In early April 2021 (yes, 2021), the Dreizin Report—then an email newsletter, not a blog, though I have since posted much of my old material to this blog—wrote that a Russia-Ukraine war is “imminent.”
At that time, the risk was not of a Russian offensive. Rather, for their own domestic political reasons (namely, a 23 percent approval rating), Saint Zelensky’s people were itching to invade and retake the Russian-backed, rebel Donbass.
Ultimately, Uncle Sam must have told his Ukraine colony to cool its jets, and later that year, the initiative shifted to Russia and what Putin wants to do.
But at the time (again, this was early April 2021), I wrote:
It is clear the DoD (the U.S. Department of Defense) is preparing to fight, in the immediate term, using Ukraine, a fairly large-scale proxy war—conceivably with direct U.S. involvement, if things go south for Ukraine, as they likely will—with Russia. It is also clear that several years of relative global peace and stability experienced under President Trump are likely soon coming to an end (in case anyone doubted that would happen.)
In no particular order, I also wrote:
The Democrat party regime is now exceedingly weak—like Napoleon in Moscow, they seem to be in charge, but they are losing direction and (with Senators Manchin and Sinema holding on the filibuster) they can’t produce their intended results—and one obvious solution is a foreign war to rally the masses with some rah-rah chyrons under Wolf Blitzer’s solemn face on CNN.
…..it is a political dead end for Republicans to hand the Democrats a loud “me too” chorus in support of a Biden war-of-choice in Ukraine. Most Republican voters are more concerned with the Democrats turning the U.S. into Russia, than they are about Russia.
Further… (it was bolded in the original)… (and it sounds rather prophetic, given the recent $40 billion)…..
Whatever the case, it’s clear that Uncle Sam needs another project on the scope and potentially the scale of Afghanistan, and Ukraine is now the only obvious candidate. We should expect more funny business, because there is a lot of “turf”, career self-interest, financial profit, and political benefit behind “standing up to Russian aggression.”
ANY RUSSIA HYSTERIA OR ANY FOREIGN CONFLICT NOW WOULD BE A MAJOR DISTRACTION, HIGHLY DISRUPTIVE TO THE “AMERICA FIRST” CAUSE. IF SENATE REPUBLICANS FEEL THEY HAVE TO “RAH-RAH” AND FALL IN LINE BEHIND WHATEVER THE EXECUTIVE BRANCH WANTS TO DO, IT WILL VASTLY STRENGTHEN THE DEMOCRATS AND THE BUSH-CHENEY-RYAN WING OF THE GOP, WHILE DELAYING THE RECONSTITUTION OF A GENUINE, POST-TRUMP REPUBLICAN AGENDA SO AS TO ENSURE THE NATIONAL GOP IS NOT JUST A ME-TOO, DEMOCRAT-LITE PARTY AS IT WAS IN 2015.
I suggested to the Congressional GOP as follows:
Republicans should demand an honest and unscripted explanation from the President himself, to include answering live, unscripted questions from non-Democrat-oriented media outlets.
Republicans should not allow Biden to play the “tough guy” and grandstand off an optional war, while he pawns the coherent talking off on his Secretary of Defense or someone else.
If he owns it, he owns it—he is our Commander-in-Chief. If he is incapable of addressing the nation regarding a major conflict which his government has authorized—especially if he has sent American ships, aircraft, or other assets to Russia’s coasts or borders, where they may be shot at, by mistake or not—he should consider making way for younger leadership.
Congressional Republicans, particularly those in the Senate, are already short on credibility with the GOP base, and with Trump diehards in particular. After years of Russia nothingburgers to bring down our 45th president, rallying to President Biden for an opportunistic proxy war with Russia risks further alienating the base. If the Democrats need a war, it is advisable to let them fight it themselves.
LOL, looks like no one listened to me. Of course, if you’re a Republican senator, it’s easier to just go with the flow, and keep proving your loyalty to the military-industrial lobby and its campaign donations.
We have no obvious leadership in the USA. On the national GOP side, we have a bunch of lazy posers, thinking they are going to win the midterm election by default, because of inflation blah blah, not working for it, no real agenda, no harsh talk at Brandon, nothing.
I’ll be laughing at these fools if the plague comes back and we have another virtual, mail-in election, and they get blasted again.
(To be clear, it will come back soon enough, or there will be another one. Only question is, will it be in time for the midterms?)
You can read the April 2021 piece, here.
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