, so she is betting on crossovers to give her the edge. There were bills this year to prevent crossovers and to require a runnoff in primaries. Both defeated by the friend of Liz like Barrasso and his like.
I would like to point out, that our other Senator Cynthia Loomis voted against the $40 billion. Only 11 so called Republicans voted against. So give her a shout out.
Hello Dan. Could you please explain what do you mean by crossover vote. Thank you
Registered Democrats are able to vote in the Republican primary. Liz has huge amounts of money and is using it to mobilize democrats to vote in the Republican primary for her. I don’t think this particular strategy will work. I think she is also secretly funding other “Republican” candidates to try and split the vote. That is the strategy that is usually most successful. This year might be different however.
depending on the State … some are “open” and you can vote in “another club”
my state Prohibits cross voting.
Thanks very much for the info.
“You’re basically admitting that you are Hamas, you dumb, dumb..” – because; “ultimately evil is stupid” and they therefore “cannot help themselves”. Jacob, don’t give them advice – but then again, they probably ignore all [good] advice anyway ..
Great insight and analysis!
You have the knack of making this total cluster by the western world jumping off a cliff to be entertaining. “Ukrainian funny farm” got me right at the start. And it got better. The comments about Lynsey Graham are so perceptive.
Western corporate media is seemingly trying hard to entertain too. Sky in the UK has a headline that Russian offensives are getting smaller and is still on about Ukrainian troops having been told to stop defending Mariupol. LOL. It is a parallel universe.
Are we getting to the moment where our Wile E Coyote leaders finally realise that they are already over the cliff and without terra firma? Or is that still a ways off? Or did they know that already and just carry on anyway?
I think Sky and others are in for a very rude awakening soon, if an (alleged) 11 mile column of Russian hardware and troops approaching the Donbass is any indication of what’s coming (video clip at IntelSlava on Telegram – he’s totally partisan, but his material is not normally too wide of the mark). They are fast running out of lipstick for this particular pig.
The pols, however, aren’t stupid (NB: only in the sense of the actual situation on the ground; on everything else they are pure-bred imbeciles). They know exactly whats going on, albeit at the same time clueless about what the other side has in store next (which has been the case since 24th Feb). Hence the panicked calls to Putin and Shoigu “demanding” (according to rumours about the Austin/Shoigu affair) a ceasefire. And still the likes of BoJo and VdL keep doubling down on their infantile public rhetoric…I’d say either muchos popcorn or a radiation suit needed from here on in.
Good intel product without the BS. I really appreciate your point of view. Linguistic and cultural knowledge is really important in assessing a situation like this. Once upon a time I was in the business a lingy listen to RT and ditty bops. Dot dot dot dash dash dash dot dot dot. We are all in deep shit with these buffoons in DC
I teared up when I saw the May 9 parade in Moscow. I have to be grateful to be even alive because so many Russians died so my Daddy could live through the European war.
I want to say to Mr. Jacob Dreizen that Maybe Carthage in the deep beliefs of the Americans and Europeans politicians is America and Europe !!
LOL…Good information, a couple of good laughs, a sharp wit, who could ask for more?? And yes, it certainly seems like Ukraine has memorized the Hamas playbook.
We are watching the destruction of the west, in real time, purposefully done. Our western leaders are nothing short of criminals.
I’m still waiting to hear about the Azov Fighters who were worth 4 Helicopters to rescue. Are they out & being kept under Wraps or still inside?
Most likely, the heli crews were just trying to extract the Azov commanders, for political reasons. I think all the talk about foreign generals (other than possibly that disgraced/retired Canadian one) was simply fantasy.
I’ll bite, Jacob. Are you conceding that Cardieu (or Kardieu) may be in Moscow?
The credibility of the story run by the media is not helped by our friend Trevor’s blatant (and VERY recent) co-ordinated MSM “back-dated” fall from grace (for an offence committed 27 years ago, mind you), his subsequent resignation, and then mad rush to war like a spritely Reddit warrior. The story stinks, and looks totally contrived, not the behavior of a seasoned general. More like a co-ordinated “restrospectively throw-under-the-bus ” kind of affair, dropped en masse by the media only after reports emerged about his (alleged) capture. Put another way, try finding any reference in the Canadian media to this “fall from grace” before his capture. You may struggle.
If he was there, he was sent – no way would Canadian high command allow him to go crusading at the drop of a hat, disgraced or not.
Just curious about his (alleged) “Andy Dufresne” mode of escape. Make a great late scene in the forthcoming “Azovstal Spartans” production Netflix probably already have in the “pipeline”, admittedly without the same happy ending, but including the bit about being covered in shit.
Besides, given the potential geopolitical fallout, the “foreign senior officer” speculation provides a welcome intriguing distraction from the grim reality of the slaughter taking place on the contact line.
Now, where the hell is British Lieutenant Colonel John Bailey? Sorry 😉
I read that that they waited till after they had first picked up their VIP’s, then destroying the helicopters with their valuable load !
Jacob I really enjoy your content and analysis. Putin is portrayed as being a foil
of the new world order fighting Davos. What if just the opposite is true and he’s
working with Davos, Biden and Xi towards ‘the new normal’ when you will own
nothing and they will own everything? It wouldn’t be the first time elite classes have
conspired to create a war to maintain domestic tranquility. Could Ukraine be no
more than the next shiny object to distract the masses from the global deconstruction
of the economy and civil liberties? It is certain none of them give a damn about the
Ukrainian people whether Russian or Galician.
No I don’t think Putin is part of the NWO. He is the real deal a leader. Something rarly seen on the world stage. He really cares for his nation.
Turns out the “weakness” of the Ruble is an intended effect of the “RULES-based order”. But when The West violates the “RULES-based order”, then the “REALITY-based order” kicks in and values the Ruble somewhat differently.
Hah! I like that. Well said. Thanks.
Nailed it, mate!
This is perfect.
“You know what?”
“Fuck the International Law, fuck the Rules Based Order.”
“Welcome to the Reality Based Order!”
Yeah, that was a great comment.
Jacob great analysis and Humor! Thank you!
Things are looking grim for the Ukrainians in the whole Donbass front. The Russians have reached Soledar in a hurry. Not only will this seal the fate of the Sievieraldonetsk theater, the Russians can come down to Bakhmut and all the way to Porkrovsk. All the soldiers in the trenches facing east will be cutoff and taken out. The thing is, the fortification in the current frontline was done over years. The Ukrainians had eight years to build these. Once breached, There is no other place that has this kind of fortification. The fall for the rest of the country to the river will be quite rapid. It is possible that a large swath of territory surrounding the Kramatorsk front will be taken long before Kramatorsk falls. There is also evidence that the Ukrainians have pretty much lost almost all of their tanks and most of the armor vehicles. This maybe one of the reasons they did not bother to retreat from the front. They would have to retreat on foot or civilian cars. They don’t stand a chance against a Russian armor column.
It goes much deeper than you assert. Everyone planning to go for national office should be forced to write a white paper and defend it, to a minimum of 50,000 people. Ideas and Methods. They then need to get on a debate circuit, adapting and adopting their opponent’s ideas as part of a built platform. After their second victory, they get federal funding. Staff, security, advertising, office supplies… Make it RICO level _illegal_ to receive ANY campaign funding.
And carry this through to office. You are elected to serve at the national level. You should not even be voting on or suggesting funding for, local stuff. You want to do that, you need to stay in the State Assembly. Anyone breaking this rules gets 20 to life for every PACSIG they so much as talk to.
Anyone who fails to execute on their white paper promises, is subject to a yearly referendum, recall and snap election replacement.
Everyone should be allowed to serve for as long as they are mentally competent to do so, including The President. You have no idea how dumb ‘term limits’ sounds until you envision the freshman team dealing with varsity lettered seniors in diplomacy and trade. This is especially true for El Jefe because he is already fighting a 2-in, 2-lame condition which nobody else has to.
But once they cross a mean medical age (55) they have to pass IQ tests and comprehensive psyche batteries, every year. People start to lose brain function as they age. By the time you’re a 70-80 year old, the 130-140 IQ you should have gone into office with is probably down around 105-110, Which is still better than the nation mean, but would not be considered ‘college ready’. You want youth participation? You want a sense of ownership? Stop hiring the geriatrics who are still living in the 60s Cultural Revolution as though it was a good idea.
Finally, we need to pay for the quality we want. What that basically means is 1-2-4 million salary for Rep/Senator/President. It’s still /nothing/ compared to the private sector. Where even the bonus packages can be that high for top level execs. But for those who want to do some serious Good Work and are willing to accept the, ‘and no revolving door return to business’ consequences, as capstone to their career; it acts as an incentive system of planned retirements.
And no more insider trading as ‘payment in kind’ for advancing private interests’ stocks. Your finances will be monitored. If you suddenly start making money, hand over fist, after a meeting with X at the club, you are RICO investigated, on the spot. With all the powers of the FBI/CIA/IRS etc. turned upon you. Because you agreed to be there, and influence peddling with lobbyists as special interests, foreign and domestic, is the number one corruption problem we face. You work for the nation.
Not your state. Not your bank account.
Sacred War is also sometimes known as Let Noble Rage.
I can’t decide why I like your blog, between great analysis or pure entertainment, probably 50/50. Send more javelins!!!
Send more Javelins.
Jacob, love your work, you ride a bike on a rail with insight on one side and flippancy on the other. Hard to do and maintain credible balance as you do…..I find your analysis so on the ball and yet you have a turn of phrase that makes me guffaw… thanks for the effort on our behalf. I understand your concerns re Scott. It took me a couple of sessions before I suddenly cried WTF. I Think Scott was getting near nervous collapse with all these shows he does and the Russians weren’t winning fast as he wanted, so suddenly he went full Russian defeat. That shook a lot of followers into similar WTF moments as my own. Pls keep the faith and keep us informed. For your info I fortunately found you through Alexander M whom I likewise never miss..
Jacob, you are probably the only Western military expert who has closely followed the small village of Popasnaya, which occupies not only the crossroads of important roads, but also the dominant height in the whole east of Ukraine. Only Popasnaya offers a beautiful view simultaneously with Severodonetsk and Lisichansk in the north-east, and to Bakhmut and Kramatorsk in the west and Donetsk in the south.
The next key points on the Donetsk Front are Avdeevka and Maryinka. The only problem is that the Russian military is very slow. They are the real villains that make the whole world wait!
Popasnaya is a town of formerly over 20,000 people.
Does Z always meet his followers outside as it could be more likely to survive a Russian missile if he’s constantly wandering around outside some inconsequential building rather than inside and getting crushed by rubble?
By the way, the Azov regiment in Mariupol finally ended. 2439 Ukrainians surrendered. A good video about this – Ukraine War – The End of Azov and other True Stories from Mariupol – 14 ep. – https://youtu.be/3bIkJMl9Osw
I live in an East European country (Czechia) and boy, did we show it to Putin. My energy bill has gone from $150/month to $600/month. Two months ago almost all cars on the road were showing off Ukrainian flags (spontaneous, that’s how dumb and brainwashed people are), now you can’t see a single one. I wonder why…
I am totally anti Orban in political views. But he is constantly slammed in croatian media as Putins pawn just because he is standing for hungarians. Hungary did nothing to start and provoke a war. they why should hungarians pay, he asked? Seriously, EU instead of pressuring Ukraine to make a deal with Russia ( and make some concessions of course), Ukraine is pressuring EU to send money, send weapons, put sanctions, like they are the ones having power over us ?!?
You are correct. By logical extension, as the economic pain on the EU grows there will be more pressure on EU politicians to convince Ukraine for a diplomatic solution. Regrettably, by then many Ukrainians and Russians will have died. The spineless behaviour of the EU in not opposing US/UK policies in the Ukraine is pitiful. Then and again, the idea that Finland wants to join NATO is even more appalling. Finland has benefited from being neutral for over 70 years and instead of spending money on defense has spent those funds to the benefit of its own people.
I really think (contrary to what military “analysts” say in MSM), that time is on Russian side. Biggest threat to “west” cause is that common people lose interest in this war. sooner or later reality, inflation, gas bills in the winter, return of pandemics and other unsolved problems will start to bite. People would start to ask how long are they going to fund this expensive military adventure of US/NATO? So that is why main task of MSM will be to constantly put fear in our guts, that russian invasion of whole Europe in imminent, and that no price is too high for stopping Putin now. Even 5 days after surrender of Azov it is still “breaking news” and top headline.
Thank you JD, those of us who read english here in Greece immensely appreciate your analysis updates, though we have our own too.
No, not every people gets the government it deserves. You have to have REAL candidates for that. Here in Greece there has not been a single government since 1949, (ie = end of UK / US-created 4 year “civil war”, total: 9 years of continuous war) that has not been vetted or imposed by the US gov. to serve US interests. The US embassy and DOS have lately been setting up fake parties….though arguably this even goes back to PASOK in the 70s. “The River” [Potami] was an early example of fake “movements” , a try-out preceeding En Marche in France [Macron] and of course an ‘oh so clever idea’ derived from the regime change menu.
For the last 10 years at least Greeks have overwhelmingly voted (82%) Putin as world’s “Greatest Statesman”. Well over 70% of Greeks support Russia in this war. Yet US puppet Mitsotakis is this week in Washington kissing Biden’s nazi ring and pledging Greece’s allegiance to the nazi cause. [Mitso was “opposite party” ex-PM George Papandreaou’s roommate at Amhurst]. Voting, from being compulsory, is now voluntary and down to c. +/-30%.
I did vote in the last election. “My” party got 4% of the vote, enough to scrape into parliament. “My” party leader is a late night telemarketer and radio ‘conspiracy theorist’ from Thessaloniki who sells the 3 vols. of Jesus diaries for 24 euros with 2 shaving creams tossed in free. He’s done us proud about the nazis but also loudly refusing the vaxx and accusing the entire parliament of just pretending to be vaxxed – no doubt true :-)) NOT a solution but at least we can laugh.
Oh – and did I mention that following the 2015 referendum when the 62.4% OXI [“No”] vote magically morphed into “Yes”, Geoffrey Pyatt was sent directly from Ukraine to Athens. His job was 1) to separate Greece from Russia [for now: successful] [to our shame and anger] and 2) working with his counterpart in Ankara to tempt Turkey back into the fold with offers of Greek islands and EEZ ie Erdogan’s “Our Blue Meditteranean”. Tick: Ongoing. Pyatt was due to return to Washington in 2019 when Ukrainegate struck. He immediately extended his posting here , the only good thing was that he finally took himself off the Greek nightly airwaves to stay low..This sinister, nay, evil creature has finally departed, having mandated even more bases for the US Mil,
Finally, those who wonder WHY EU governments are so eager to commit harikiri , the answer is simple. EVERY country in the EU prison is laced through with declared and undeclared US / “NATO” bases – plus! – the US has the key and entree to every national base. Meanwhile the US embassies have morphed into military camps….Throw in the “EU” admin run by Washington, with its ‘leaders’ chosen by Washington (no democratic connection to EU citizens or national governments); add the terrorist training bases in Kosovo [Bondsteel with 2 runways, 4 training camps ] and Poland: ready to “correct” or “warn against” unwanted local initiatives on the Stay Behind model: example – burning down half the Peloponossos in 2007 for Greece daring to make a pipeline deal with Rosneft. And there is more, much more….
THAT’s your answer. There is no “Europe”.
Thanks but I have to respond about the 2007 fires. Not everything is a conspiracy, that is medieval thinking. There were historic fires in other countries including Russia and Israel in 2010, Turkey in 2021. It’s not all the USA’s doing. Yes, Greece is not a sovereign country. This is the price of bloc membership (first and foremost, the EU.)
What do you say about the ”fact” that Putin is sick? Here in Sweden we can read almost daily about Putin having some kind of cancer. That a doctor is with him 24/7 ready to assist.
Personaly I think he looks fine when I see him om television. He seems strong and perfectly clear in his mind.
Is this another way of disinformation to fool the west that he is not clear, that he is dangerous and a way to build up a narrative so NATO can join the war?
In Croatia too. in last 2 months according to our “free” media Putin contracted 20 deadly diseases. And died at least 5 times. I wonder why you joined NATO? you don’t even border Russia. And Russian invasion is exclusively aimed at countries which have large russophone population like Ukraine and Georgia. Because this is the big motivational point for russians, that they must defend russians from persecution. So i believe Russia never ever planned to attack Sweden and FInnland. And now you just made yourselves a target for no reason…
We didn’t join, the politicans made a coup behind the peoples back. Politicans who said in the begining of march that Sweden never gonna join swung over night and pushed throw with threats among their own people in the party. And the msm went full pro-NATO. So here we are. Sweden made the stupidest mistake of the century.
I totaly agree with you. Now we made ourselves a target for Russia and a nice target for USA for a future proxy war.
The rumors are true, Putin almost died. He was eating popcorn and at the same time laughing so hard that he almost choked to death
As European, it is funny how this russian invasion is capturing all MSM headlines, practically like nothing else is happening… At the same Israel is occupying West Bank, and Syrian Golan Heights for decades, same as Turkey with northern Cyprus. But you can never hear anybody questioning these occupations. BTW Israel bombs Damask Syria on nightly basis on pretext of “self defense” of course. And people die of course in those attacks. But deafening silence in MSM again…
We can see how censorship in the western MSM is efficient and well organized.
But how do they actually do that?
How do they manage to control almost all media outlets in USA and EU?
Er… just asking… If the cop who entrapped Scott Ritter was passing herself off as a 15-year-old girl, isn’t that proof that someone who looks like that can be a fully-fledged adult? Or can you be a cop at 15 in the USA?
The cop wasn’t on webcam, just text. I don’t know if the cop was male or female.
Mr Dreizin can you please talk about the issue of russian guided bombs which already exist since the 80s? here is a very technical artical about them http://www.ausairpower.net/APA-Rus-GBU.html.
and why the russians insist on covering one ukrainen position with 100s of artillery shots instead of hiting it with one of this guided bombs? do not they have targetig pods? and what about there SAR-Radar capability?
Excellent points throughout. Our politicians always tend to represent who DONATE more than those who vote, so you are 100% correct on how campaign financing should be reformed. A great deal of balance will be restored by just disallowing out-of-state donations to be made, and then we might have a fighting chance to turn things around.
I apologize up front as this is a “Scott Ritter” reply but I have to get it off my chest. Good news is I will say my piece and leave it at that.
People should keep in mind that an extensive forensic analysis of Scott Ritters computers was conducted by the authorities and there were no traces of child pornography. He’s not a “pedophiile” in any sense of the word.
Bad judgment? Absolutely.
Has nothing to do with his ability to critically examine the strategic realities on the ground. That argument would be like saying a heart surgeon can’t be good at heart surgery because he had a sexual transgression with a 15 year old girl. Silly.
Do I have a daughter? Yup 15 and I’d be enraged but not once would I consider it a “child sex crime”. Sorry but being “sexually attracted to children” is a real thing and in no biological sense can a 15 year old be honestly considered a “biological child”
Do I admire him for what he did? No.
Did he pay his debt to society? Yes.
For these claims he “miscalculated Iraq”. So what? It is possible he learned from that and is more adept at this type of analysis.
From what I hear of his analysis, he didn’t learn anything, he is still erratic and impulsive.
From watching and listening to Ritter, he is definitely erratic on occasions especially when he hyperventilates but otherwise he is still much more on point than most “analysts”, and has extensive experience to draw from. I assess his analysis in the context of other analysts such as yourself, Martyanov, Johnson and Macgregor.
The Azovstal show has finally closed after a slightly extended run, a Eurovision win and a few curtain calls, with “Volyna” and “kalyna” the last to exit as befitting their star status.
I’ve read that in order to conquer an urban environment such as Mariupol, the attackers need at least a 3:1 superior manpower ratio due to the simple fact that it’s far easier to defend than attack a heavily built up area. But it seems like Mariupol was a 1:1 ratio, give or take? I wonder was the Azovstal “fortress” a magnet that drew the Ukrainians into a trap of their own making, where they thought they could tough it out until rescue came. Or perhaps the Russians are particularly good at urban warfare – no doubt the lessons from Stalingrad etc are still foremost in Russian military academies since WW2.
The Donbass militias also seem to be extremely capable, it seems 8 years of fighting to defend your own homes is one hell of good teacher.
lol I like your cynical analysis, spot on
Well said about Scott Ritter. Once you cross that line, as he has done, there is no coming back.
Hi Jacob, in EU there is so much fertilizer in stock (countries & EU officials I mean).
Dear Mr.Dreizin. I am very pleased with your blog posts. Keep doing your brilliant job! However I still have great complaints about two issues in this post.
1)Banning out-of-state donor contributions? This is double-edged sword. Out-of-state donors can be good as well bad. You mentioned bad out-of-state donors. So I mention good ones: Remember 2010 and 2012 elections: Then there was Tea Party movement. It was such great idea to support them financially even out-of-state. Also, since 2008 and especially 2012, there have been followers of Ron Paul. For couple of years, they socialize at society called Mises Causus. And there are great republicans (Thomas Massey or Rand Paul-types) who run as Republicans, not on LP ballots. It is such great idea to support them even out-of-state!
2)Sorry, but I must defend Scott Ritter vehemently. If he said US would use nuclear bombs in Iraq in person at school meeting, it is not as credible as if confirmed by multiple sources online, but let´s believe you are correct about this. Still, errare humanum est. Everyone says something stupid sometimes. Only when someone unknown says it, no one cares, because he/she is unknown and not publically known person like i.e. Scott Ritter. Hypothetically, Scott Ritter. at the time he said it, might have been in terrible psychic state because he might have been bullied by state authorities or by the public.
Also, I consider very bad and irrelevant to mention his criminal case against 15-year-old police female impersonator. What relevancy does this have to his expertise about the war in UA? None. This is just emotional argumentum-ad-hominem crap, Mr. Dreizin. It is apparent you got overwhelmed by emotions because when you see/hear Scott Ritter, you imagine your young daughters and not list of logical fallacies. In fact, I am very much fond of his analyses, as well as yours. If you are so distrustful of him, it would be great to set up debate consisted of you two in person (better online :D) and a moderator/host. 😀 Just suggestion. 😀
Your reader from the country which is considered great just for the reason it sought to POSTPONE not cancel EU antiRussian oil sale ban. Yeah, it is CZR.
The incumbent/establishment opponents of “tea party” / MAGA insurgent challenger candidates, almost all get most of their financing from far outside the given district, or more to the point, the given state. In a fair, even match-up with equal (local) finances, MAGA republicans would absolutely clean up and take over the GOP very quickly. This is why the GOP establishment would never support my proposal.
A classmate from Kiev visited me in New York some 20 years ago. “What’s the diff between Republicans and Democrats, in one sentence?” he demanded. “Sure,” I replied, “Republicans are the party of capitalism; Democrats, of socialism.”
Fast-forward into today. Republicans are the party of socialism; Democrats are indistinguishable from the good old КПСС (the only diff being that those Soviet stooges may have actually cared about their country). What happened? Both parties are at the trough, throwing scraps to the median voter, who demands more and more free slop… Alas, “the government of the looters, for the looters, by the looters” is FUBAR. No amendment ain’t gonna fix it. Other than “one dollar in taxes, one vote.” But that ain’t gonna happen either.
I’ve noticed that the caption under the headline photo is missing. Here it is.
Mitch to Volodymyr: “You should stop snorting that low-grade stuff. I’ll introduce you to my guy.”