The above photo shows Christopher Walken…..
…..training for “one more go“…..
…..a.k.a. the Next Big Ukrainian Counteroffensive.
In the below audio message…..
Not precisely but more or less in this order…..
(1) The PR and “social psychology” explanation for how the Pentagon settled on its present estimate of Russian casualties.
(2) The silly hype over leaks of “top secret”, detailed U.S. military sitreps on the Ukraine war. Much of this stuff (e.g., how many brigades the Ukraine is training) was covered on the Dreizin Report months ago, LOLOLOL. (I don’t mention in the audio, but come to think of it, the ONLY “danger” of the leaks, is that non-Western media will finally be able to run with direct, visual documentation to suggest the U.S. is running the Ukraine show.)
(3) The Ukraine’s munitions shortage. To include: the U.S. is likely flat out of GLMRS missiles (for the HIMARS), with all new production (modest as it is) going to the Ukraine.
(4) Prospects for the Next Big Ukrainian Counteroffensive, in the context of the munitions shortage and the massive Russian mobilization of late last year, as well as recent Russian deployment of precision munitions.
(Thanks very much to Manny, who cropped out several minutes of “dead air”, so this goes faster and smoother. Indeed, it’s a pleasure to listen to, and wouldn’t be quite so nice, if not for him.)
LAST MINUTE UPDATE:
The machine is so UPSET by these sitrep photos being released, that it is striking back with a MISINFORMATION ASSAULT in its State Media, along the lines of, “We have no idea what the Ukrainian army is planning, we know more about Russia’s army than the Ukraine’s.” LOL. Yeah, they’ve just lost the motherload of “We know everything about the Ukrainian army, down to the last man and the last bullet, here it is in writing, in a daily update“… and yet, they know NOTHING!!! And the State Media prints both realities WITHIN THE SAME ARTICLE!!! Again, the only “danger” here, is someone gets the idea (wow, who’d have thought???) that Uncle Sam is running the show. You may recall, I’ve already covered the use of U.S. battlefield awareness software within the Ukrainian army. Uncle Sam can see it ALL, even Russia hacked it, back in October or late September—screenshots were released on Telegram. OBVIOUSLY the USA knows EVERYTHING about its 51st state… because the USA is running… the… show.
Obviously, this audio commentary is the result of massive research, recent but also going back many months. You know, nothing’s as easy as it looks. In addition to my other expenses, I’m also now back to paying Manny, because he deserves it, and because I now earn enough (from this blog) to do so. In short, if you can afford to, please donate the “price of admission“, whatever it’s worth to you. ALSO, to all the folks who gave five dollars, one time, six weeks or two months ago, and who think it means they’re done, they’re off the hook, “absolved forever“—well, thanks very much, but nope, sorry, WRONG ANSWER!!! If that’s your attitude, I’ll have to go behind a paywall, sooner not later. Please cough it up again! Thank you.
A follow up to my sentient AI musings
Please listen to the below audio message…..
(Thanks again to Manny.)
Autists and guns… and carbines
I got into a spat…..
…..with the middle-aged white guy…..
…..who mows my lawn.
Because I’m a jerk…..
I handled it very poorly…..
But, he’s so goddamn difficult…..
…..and he’d been rubbing me the wrong way for years.
I was smart and cool enough…..
To let him have the last word.
He made clear to me…..
That he “won“…..
…..and he rejoices in his power…..
…..to cut me loose as a customer (thank God, LOL!!!)…..
…..and that it’s my loss…..
…..and, you know…..
I’m HAPPY with that!
There’s a million Central Americans…..
…..waiting to take his place.
The guy is honest, generally moral and ethical…..
…..and even, likeable, in a way…..
But he’s obviously autistic…..
…..(He has his good days and bad days, but he never truly smiles, and generally comes across as wooden, stunted, with blunted affect, and occasionally tries to compensate with puerile overdramatized behavior of an emotional nature)…..
…..and has SERIOUS temper issues…..
…..and barely-suppressed RAGE.
He is inflexible…..
He can’t handle feedback or special requests or whatever.
He sees that as a threat…..
…..and/or some kind of disrespect.
He’s the most “live wire“…..
…..I’ve EVER come across.
As if he just came back from a war…..
He also has one or more FIREARMS at home.
I said my piece…..
…..and after that, didn’t argue…..
And let him think whatever he wants.
Just “let the wookie win.”
If I’m going to get killed…..
I’d rather my death have some purpose.
Like, defending my home/family from an attacker.
Or, standing up for my wife’s honor.
Something like that.
NOT, getting ambushed and shot…..
…..in my driveway…..
…..over a gardening dispute.
In this context…..
I’d like to point out…..
.….that MOST of the “mass shooters” in American history…..
…..have been autistic.
Just a few of the 100% for-sure autists:
The perpetrator of the Blacksburg, Virginia massacre…..
The Sandy Hook school massacre…..
The Parkland school massacre…..
The Nashville Catholic school massacre…..
And, likely autists:
At least one (probably both) of the Columbine school shooters.
The Binghamton, New York shooter.
The Long Island Rail Road shooter.
And, probably almost every other mass shooter.
In being NOT autistic…..
…..or having any other kind of discernable…..
…..neurological or personality disorder…..
…..the Las Vegas concert shooter…..
…..seems to have been a RARE exception.
Otherwise, the few who are not autistic…..
…..are mostly schizophrenic.
(Such as, the Colorado theater shooter, and the Tucson shooter (who shot a Congresswoman, among others, although she famously survived.))
The underlying problem is…..
These people can walk into a gun shop…..
…..and APPEAR normal.
At least, for long enough to wait…..
…..for the Federal background check…..
….and to buy the gun.
What to do?
Well, America won’t do anything.
We love our guns.
It would be nice to require a “bill of health“…..
…..from a state-contracted…..
…..(and thus, liability-protected)…..
…..psychologist, for each and every retail gun purchase.
Like, have the prospective gun buyer…..
…..pay for three, one-hour sessions…..
…..with the shrink.
And then, the shrink decides…..
Based on criteria set out by the state.
(And, the state could mandate that the shrink (who’s likely a Democrat) not reject more than 10 percent of applicants, per year. Realistically, the shrink would pace him/herself (I mean, you never know who will come through the door), and probably only reject half that proportion.)
That wouldn’t filter out everyone.
But, it would filter out a LOT.
A burden on your constitutional rights?
You think they let nutjobs…..
…..keep guns and ammo…..
The village men would’ve come to your house…..
…..and “red flagged“…..
…..(or locked up)…..
…..your happy ass.
And, the “well regulated Militia“…..
…..(see the language of the 2nd Amendment)…..
…..would’ve QUICKLY discharged…..
…..or any “space cadet” or antisocial “loner“…..
…..who couldn’t work or get along…..
Anyway, in the USA…..
With our Federal structure…..
This is up to the states.
“Red” states would never have it…..
And, “blue” state leaders don’t care.
They want to ban ALL guns, for EVERYONE.
Just going for the crazies alone…..
…..is not even worth their time.
It would be INSENSITIVE!!!
Oh, and another thing.
I would ban carbines.
To fight an evil Government…..
Or shoot at Chinese paratroopers…..
…..landing in your football field…..
A carbine is NOT what you want.
I do have a bunch of carbines for home defense…..
Because I never trained with a pistol…..
…..and can’t find time to do so.
But, for outdoor combat, “at range“…..
A carbine is just silly.
…..(in tandem with high-capacity magazines)…..
…..are “great” for shooting up schools…..
…..and other enclosed spaces…..
…..where many people gather.
I would institute…..
A Federal MINIMUM on rifle length.
(I’d also ban machine pistols / submachine guns.)
But, Democrats won’t go for this…..
Because they feel more threatened…..
…..by LONGER guns.
We all know…..
Their main fear…..
…..is of the hicks rising up against the Government.
All other gun threats, are secondary.
GLOBOHOMO finally takes Putin’s advice, LOL
“Hat tip” to Ahmad ibn Fadlan.
On national mythologies
For movie night…..
…..at the Dreizin house…..
…..this past Friday evening…..
We watched Disney’s Prince of Egypt.
My son asked, how do we know any of this happened?
I paused the film…..
…..and explained to him…..
…..that the discovery of the Rosetta Stone…..
…..and consequent rise of Egyptology……
…..blew a hole in Judaism…..
…..and the Old Testament.
There’s not even REMOTELY any hint…..
…..in the historical record…..
…..that any of this stuff…..
Despite CONSTANT Jewish/Israeli…..
…..and Christian Evangelical propaganda attempts…..
…..to find “confirmation“…..
…..for the captivity/Exodus story…..
…..through totally fake, fraudulent, dishonest…..
…..parsing of cultural artifacts…..
…..as well as primary sources…..
…..most notably, the Ipuwer Papyrus…..
…..(you can read its translation yourself, don’t take their word for it)…..
Notwithstanding a few conquering military-aristocracies…..
There’s NO record…..
…..of any meaningfully large…..
…..and monolithic (single-ethnos)…..
…..free or slave…..
…..residing in Egypt, prior to Hellenistic times.
(Moreover, “Confederate” type mass slavery was impractical in ancient Egypt, where the feudal male workforce was otherwise near-idle for several months every year due to the Nile’s cycle, and thus available for corvee labor. AND, there simply would not have been enough agricultural surplus to feed a vast army of non-farming slaves, in addition to the nobility, priesthood, military, and other townsfolk.)
My son then asked me…..
Why do people believe…..
…..anything in the Bible…..
If they know this Egypt stuff didn’t happen?
I told him…..
First, many still argue that it DID happen.
Because their only facts are in the Bible…..
And you can’t tell them anything.
Second, many will say…..
The Jewish myths are just didactic…..
To guide people, or whatever…..
While the Jesus stuff…..
Because, people pick and choose…..
…..what they believe.
People believe what they want to believe.
Well, that’s movie night…..
…..at the Dreizin house.
As for Passover…..
The great majority of people…..
…..actually sitting down…..
…..to celebrate Passover…..
Live in Israel.
And you know what?
It’s fitting that Israeli Jews…..
…..celebrate a story…..
…..about living in oppression…..
…..and then finding a promised land…..
…..and displacing its inhabitants, LOL.
Who cares if it happened 3500 or 80 years ago?
Even the SECULAR/”MSM“ wing…..
…..of the Israeli media…..
…..runs with “Evidence of the captivity/Exodus!!!” stories…..
As if, it would undercut the State of Israel…..
…..to admit it’s all BULLSHIT.
Well, you know what?
It probably would.
And you know what else?
MOST national mythologies are bullshit.
The USA was founded…..
…..by a bunch of slave owners…..
…..(even some northerners, such as Ben Franklin, owned slaves)…..
…..who thought that “all men are created equal.”
Truly, the USA…..
…..is history’s GREATEST IDEOLOGICAL FRAUD.
As for Russia…..
Many Russian Christians…..
Also glorify Lenin and/or Stalin.
The ONLY sensible, 100% true national mythology…..
Is the Ukraine’s.
Ukrainians really did build the Pyramids.
Uncle Dreizin Wants YOU!
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Dreizin Report Policy On Rap, Rappers, And Thugs
The medical records of most of the shooters are, to this date, unavailable to the public and academia, so no one knows for sure what’s the most prevalent disorder among them. Yours is just a guess. It could be autism, sure, but it also could be something else. And the symptoms alone are not the clue. All the symptoms you’ve listed for autism can also indicate a PTSD. And that, the previous traumatisation, should be the first place to look for potential trouble, if you wanna play a Precog.
But it doesn’t matter ultimately, because mental disorders alone don’t explain why mass shootings happen almost exclusively in the US. There are nutcases everywhere in the world in equal measure. Enough of them have an access to a firearm. Yet mass shootings, or mass murders by other means, are extremely rare, compared to the US.
What does set the US apart from the rest of the world is a unique combination of overt cultures of guns and violence, the rampant abuse of antidepressants and, the worst in my opinion, the lack of social cohesion. It’s not just immigration, it’s all the people moving around country, “voting with their feet”. You’re mostly strangers to each other most of your lives. The more you move states the less the new faces mean anything.
Now picture a young teen, traumatised by something earlier in life, changing surroundings too often, not being able to adapt, doing Prozac for Teens, and having an access to a gun and knowing how to use it – that’s your recipe for Columbine and Sandy Hook and others. Some of those kids are intelligent or distracted enough to be able to hold the urges off until later in life, but still… when they eventually go on a rampage, it’s those same factors.
I only managed to get through your first two paragraphs.
Sorry, what you wrote is nonsense.
I’m sure it all seems so clear from the Balkans, but you’re not here.
The personalities of recent (going back at least 20 years) American mass shooters were almost all well-digested in the media, many were confirmed as autists, there were a few schizos but the most common known condition was autism.
As far as nutcases everywhere else in the world, how many guns (per capita) in your country? In the USA, it’s almost one privately owned gun per person.
Perhaps Canada comes close, but no other country comes close. In most of Europe and in Russia, it’s perhaps 0.1 (point one.) In most of Asia, it’s much closer to zero. China is obviously zero. Australia has gone to 0.1 or less, in response to the autistic shooter in Tasmania.
You can’t do a mass shooting if you don’t have access to a gun, can you?
There will always be a new Breivik somewhere, but in a country where guns are rare and expensive, these cases are likewise rare.
You shouldn’t make conclusions or do any analysis at all, without a factual basis to rest on.
The Dreizin Report doesn’t care about your hunches and feelings.
It is speculation re Neanderthals altho I first heard of the connection via a Youtuber proudly proclaiming himself to be Aspie and supporting the the link! Then I found other references to it from a variety of different sources, along with discussions of Neanderthals being anti-social, including mythology included in Genesis, but will avoid opening that can of worms..
And other links. eg, Red hair. This is often ascribed to Neandertahl genetics, maybe whence comes the advice to have have fun with a red head but don’t look for a stable companionship: hot but crazy. The genes make for a dysfunctional brain it seems eg Harry Markle.
More seriously Gingers share physical characteristics with the Neanderthals in particular Neanderthals are deduced to have been more sensitive to pain than modern humans. Don’t know on what basis that is assessed but I do know that dentists know that on average red head patients require 16% more anesthesia to achieve a similar effect than other patients. Conversely it is well known how Aspies are very sensitive to physical sensation on their skin from certain fabrics plus, from personal experience, will be insufferable travel companions always complaining about hard beds in hotels and condos which, when one tests out the bed, are just fine.
Whatever the source the effect is encapsulated in the Extreme Male Brain with poor capability to consider Other as a separate individual having their own orientation in life, iei Empathy.
I never knew about Aspies before marrying my wife who, altho not Aspie herself, came from a family where it figures strongly and once the penny dropped suddenly they were everywhere not just the in-laws but at work and other places. One grandson exhibits it and he is just gorgeous but at school etc the other kids tend to shun him as they don’t know why he is so in their face, apparently disregarding their boundaries. Looking forward to his next sleepover at GrandPa’s he is.
The largest ever mass shooting event in Australia was by a young guy who shot 35 people over a number of hours, including a mother and two young kids hiding behind a tree whom he hunted down. He had Aspergers and then some, being quite simple and although verbal he was barely so. After that event guns became much harder to purchase and indeed a federal buy back program was instituted. (Mind you being a Constitutional Monarchy, where everyone is a Subject of the Crown, guns do not play the role they do in the US, a Republic where the danger of a tyrant emerging to take power back from the people seems to be the basis of an armed populace.)
Aspies are often characterised as having difficulty with social cues etc but the core reason is they have an undeveloped sense of Self, Other, Boundaries and Relationship. Like kids before the Age of Reason, ie about age seven. Social interactions are not via relationship but are transactional, with as much human meaning as a purchase over the counter at a 7-Eleven. The condition is due to Neanderthal admixture into Modern Humans resulting in their brain being different, an extreme male brain. The gene lives on in Modern Humanity as a minority but imagine social groups where everyone was an Aspie, each having this view of everyone else. No wonder Neanderthals disappeared when co-operating / compromising Modern Humans first appeared as Cro-Magnon. Avoiding eye contact, another Aspie trait, goes back to those ancient times, for as everyone knows in animals eye contact can be a sign of aggression. So Aspies avoid it (and when they want to be physically domineering will do so from behind you so you can’t see them approaching), the blank stare being an alternative.
Other is seen as an extension of Self, and if recognised the Other will be as part of a Royal ‘We’ with no inherent individuality of their own. Everyone else is as though a Non Player Character in the Aspie’s Game of Life, to be arranged as the Aspie sees fit so as to create order in the chaos around them. This in itself does not make them murderers, just insufferable interfering a****les. However for those emotionally disturbed enough to act out the frustration arising from their misfortune it gunning people down could quite probably seem not a lot different than shooting feral pigs.
Thanks, very interesting. Of course, it’s total speculation about the Neanderthals.
I do feel bad for the parents of autistic children, even high-functional autist children, as it’s clear they will never be truly loved by that child, no matter how much money they invest in making him or her as normal as possible.
In defence of the Old Testament, compared to Greek, Roman and Hindu epic, they come accross as real – workers, shepherds, peasants etc and often douches, not two dimensional and tedious aristocrat heros.
The details might be wrong, but it isn’t implausible that some Habiru nomads were economic migrants in Egypt and then some orange pharaoh decided to enforce the laws becuase they took our jerbs. And it was all written up centuries later with a heavy dose of myth.
And maybe an agreed collective myth is necessary for a functional society, which is why Israel is, in important ways (eg TFR), in a better state than the rest of the West.
The purpose of the doc “leaks” is to help grease the wheels to pass “The Restrict Act.”
I used to be one of these bible thumpers. I was raised one. I don’t even want to begin to explain in whole the bible end timer thrall. My interest in history helped my escape . I will give one prominent example in particular, the ridiculous interpretations of Danial 11 with 2000 year gaps spawned from Darby bibles. Muh Russia was in the king of the North etc. Once you look at a map of the region after Alexander , the events describing the Ptolemaic and Seleucid empires becomes obvious as was when Danial was written. Daniel is the the Don Quixote of Diadochi with prophets taking the place of errant knights. The real breaking point when when I compared Daniel 11 side by said with Maccabees 1 which was clearly describing the same events.
That leads to the other point. The problem is with American or Israeli or all mythologies alike, they evolve with necessary things . The parables of Jesus often say true things, because those things contain things that are true. In other word’s , even though one may drop a macadamia nut on the floor, they may still be too dear enough not to eat, even when mixed with all the crap on floor.
There was no evidence of the Hittites and ‘Higher Critics’ dismissed them as a mythological Bible fabrication. Until archaeology proved this view wrong.
Egyptian rulers like many ancient rulers had a habit of destroying previous rulers’ inscriptions, victories and histories and embellishing their own, so are not an entirely reliable source of the history of their enemies.
The Bible’s history, in contrast (presumably, from a secular view, likewise commissioned by the similar vainglorious rulers) ALWAYS reports defeats, failures, personal weaknesses and sins of the Kings, priests and prophets. Which is at odds with the whole concept of myth.
The Rosetta stone opened the way to understanding hieroglyphs and much of Egypt’s ancient culture and history and debunked the many fanciful Victorian egyptologists’ obsession with finding ‘proof’ of the Bible (much of it wrong, of course).
It’s clear your “knowledge” of history is derived strictly from low-grade, religious apologist / para-Biblical sources. No one ever denied the existence of Hittites, that’s ridiculous, it’s a straw man. Wherever you may have read that, know that it’s a dishonest, bullshit source.
With that being said, the Biblical Hittites were most likely completely unrelated to the historical Hittites, whose kingdom and written language disappeared centuries before King David’s time. It’s just a trick of speech, a similarity in the name.
As for your alleged “Egyptian habit” of expunging the records of previous rulers, that is known to have happened “in force” exactly one time, after the death of Akhenaten, and even then, we still know a LOT about Akhenaten, because they didn’t get it all. Today, you can read prayers written by Akhenaten to his god, they are amazing.
In fact, we know enough about Akhenaten to spin fiction around him. There was even a bestselling 1940s novel about Akhenaten’s time, “The Egyptian”, which was made into a fairly high-budget, 1954 film, starring Victor Mature among others (incidentally, featuring the “true” Hittites.)
So… you should try reading real history, for a change, instead of Jehovah’s Witnesses recruitment pamphlets.
As for the Rosetta Stone… you are confused. There was no Egyptology prior to the Rosetta Stone. And, the stone was discovered decades before the Victorian age. Although, I’m not sure how that relates to the rest of your comment.
If only it were so easy to get an autism certificate!! My girlfriend has told me dozens of times: “I think you have Aspergers”, and I once thought: “shit, I can make some use of this.” If you have Aspergers, they give you extra time to finish exams in some civil servant competitions and, who knows, maybe tax exemptions and shit like that. So I went to a couple of doctors to get my “certificate”, and they pretty much told me: “you’re not autistic, you’re just a lazy bastard.” I should stop looking at people in the eye, or, maybe, upload a picture of me with a carbine in some social network…
Before long I’m going to have to try and prove the Ukrainians didn’t build the pyramids. Along with another bunch of modern myths such as,,,,
As always your wit amuses me. I cracked up on the bit of displacing inhabitants and then lost it with the Ukraines building the pyramids. Religion is a very curious thing. I originally thought it was created by some really smart person to rule over others. Yet so many kill or march to death for something impossible to prove fries my mind.
Isreal is a mind blower in it self. I mean if there were no Hitler there be no Isreal and Palestine would be whole. Isreal/ Palestine is called the holy land while in the West Bank Bethlehem a place where Jesus was born seems distorted. After 3 crusades and many middle east invasions to present day violence dominates over this guy who said love your fellow man. Just wierd!
I guess, to fight chinese / north korean / taliban paratroopers on his local football field or rrussian or isis marines on his local beach – or the encroaching Government, indeed – the brave & free american needs at least a .50 cal Machine Gun, if not a nice decent mortar (you not mentioned “WHAT you want” for that case).
Anyway, thanks for your, as usual, thought-out & informative statement, here about the U. S. “gun issue” (certain aspects of your american culture make us yuropeans still giggle or give the one or another hard laugh. Will buy you some more coffees, soon + happy easter)
Check out the sales curve of “carbines” over the past 35 years or so. It seems simple, tell Americans they can’t have “carbines” and they….stock up! That said the “carbine” sales index very likely tracks with deindustrialization, globalization, decades of flat real wages, deepening political divides, decreasing trust in institutions, and so on. But the sales curve inflection points are almost always upward and tightly correlated to some moron (or morons) who say “No carbines for you!!” taking power.
It’s not like buying bread before a hurricane, you dolt. You obviously don’t live here and/or you’ve never bought a firearm. Americans have already stocked up and hugely overdosed on all sorts of guns. No one has ever made an issue of carbines per se, it’s not even discussed, but everyone who wants one, already has three. I don’t even have room for any more in my house. The problem is not carbines per se, today, it’s some skimpy weak bitch 18 or 25 year old autist or schizoid being able to buy one on a whim, at some time in the future. Just keep the guns longer and heavier and you’ve eliminated half the risk.
Yikes! The “Empire” keeps putting the B.S. out there (or maybe someone inside worried about WW III photocopied the shit and did it) Who freakin’ knows! Anyway, love the C/Walken shot referencing the chances of the ridiculous Blinken predicted “Ukrainian Spring Offensive! What are these morons thinking one wonders? Answer: kick the can down the road screaming “Zelensky lied to us!” and move on to “confronting” China until it becomes obvious U.S. war mongering leads nowhere — technically, economically, militarily and politically. RE: Ukraine: savvy experienced “independent” military analysts here and in Europe have outlined for months that the Ukro-Russo war is a war of attrition with a vast Russian “artillery advantage” (7-8-9 to one, not 3 to one). War deaths and wounded in this type of conflict are primarily due to artillery fire (in all its forms) which comprise 70+% of deaths and casualties. Let’s here it for 5th grade math!
Yeah 99% of mass shooters have mental issues. But why is this a modern thing? It didn’t seem to happen in the 50s, 60s and 70s (to this degree), yet the same percentage of nutty people must have owned guns. What in modern life is setting them off? If they couldn’t get hold of guns would they not use bombs, knives or vehicles to satisfy their urge to kill?
Your right on the exodus, no evidence, but here’s a playful theory, they were craftsmen from the Levant area brought in by Akhenaten the heretic pharaoh to build his new city as many Egyptian craftsmen wouldn’t abandon the old gods. when Akhenaten died they left taking the concept of the one god with them. The rest is mmmm as they say history!
Great comment. There were shooters back in the day. The Austin clock tower shooter (using a bolt-action rifle) being only the most famous. There was also a guy in the 1920s who blew up a school with WW1 surplus explosive, then shot a bunch of survivors on the scene. It’s still by far the deadliest school attack in U.S. history. In the early 1980s, a disgruntled airline employee got on a West Coast commuter flight as a passenger, then shot the air crew and crashed the plane. What the country didn’t have back then, is mass ownership of semi-automatic weapons. The first random massacre involving a modern semi auto rifle happened in Killeen, TX in 1991. The first modern-style (i.e. all in one go) random handgun massacre was likely the Long Island Rail Road event of 1993. The first student-perpetrated school massacre (in that case, using machine pistols) was in Columbine, CO in 1999. And just going by movies, even the police did not carry semi auto pistols until the 1990s. As you can see, the semi auto craze dates to the 1990s.
Actually if you swap the KIA numbers from the docs…
From: 40k KIA russians and 20k KIA ukrainians
To: 20k KIA russians and 40k KIA ukrainians
Aren’t those pretty much exactly your KIA estimates?
march 1st was like… day 370 of the war.
And you say ~50 kia/day for russia and 100 kia/day for ukraine
Which would be about 20k KIA russians and 40k KIA ukrainians
Roughly same numbers.
“There’s not even REMOTELY any hint…..
…..in the historical record…..
…..that any of this stuff…..
I’ve been watching The Ten Commandments for over 50 years. You’re saying it..might..not..be..real?? : )
Man, 2A, talk about a frozen conflict. King for a day, I guess I’d give people a Federal tax credit every 5 years for owning a suitable long arm after age 21. I’d ban little automatics (handguns and small carbines) except via special permitting route, think Europe. Every person in America would be expected to own and maintain a 44 magnum revolver for self defense. People with small hands wouldn’t be required to shoot them. Oh, and 10 round magazines max, but just a misdemeanor for anything bigger. It’s just policy folks, not trying to fill the prisons, I’m not a politician and I don’t get kickbacks.
This is literally the first time I’m hearing the exodus story is known to be fiction. I guess because I was raised nonreligious and attended US public school I never heard about this? I don’t know.
Anyway: what’s the evidence it didn’t happen?
Where’s the evidence you didn’t help blow up the Nord Stream pipelines?
I’m not from the US, but don’t you guys already have a minimum length requirement (at least for the barrel)? Nothing below 16 inches is considered a legal “rifle” length afaik. Short Barreled Rifles require a registration and tax stamp and so on.
I do agree, that SBRs aren’t the most practical solution to go Red Dawn with. School shootings – I don’t know man, your schools look very roomy, so it wouldn’t really matter if your gun is 4 inches more or less…
I get it that it’s a huge debate, but I don’t really rhink that you would get the gun problem solved with restricting guns. It would just open some black market if you don’t seize basically every gun in the US. Maybe try a bit more social balance, bring the poorest folks a bit closer in income to the better off, and do something about the mental health situation and drug problems.
Some Orthodox Christians who absolutely hate what was done to the Russian monarchy still prefer Soviet Union to modern day. The USSR had high morals and very high level of education as well as science, medicine, FREE. Super cheap public transportation. (Stalin is controversial: his gulags are real but he won over Hitler and stopped fascism, preserved Russia from complete annihilation and opened Churches. As for Lenin, those who do not study historic documents and still hold soviet beliefs would tell you that Lenin had hopes to give people equality, freedom, brotherhood, he was an idealist, etc. well, it resonates with the ancient Russian ideal of sobornost) Lenin was a great manipulator.
Modern-day Russia supports the faithful, gives back monasteries and cathedrals, but at the same time it has copied the western vices to a T. Obsession with sex and drugs and consumerism kicks soul out of you. No moral compass left except for 666 ( GOLD) Sad really. The Church is there to guide. Amen.
This war is already giving true stories of heroism, beautiful poetry and songs! Wars are brutal. However, war ( death) shakes off all this nonsense that bored people invent (sexual perversions, liquid genders, etc).
Well if they glorify Stalin in Russia it might not be a totally terrible thing he had the balls in WW2 to make the most horrific but necessary choices to win the war. now the things he did before and after the war maybe now so much a pass. If Russians want to glorify a Georgian that should be OK as Georgia should have remained part of Russia after the collapse even Stalin called Russia the greatest nation on earth at the end of WW2 pissing off many in the other soviet states by not saying the Soviet union.
I’m not for gun control but open carry for legal residents under certain conditions, also open to bringing back public hangings, any death penalty should be done on public TV, any war and it’s horrors should also have to be posted in the public forum, stop shielding people from death and it’s realities is one major reason for the lack humanity in some people. I’m also for banning the horrific practice of funeral homes and embalming people, leave the blood,organs intact, bury in a cloth sack, plant a tree instead of a tombstone(give back at the end of your life to the earth for a life always taken from it to me would be a more holistic approach).
As for the whole religion and western culture issues some of it could be resolved with teaching people more about other religions, histories and cultures around the world . Left leaning Hollywood is the most guilty of this they imagine and potry all life, culture, religion, history came from white people in Europe and history only started 2000 years ago. But history is written by the Victor or sometimes the bad guys who win( ask any native American).
Sorry for the rant, sometimes your updates gets me on a roll =)
I believe you are a great father for explaining such a complex problem such as the exodus one to your child while watching that movie. Kudos for you
Great analysis about Ukraine’s headcount, behind all the fuz some words of reason.
I think you are dismissing the Moses cycle a little too absolutely.
Most ‘slavery’ in the ancient world was debt slavery. 19th century America was built with indentured labor and bondsmen, which are both slavery but without ownership. The term “house of bondage” (beit avadim — prologue to the 10 commandments) turns out to be a real thing. In Mesopotamia the house of bondage was a work-house institution in which a debtor would (temporarily) put dependents to work for the creditor/landlord. But we have only known about this, as well as the periodic debt jubilees, since the eighties when people started reading all the “boring” records on the cuneiform tablets. In fact, the term halleluja might derive (in Akkadian) from a ritual performed when people were freed of debt (servitude), coincidentally the name of a song by Handel first performed in Dublin, the proceeds of which were dedicated to freeing people from debtors prison, still a thing 3200 years later.
In Exodus the term house of bondage is applied metaphorically to Egypt, but shows this is more than a fanciful story, which the Negro slaves were better at parsing than the theologians of the day trained in ‘exegesis’. Incidentally, the name Israel occurs on the Merneptah steele ca. 1213 BC. The word ‘Hebrew’ may well l have a later provenance, and therefore obviously does not occur. In addition, written records are sparse during so-called dark ages, such as the period subsequent to 1100 BC or 1st Iron Age, marked by invasions of the “sea people” in Egypt, the conquest of Palestine by the Philistines (hence the name), and the Doric invasions in Greece. O, and numbers in the Bible are almost always a narrative element and not so much mathematical.
Thanks for the typical “but maybe it happened a little bit” BS. It’s nothing new.
Some or other Israeli media outlet rolls out the circa 1200 BC, Merneptah stele every Passover. This stele briefly claims that an Egyptian invasion devastated the land of Israel. They pretend like it helps prove the Exodus story.
What does it have to do with the Exodus story? No one claims that proto-Jews didn’t exist in 1200 BC. That’s just so dumb. Just because they existed, does not prove anything in the Bible.
As for debt bondage, you can make up whatever you want, but you’re not speaking to the Exodus story. You’re just masturbating.
More than 200 years after the Rosetta Stone, there’s still not remotely a scrap of evidence for the captivity/exodus legend.
At best, you can say, “They haven’t disproved it, either.” OK, when did you stop beating your wife?
Of course, you’re free to believe whatever you want. Just don’t call it rational.
When I did a little study of Egyptian history about ten years ago, I concluded that tracing the origin of the Exodus story back to the Hyksos around 1650 BC was more plausible than any other explanations being given.
I’m not going to revisit my old research notes or write an essay here. I just leave the suggestion that anybody looking into the real history of the Exodus keep an open mind about this. The big picture is a Semitic tribe controlling the Nile delta region for a while and then being driven out to the north. Let that event churn for a few centuries through the perspective of the people who were driven out and you can get something like the Exodus story. I found a thing or two that maybe didn’t line up perfectly, but the big picture does.
(One thing I do think I should address in a bit more detail: I don’t consider dating the Exodus to be among the “lining up problems” I found. Most people seem to want to date the Exodus in the 1200s BC, long after the Hyksos. But I didn’t see any overriding reason to lock that in. Some, it seemed to me, picked the 1200s on the assumption that the pharaoh of the Exodus had to be Ramesses II. From surviving records about him, he seems to them like the kind of guy that would fit the arrogant pharaoh of the Exodus described in the Bible, due to his successful military campaigns and major building projects. The problem is that if you read Exodus carefully, the pharaoh described there is actually more of a dolt than a competent, successful leader. There may be other reasons for dating the Exodus in the 1200s (maybe like dating David’s reign and then trying to work back by some counting of generations cobbled together from the stories in Joshua through Samuel), but I saw nothing more certain than just going back to the Hyksos and accepting that a full reckoning of the next five or six centuries was lost.)
That’s fine, many have looked to the Hyksos as the inspiration. Of course, it’s at best a very vague inspiration. There’s no specific overlap at all with the Exodus story. Also, no one knows how the Hyksos left the stage. They may have simply assimilated over time, like the Macedonians or later the Mughals in north India.
Also, if we’re going back that far in time, you have to wonder how far a story or myth can be propagated (even in highly corrupted form) in a more or less pre-literate society, perhaps one with a script but lacking in any literature, per se. After all, most of the Jewish core scriptures were not set down in writing, in the form in which we know them, until circa (very roughly) 500 BC.
A brief comment on paywalls/subscriptions.
I just let my subscription to National Review lapse (yeah, I know, why did I ever get one in the first place). That was about $100/year.
I quickly came to the conclusion that it would be more sensible to assemble my own online news/commentary “site” from independent commentators/bloggers, like Jacob.
Now if I assume that I was getting 6 commentators from NR (actually, it was probably more) and that I’d pay $150/year for a subscription (an extra $50 for sensible commentary in place of the scribblings of neocon idiots), that’s a subscription/donation rate of $25/year per commentator.
Most who are on a subscription basis charge more than that.
All people have a budget for online subscriptions. Mine’s about $150 total, but this would also include online magazines of several commentators (better than NR). How many get something out of me depends on what they charge and where they are in my personal pecking order. Some may end up getting nothing, and I won’t look at their content, aside from any freebies they choose to toss out.
(I need to update my Quicken. I reckon I’ll find that I owe you a couple bucks for this year–by my reckoning.)
FYI – there is a two-hour documentary made by top Israeli and Jewish-history experts — their research proved that the whole enslavement in Egypt is a pure and impossible fairytale — it never happened….
Down here in Ukraine we can freely buy any caliber rifle including semiauto. Just come to gun store, choose what you want, pay for the License and go. Come back in a week or so and take your new gun along with the License. No psycho test needed. No mass shooting ever happened (yet).
LOL. How many people in the Ukraine can afford to pay even just $800 for a used AK-47? As an optional toy, not because they need it? You literally have to be in the elite, to afford that. You don’t have America’s wealth or gun culture, not even comparable.
Besides, your local licensing process certainly involves a local police check for local “trouble.” We in the USA have no such thing. Here, the gun shop owner is 99% of the “license”, it’s his decision. It’s crazy. Any 18 year-old autist can walk in and buy any available rifle, magazine, and ammo. Whatever they can afford. Most of these virgins have never even had a beer, and all of a sudden, they are Rambo. They also have no Federal “record”, so they never trigger the Federal background search. And then the gun rights fundamentalists tell us, the only solution is to arm all teachers and everyone else, everywhere, at all times, because “the solution to a bad guy with a gun, is a good guy with a gun.”
In principle, I support the Russian/Ukrainian system. Although, there have been a few mass shootings in Russia recently, they clearly need to tighten up.
> No psycho test needed. No mass shooting ever happened (yet).
Is this a joke? Or are you speaking of the bizarro-world Ukraine that doesn’t have psychotic Azovite Satan worshipers going around massacring innocent civilians?
He’s speaking of American-style mass shootings.
People are delusional if they think they are going to fight the U.S government with firearms.
Hahaha. Hello Brandon!!!
If you say so. Worked just fine for the Taliban.
How many years can Uncle Sam drone its own citizens before it gets sanctioned into the shadow realm? 5? 10?
Did you hear the “news” story: During Covid, while more pedestrian “mainstream” politicians and connected ilk were getting their grift via PPP loans and “emergency federal/state supplies/masks/ventilator etc” contracts (prominent governors of certain states have provenly raked in TENS (~x4 ! )of BIllions this way, Bill Barr and the FBI stopped processing background checks on some ~300K gun permits during the covid manpower shortage in the offices of the FBI. For context, 300K guns wheezing through is like…..HUGe….ny state catches of the order of 3K illegal guns a year pre 2019.
Did you hear this news? Isn’t that a significant man made factor in the present crime spike nationwide? No mention on MSM (who are pricks in any case).
It’s not permits, it’s background checks. They process something like 20 million a year. Missing 300,000 is nothing, it might lead to a few tragedies (most of them, not immediately) but it would have ZERO impact on nationwide stats. Very few people are on the prohibited list, anyway. It’s only convicted felons (perhaps only Federal felons, I’m not sure) and maybe the terrorist watchlist.
That autist may not have needed to be locked in a shed 250 years ago, because he would have been doing man shit with his father all his life, or, barring that, man shit with the other men in his community. Plenty of time for the community to evaluate his fitness to serve that community.
I recall the Uvalde shooter… 18, divorced parents, his dad was a momma’s boy and told his son to fuck off when grandma got COVID. What kind of man does that? Sacrifices his own kid for his parents?
Even so, some dads will be losers. It’s inevitable. This kid and so many others need male guidance, where are they going to get it from? Discord channels? Gangs?
That’s what’s missing in America today. Solidarity. Community.
Jacob, love your taste for edgy Russian music so much I just have to give in and finally sign up to “Comments” so I can share a link to the full original to the trailer you included in your audio clip for others among your readers who might be interested in broadening their horizons in Russian music beyond Mussorgsky, Tchaikovsky, Rachmaninoff, Stravinsky and Shostakovich on into retro-contemporary Russian Techno, Pop, Rock, etc…
Correction: National Firearms Act I mentioned was 1934, not 1928.
Happy Easter, Jacob.
Since I’m not following you for a long time, I still don’t know wether you’re a jew, a christian, a theist or an atheist. But regardless of your faith – or lack of – sticking by what’s just and defending the values of Humanity and Liberty is always doing the Lord’s work.
God bless you!
The Federal government already has a minimum length requirement for rifles. 16″ barrel, 26″ overall length. Shotguns 18″ barrel, same 26″ overall length. Full automatic firearms are individually regulated by BATFE, with paperwork on each individual firearm. Legally owned full automatic firearms are not a factor in any crime or terror incident. National Firearms Act of 1928 set up the requirements.
Interesting point about autism. From the Texas school shooter in early 1960’s, there were no other “school shootings” until Columbine. After that, increasing. Columbine was also about when certain psychoactive drugs started to get popular in the medical community. The ones with “homicidal ideation” in the list of warnings. As far as can be determined, large portion of school shooters were heavily medicated.
Also note that the media is downplaying the sexual identity of the latest in Texas. While planting the seeds for the next one.
Just a short comment to say kudos to Manny. Both of those audio tapes were a pleasure to listen to, and very informative, as well.
In combining both clips together (Ukraine in the first, computer/math/brains in the second), I will say that, despite my poor math capabilities, when I hear that Ukraine’s artillery shoots off 3,000 rounds, vs Russia’s 10,000 rounds, but Russia is losing more men than Ukraine, it leads me to believe that either Russia has really poor aim, or else the numbers are BS.
To my knowledge, shorter guns (under 26 inches), or “SBR”s are NFA restricted, like supressors, and machine guns. The only way you can buy them is to go to a Type 3 FFL licenced vendor, fill out a bunch of paperwork, and have it legally transferred to you, ie. registered to your name.
Although workarounds do exist, like calling an SBR a “pistol”, by not attaching a stock, but an arm brace, and then it’s classified as a pistol, not a shoulder fired SBR, and then you can go under the mandatory minimum 26″ (or 16″ barrel).
You could argue that these should be NFA restricted also, but I don’t know of any major school shootings where the shooter used an AR or AK pistol.
But yes, you’re right. Blue states don’t care because they want to ban all guns, not judt specific types, red states don’t care because they are pro-gun.
My two cents from Hungary to the mass shooters/mental disability issue, that please consider how many of those… call them beings… actually had licensed guns and not illegal ones.
Otherwise a mental check given for a given time (same as health checks for drivers’ licence) looks nice – but again, from Central Europe, where “gun culture” ceased to exist… Well with German and the Soviet occupation since 1944.
Thanks for the Bashkir tip.
Almost all guns used in mass shootings in the USA, were legally acquired, by the shooter. The Sandy Hook shooter used his mom’s gun, but that was a very rare case.
Anyway, there is no real underground market here for military-style rifles. We are not (yet) Somalia.
As for the Arab history, this page references Hungary. What you’re seeing is the Arab name for Hungary, at that time (I think, just before the Christianization of Hungary.)
“We are not (yet) Somalia.”
Happy Easter (whatever version of it you hold) and hope you can tell this next year too. 🙂
“As for the Arab history, this page references Hungary. What you’re seeing is the Arab name for Hungary, at that time (I think, just before the Christianization of Hungary.)”
Definitely before the Christianisation, but… I mean this age (922 AD?) there is the Magyar Fejedelemség (Principality of Hungary) in the Carpathina Basin AND several nomadic tribes in the steppes of todays Ukraine, with more or less Hungarian related tribes including the ones formed todays Bashkirs.
Can you give me the title of the book? Thank you in advance.