The Way Of All Ukrainian Counteroffensives
(Please note, I was not precise, Kupiansk is less than half the size of Bock-moot. Also, Seversk is in north Donetsk but nonetheless somewhat removed from the Slaviansk-Kramatorsk agglomeration.)
If you can…..
…..give me some money…..
…..or at least, follow me on Twitter.
Uncle Dreizin Wants YOU!
If you haven’t already, please sign up to my damn MAILING LIST! All this means, is that you’ll get my blog posts, in your email. I DO NOT mass-send anything but that. Please enter your email address, in the box below.
Comments Policy
I really appreciate good comments. Many people come back here, in-between posts, just to read the comments. If you help me entertain them, you’re my hero. A few rules: This is not a chat board. Your comment must primarily, largely involve and directly touch upon something that, or someone whom, I wrote about in the post you’re commenting on. Life reminiscences (if relevant), relating your relevant personal experiences, your job, your commie college girlfriend, your idiot family members, your Ukrainian coworker, etc., if relevant, are all HIGHLY encouraged. The most interesting content here… is YOU. The only exceptions to the on-topic requirement, are if you’re calling attention to a technical problem with the site, or briefly stating how much you love the content or this Comments Policy. Don’t try to “legitimize” an off-topic comment by throwing in some little pre-thought or afterthought about what I wrote. NO DISCUSSIONS THAT STRAY FROM MY TOPICS. My topics are the only common denominator here, and while it may amuse you, most readers have no interest in your thoughts on the Punic wars, or on some guy named Serge, or on how much you generally / generically don’t like the Ukraine and Zelensky; it’s your way to kill your own time, but it adds no value for others. Which means, if you’re responding to someone else’s comment, your response must still relate directly to one of my topics. Doesn’t matter how much you generously donated, these rules apply equally to everyone. 350 word limit, no exceptions, 351 words won’t be published, sorry. No rambling. If you’re not sure what “rambling” is, ask yourself, “Are others likely to understand and appreciate or enjoy my comment, or am I merely jerking off“? Nazis, commies, worshipful groupies of Mercouris/Johnson/etc., Jew baiters/haters, FBI agents-provocateurs, guys who forgot to take their Ritalin, passive-aggressive needling of the sysop or of other commenters (to include, by dipshits who think their attitude will fly if they mention possibly maybe potentially giving me money at some point—yes, “you people” are all the same), random questions that have no bearing on what I wrote (to include requests for my view on some commentator I’ve never heard of), no-punctuation writing by the smartphone generation, silly “Nadsat” lingo picked up from “The Saker” website, use of the BS term “SMO“, ALL CAPS writing (a sure sign of untreated autism), obsessives who just can’t leave a topic alone after they’ve already said everything (and just want to repeat themselves), and autistic bitching about the satanic USA and its evil pedo pervert elites and how they must be killed (or other bile in that vein), will not be tolerated. If you’ve got issues, this is not your “let it go” zone. Don’t write anything here, that your therapist wouldn’t approve of.
It looked to me like the Patriot portion that fell out of the sky did a lot more than just damage the roadway. I saw a moving car explode into flames and smoke with likely dire effects on the occupant(s).
There is a video of what it looks to be a PAC-3 MSE missile going straight down and almost hitting the bridge near the main GUR building in Ukraine. And then exploding. Huge fireball, lots of black smoke and debris, all that. Very “effective”. SAFE AND EFFECTIVE (TM)
That’s the best advertisement for the PATRIOT’s.
I predict the US debt ceiling bill- which is to be passed within hours- will unleash Biden for an orgy of new spending which has to be funded by the Treasury auctions. The buyers of those auctions- largely American money market funds- will have a field day forcing up the interest rates(and therefore their profits) the Treasury will have to pay to…6%, 7%, 8%. At some point, that in turn will skyrocket the projected cost of servicing the humungous 32Trillion government debt. And THAT in turn will increase pressure to cut government spending making continuing to bail out Ukraine increasingly problematic.
I think the closest parallel is noticing how in 2008, the Baltic Countries massively cut government spending in order to keep borrowing from their Swedish Bankers.
So………it is now “nut cutting” time in Ukraine. Boo hoo……Nazis gonna cry,
I would tthink corporations like Raytheon especially would be screaming for censorship as their proud products aint working.
Well, at least we are doing fine on the homefront……..hahahhahahaha
Hi Dennis. The censorship is there already. That’s why you heard it here first.
Yeah….well Moscow is in ruins from that massive drone attack the other day! Take that Vlad! Bwahahahaha….
Sometimes I think WW3 just needs to happen with the psychos in the White House nailed once and for all, with all US bases and their Naval fleet destroyed and the evil empire forced to retreat back to the motherland… and then surrounded by missile bases and completely de-militarised. Otherwise they will just carry on sowing chaos, war and death globally for years to come. How else can Europe, the Middle East, S Korea, Japan, Australia and the rest be free from this cancer?
Just can’t see any other way out as the US is practically a dictatorship now and no one decent will ever be allowed to get into power to change things.
Rather off-topic… but, very well-written. You get a pass.
With the proxy army on the ropes, the Ukraine flags hanging from the McDachas in Old Town Alexandria seem to be getting fewer and more ragged by the day. The success of the PR war in “hitlerizing” Putin, however, leaves little room for diplomacy for the “golden billion” so the escalation cycle has only troops and nukes left in its arsenal.
Someone should tell the Euro MSM that the counteroffensive is on hold, I don’t think they got the memo.
10 years from now they’ll still be yammering on about this upcoming counter offensive as Chechen warriors are marching down the Champs-Élysées, burning every NAZI flag in sight. One can dream anyway
The Ukrainian counteroffensive is being delayed because it’s going to be such a big surprise…especially to the Ukrainians.
The irony of seeing Poroschenko sitting in a tunnel underground in Kiev, after threatening Donbas ethnic Russians with the same fate years ago, does not escape me.
And now the Russians are pummeling the “just a flesh wound” Patriots, after the last debacle a few weeks ago, is simply a cherry on top of the rotten pie. How to spin this must be top priority for the likes of KJP and the other talking muppets.
I really hope it doesn’t escape anyone. Specially after it was Poroschenko who threatened that children in the Donbas would be sheltering in basements instead of peacefully in classrooms.
Seeing him sitting at a school desk in a basement makes one believe in divine justice, that the Almighty may be slow but He’s on the side of truth.
The ‘Blackout’ in the MSM about the Patriot funnily enough hast taken the form that all (100%) Kinschals are now intercepted by it. Nowhere in the MSM you can find anyone doubting that in the slightest – can’t watch them anymore because it makes me physically sick and terribly angry.
BTW, have you heard that the Britisch Gestapo targeted the Grayzone Journalist Klarenberg?
I won’t be surprised if Dreizin starts to receive some of this treatment eventually. Although getting his name on Ukraine’s Myrotvorets blacklist will be the sure sign that he’s made it to the big leagues.
I’d love to be on that list, however, I am still in the farm league.
bro made it to big leagues (he was on the Duran) — but then immediately wore an LGB hat and got banned from YT, then, retired from speaking about the Ukraine war, then Unretired and then got pissy no one recognizes his genius
LOL. Thanks… but I realized I don’t need or want the adoration of the average, broke-ass Duran freak. I now get recognized enough in my monthly revenue, it’s all good. I just need to kick people in the ass with a $$$ reminder, sometimes.
Have you donated?
I’m thinking Iran also has the complete electromagnetic signature of the PAC-3 system too.
Your site is being blocked by Malwarebytes
expect more drone and suicide unit attacks into Russia to make up for the “spring offensive “.
Who coordinates the MSM black out on topics like this? Is there a US equivalent to a D-Notice? Started with 3 pats, one destroyed now or two? Doesn’t am opportunity exist for RF to cause maximum pain to US/NATO by continuing a slow progress until, say, a winter offensive timed to US election cycle to serve up a slow-motion Kabul on steroids?
Russian sources gleefully show pieces from “expired” Storm Shadow cruise missile (as earlier expired AGM-88 HARMs).
Also, one (not from MSM 🙂 ) could have heard complaints about the Holy Javelin, as their batteries – being well beyond lifespan – cannot hold the neccessary charge to lock, launch and guide to the target.
Patriot PAC-3 missiles also come in different variants, as a gut feeling the oldest ones might haved reached their shelf life.
Not that I would expect the newes ones to perform drastically better agains the current Russian stand-off weapons.
The PAC 3 is the newest Patriot version. All destroyed. The U.S. military has publicly admitted it cannot destroy hypersonic missiles with the Patriot.
There are videos of both PAC-3 MSE and PAC-3 CRI missiles flying/crashing/destroying buildings/and even hitting traffic lights in Ukraine. There are no other options left. So it goes.
The russians have developed “countermeasures” for the PATRIOT’s MIM-104 and similar systems. Their hypersonic Dagger missile comes with 6 penetration aids (these are small rockets that are deployed when the dagger is close to the target or when it detects RADAR emission, some are just decoys equipped with corner reflectors, some come with EW onboard to jam the radars) plus the dagger does evasive maneuvers in flight.
It’s far from being a dumb air-launched ballistic missile like the most mass-media outlets try to paint it. It was designed to “penetrate” very specific AA/AD systems and it does exactly that.
My material was in a general, summarized form, so that I can genuinely inform people while not getting anything wrong. Commenters are obviously free to add their happy details that they read on their favorite other source. A lot of spontaneous experts out there. Could be right, could be wrong, but certainly capable of repeating what they read elsewhere.
so… US has lost the proxy war, but they can’t lose. So, their strategy will be to “bring Putin to his knees” with long range cruise missiles and make him negotiate.
But we paid for the Ukrainian counter offensive. Are they gonna give us our money back?
They’ve given it back (to the arms businesses) less commissions.
Yeah, looks like the UK has really got their panties in a bunch now, with their missiles and munitions getting blown up or having the effectiveness of a limp rope. Russia delivering a real bitch slap and beatdown in past 2-3 weeks, without going on real war footing. The Ukraine offensive is inoffensive, and getting their jollies targeting and bombing civilians.
The Ukrainian offensive that ain’t happening is a far less interesting bit of news compared to the failure of the Patriot PAC-3. That definitely won’t be reported just in time for the forth! Maybe the MSM will pump out some “upgrade to meet new Russian threats” fluff when the PAC-4 upgrade is announced a few years from now.
Wanger is having month-long paid vacation on rotation basis. So, they won’t return to battle field before end of July, assuming half of them are off this month and the other half off next month. Saw a video showing Russia built a resort-like facility for Wagner in the forest equipped with all kinds of entertainments.
What do your sources say about how many Patriot batteries are in Ukraine beyond the official 2? Whatever that count actually is, that munition dump BANG near Kiev very well may have been Patriot missiles saying so-long. And I’m wondering out loud what are the reserves of Patriots, if it’s true the US can only fabricate 250 of them per year. Seems the global inventory of Patriot missiles is rather thin. Is Russia, in part, trying to saturate the skies over Kiev in order to bleed out the Ukraine supply of Patriots? The world wonders (or at least, me). Cheers
H-e-e-e-y Dreizin, have you considered this: “The ‘Akhmat’ special forces have relocated and are preparing for active operations in DPR, the task is to liberate several settlements, Kadyrov said.”
“Friends, Chechen units have received a new order to redeploy forces. The territories of the Donetsk People’s Republic become a zone of responsibility. According to the order, the fighters of the Chechen units must begin active hostilities and liberate a number of settlements. However, the first stage has been going on for several days now – the command staff of the units is developing plans for the movement and liberation of settlements, receiving new intelligence.”
Does that sound like Avdeevka to you? Or a little south of that. Akhmat, like Wagner, specialise in urban operations. But on the other side, Wagner has relocated to around Lughansk city for some R&R, which suggests they’ll be going where you predicted, most likely Seversk. I don’t normally comment on these tactical details but, hey, it’s a quiet news day.