Folks, if you (or your offspring) are about to enroll in a program of study to attain a Master of Arts in International Relations, at a reputable, private university, please, STOP. Don’t do it! Dreizin will SAVE YOU ROUGHLY $70,000.
Below, is EVERYTHING you need to know about International Relations in 2023.
For those who haven’t already seen this in the comments to my last post, here’s a great question from a loyal reader, I’ve “bolded” the key sentence:
Maybe it’s just me, but the thought of going to war with China, that has 100x the engineers, 1,000x the manufacturing resources and a population of 1.4 billion is just retarded. And I’m still waiting for an explanation why we have to do this.
Here’s my response. If you’ve already read it, please read it again, because I kept working on it, on and off, for over 24 hours. It’s likely much improved from what you’ve read:
Thanks for all the money. In my next post, I will publish your comment, and my response to it, because, it’s not “just you.” Very few people understand how our “democracy” works.
At least at the Federal level, policy on matters involving money and/or power, is determined by interest groups. “The people”, or “public opinion”, have NOTHING to do with it. As I mentioned some time ago, this was EMPIRICALLY DEMONSTRATED in a landmark political science paper, sometime in the mid-late 2010’s. (You don’t need to read it, just look at the USA’s southern border!)
Of course, one of the most powerful interest groups is the “Hegemony Complex”, or the broader Military-Industrial Complex (MIC), including all the Pentagon and State Department bureaucrats who broadly share the MIC’s “market expansion” interests (even those who think they’re just doing “democracy promotion”, foreign aid, etc.), and, the shameless, bought-and-paid-for DC thinktanks that pitch its party line.
How does the Hegemony Complex find itself THREATENED by China, and by Russia?
CHINA: If the USA “allows” China to take Taiwan, it would be the end of U.S. hegemony, as we know it today, in the Pacific Rim. That is, Japan, South Korea, Australia, New Zealand, perhaps Singapore, etc., would have to start dealing with a confident, victorious China directly, constructively, on military-political matters, rather than cowering under Uncle Sam’s umbrella.
RUSSIA: If the USA “allows” Russia to take what it wants of the Ukraine, it would be a severe blow to U.S. hegemony, as we know it today, in Europe. (Perhaps even, the end.) European nations, as well as the Eurocracy, would have to start dealing with a confident, victorious Russia directly, constructively, on both military-political and (once again) economic matters, rather than cowering under Uncle Sam’s umbrella. FURTHERMORE, all U.S. programs and initiatives in the ex-Soviet Caucasus, Central Asia, and Mongolia would be in retreat, in jeopardy, as local elites reorient (or, orient more strongly) around Russia.
In short, a Hegemon is a mob boss. You might be on his “soft side”, if he likes you, but he’s still the boss, with his fingers in every worthwhile pie in the borough. And, the boss DEFENDS HIS TURF.
But, WHY?
Why is maintaining Hegemony so important???
At the Government level, Hegemony provides for countless “job justifications”, career improvement prospects, bureaucratic “turf”, ego trip and legacy-building opportunities, sweet gigs and contracts for useless offspring (e.g. Biden’s and Kerry’s sons), etc. “Hegemony” means having Uncle Sam’s fingers EVERYWHERE… and that’s A LOT of jobs, and A LOT of budgets.
At the private-sector level (i.e. for the “Daddy Warbucks” crowd), being bound “to protect our friends and allies against X country”, is, of course, extremely LUCRATIVE. We’re talking, tens of billions of dollars just to produce PowerPoints about weapons that never even make it to the prototype stage. Likewise, Washington, DC-area contractors getting paid millions of dollars to print and distribute kindergarten-level pamphlets about “democracy“, or to run Facebook pages or Twitter accounts to hype up protests in Iran or Belarus. It’s A LOT of money.
(And, of course, there’s the famous “REVOLVING DOOR” between the civilian and military bureaucracy on the one hand, and the private sector as well as the nonprofits—thinktanks, the National Democratic Institute, etc.—on the other.)
You with me, so far?
Now, where is the “peace lobby”? Where is the lobby for non-intervention?
THERE IS NONE.
There’s no money in it.
And, “peace” and “anti-imperialism” don’t turn people on, like abortion, getting Trump, or whatever.
These concepts DID turn people on, at a mass level, in the late 1960s, through the 1980s. But, no longer. Most of those leftists are dead or co-opted. Just look at “AOC.” Retire your Grateful Dead T-shirts, those days are gone! Even the Democrat media that opposed the Vietnam War (only under Nixon, of course), now labels any dissident as radioactive, a Putin stooge. (As I’ve mentioned, we’re at a WW1 or WW2 level of propaganda.)
Now, although the average household would be HUGELY harmed by a U.S.-China war…..
…..(through extreme shortages of goods to include BASIC MEDICINES, etc., and I’m not even talking about nuclear war)…..
…..that threat seems distant, vague, and doesn’t motivate working stiffs, or their save-the-world brats, or industry groups, or BILLIONAIRE POLITICAL DONORS.
So, you have this interest group, that has NO CHECK OR BALANCE.
It’s like some new species of algae, which chokes off a pond.
It’s not like the “fossil fuels vs. renewables” battle, where even Team Biden might lay off the oil guys, when gasoline gets too expensive. It’s not “importers vs. domestic manufacturers”, however lopsided that one is.
Here, there is NO OTHER SIDE.
It’s like an amoeba-blob, that just keeps growing… and growing… and growing. It perceives no limit. It is funded by hypothetically-unlimited deficit spending of “global reserve currency” dollars. It doesn’t care what voters think. It doesn’t even care what politicians think.
The normal, usual brakes, systemic feedback… ARE NOT THERE!!!
Even worse, journalists, staff and Members of Congress, and presidential candidates, now understand they will be, literally, SPIED ON, if they threaten to restrict this blob in any way other than STRICTLY RHETORICAL. (“Dissident” journalists even get stopped at airports, nowadays.) No one wants to be another Trump, let alone, another Kennedy.
(Even when little punk Dreizin started this blog, I had multiple FBI/DHS provocateurs in my comments, talking about attacking Congress again, and killing Federal officials, until I prohibited such talk in my Comments Policy—I spelled this out, legalistically, MUCH more explicitly than in my current policy. Then, they disappeared OVERNIGHT, and NEVER came back.)
This is EXTREMELY DANGEROUS.
But, it’s where we are.
And, it’s why they WILL fight China… if they feel they have to.
The reason they didn’t fight Russia (directly), is because, after the Iraq and Afghanistan clusterfucks, no one, NOT EVEN THE U.S. ARMY ITSELF, will tolerate another major ground “commitment.” Again, even the military doesn’t want it. It’s a “Vietnam syndrome.”
Other than for minor interventions (such as the permanent occupation of Syrian oil/gas fields), use of U.S. ground forces is OFF THE TABLE, thank God, thanks to past “mistakes.” I’ve mentioned this in my writing.
ON THE OTHER HAND, the U.S. Navy was barely affected by Iraq and Afghanistan, and, everyone just assumes that naval operations are quick and (for the USA) painless. So, they THINK they can win a SEA WAR against China. Whatever the losses may be. And, they THINK they can do it WITHOUT nuclear escalation.
Well, who’s to stop them?
They’re the parasitic algae in the pond.
I hope you enjoyed my REALITY-BASED explanation of U.S. hegemonic policy.
Where else can you find this level of understanding? NOWHERE BUT HERE.
Some YouTube show? Tom Luongo’s blog? LOL.
I went to a top school for a Masters in International Relations. It was fun. I learned NOTHING about International Relations. They didn’t even TOUCH this stuff.
It was a “good program”, many top-notch professors, but, it was almost all BS. Just credentialing drones for the U.S. Foreign Service, or (for those not drone-ey enough) other Government agencies.
Granted, this was in the early 2000’s, but, we did not talk about NATO at all. We barely talked about the Iraq war. (Iraq was invaded near the end of my first year.) We barely even talked about the USA, per se! There was no discussion of broader U.S. foreign policy at all, not even retrospectively, looking back at the Cold War or whenever. And, we CERTAINLY did not discuss interest groups.
It was a bunch of useless theory, or, useful lessons on how to negotiate, or write memos… but, nothing like, what are we doing here? Who are we training to work for? Who makes the policy?
The university had a big contract with the U.S. Army, to send finance officers to its business school, for their MBA’s. The Army also sent officers to my program. I had two active-duty Army classmates, and you know the Army pays full price, no scholarships. I’m sure my professors were UNDER ORDERS to not provoke these people. Like, don’t talk Iraq, don’t talk peace, etc.
I doubt anything has changed, since then.
In fact, EVERY graduate International Relations program is like this, has been like this, always, since the dawn of graduate International Relations programs.
They all have active-duty military enrollees. Harvard’s program alone, has graduated MANY HUNDREDS of them, including many later-famous colonels and generals, since the early 1960s at least.
And, these programs are ALL geared towards producing drones for the State Department, etc.
As if, they’re going to talk about Hegemony, and the Military-Industrial Complex? Fat chance!!!
I had to figure out how things work, on my own, years later.
And, now… The Dreizin Report is the ONLY place you can go to, in the English language at least, to actually learn something REAL about International Relations.
Seeing as I’ve just saved you $70,000, please consider sharing some of your savings with me, here. To those who have already donated recently, thank you!!! I’m sorry, I just don’t have time to thank you all individually. But, you are APPRECIATED!!!
Reminder
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I really appreciate good comments. Many people come back here, in-between posts, just to read the comments. If you help me entertain them, you’re my hero. A few rules: This is not a chat board. Your comment must primarily, largely involve and directly touch upon something that, or someone whom, I wrote about in the post you’re commenting on. Life reminiscences (if relevant), relating your relevant personal experiences, your job, your commie college girlfriend, your idiot family members, your Ukrainian coworker, etc., if relevant, are all HIGHLY encouraged. The most interesting content here… is YOU. The only exceptions to the on-topic requirement, are if you’re calling attention to a technical problem with the site, or briefly stating how much you love the content or this Comments Policy. Don’t try to “legitimize” an off-topic comment by throwing in some little pre-thought or afterthought about what I wrote. NO DISCUSSIONS THAT STRAY FROM MY TOPICS. My topics are the only common denominator here, and while it may amuse you, most readers have no interest in your thoughts on the Punic wars, or on some guy named Serge, or on how much you generally / generically don’t like the Ukraine and Zelensky; it’s your way to kill your own time, but it adds no value for others. Which means, if you’re responding to someone else’s comment, your response must still relate directly to one of my topics. Doesn’t matter how much you generously donated, these rules apply equally to everyone. 350 word limit, no exceptions, 351 words won’t be published, sorry. No rambling. If you’re not sure what “rambling” is, ask yourself, “Are others likely to understand and appreciate or enjoy my comment, or am I merely jerking off, or spewing toxic diarrhea that no one else wants to smell“? Nazis, commies, worshipful groupies of Mercouris/Johnson/etc., Jew baiters/haters, FBI agents-provocateurs, guys who forgot to take their Ritalin, passive-aggressive needling of the sysop or of other commenters (to include, by dipshits who think their attitude will fly if they mention possibly maybe potentially giving me money at some point—yes, “you people” are all the same), random questions that have no bearing on what I wrote (to include requests for my view on some commentator I’ve never heard of), no-punctuation writing by the smartphone generation, silly “Nadsat” lingo picked up from “The Saker” website, use of the BS term “SMO“, ALL CAPS writing (a sure sign of untreated autism), obsessives who just can’t leave a topic alone after they’ve already said everything (and just want to repeat themselves), and autistic bitching about the satanic USA and its evil pedo pervert elites and how they must be killed (or other bile in that vein), will not be tolerated. If you’ve got issues, this is not your “let it go” zone. Don’t write anything here, that your therapist wouldn’t approve of.
A very focused blog, so many extremely relevant points expressed. Several other commentators make some of those points, but this here is very concentrated information, thanks Jacob.
10 / 10.
While I don’t doubt it, the only part I struggle to comprehend is how the blobmeisters think they can actually win a Pacific war with China, or be certain it won’t escalate to nuclear. Self – delusion and arrogance is a lethal combination.
You got my money with this post. It’s what I’ve privately thought for a while, I’ve tried to articulate it but most peeps think your crazy, good to know your not alone.
Sometimes I feel like we are doomed passengers on a train that is being driven off a cliff by the Global Hegemony Complex. Old Charlie stole the handle. And the train it won’t stop going. No way to slow down. Oh-oh!
Excellent analysis, the best I have ever read. This is why I donate.
Who knows what evil lurks in the hearts of our sovereign rulers?
The Dreizin knows.
This is my reply to Gene, since I couldn’t do it directly……………………………………………..
Way off topic, sorry. I should have put a stop to it already. I was approving comments too quickly. I’m sorry for your wasted time.
Jacob, Russia has established 2 objectives in it’s SMO: 1) demilitarization of Ukraine, and, 2) Denazification. What’s your take on how Russia will proceed to the “denazification” of Ukraine. Especially since Western Ukraine (Lvov etc) have been and remain the center of neo-nazi ukr Bandera’s ideology? Would Putin favor the occupation of Western Ukraine by Poland & let them deal with the hornest nest?
Thanks very much for the money, but this is off-topic. Please see my Comments Policy. First, no “SMO.” Second, I only touched very briefly upon the Ukraine in my discussion on Hegemony. And, I’m not a juke box. Just because you donated, doesn’t mean you immediately get to ask any question you want, in this case, “what will the map look like at the end of the war, and, what to do with the Banderists?” This is irrelevant to anything I wrote in the current piece.
There is a telling media silence on the huge upcoming threat to the Blob, which as you say relies on the “hypothetically unlimited” deficit spending of the global reserve currency. I refer of course to the new gold-backed BRICS currency for intra-Asian trade to be launched in a few weeks time. This will precipitate an existential crisis to the US and the entire Western banking hegemony which uses a “fiat spell” over its vassals . THEY ABSOLUTELY CANNOT ALLOW THIS. The time line for this could still stretch over several years ; it depends how quickly Russia-China can fast-track their de-dollarization efforts.
looking forward to the gravy train running out of track… what an amazing time to be alive.
Has the hegemony complex of the US identified a new ‘enemy’ that it wants/needs to ensure that it too cowers under Uncle Sam’s umbrella?? The US citizen???
Also, just out of curiosity, how does your algorithm that screens out from commenting those who aren’t putting cash on the barrel distinguish between those who are simply free-loaders, on the one hand, and those who are poor and/or political VIPs, on the other hand?
Of course, it doesn’t. It’s one-size-fits-all. There is no other way. But, it’s been working great. More money, less time wasted dealing with scum. Sure, I miss out on a few good comments, so what? At least, I have time for other things now… such as, for example, sleep.
Since replying to the comments directly is not possible, please excuse me for posting this as a new comment.
Thank you for your thoughtful response, Jacob. To add some clarity, my point is that, assuming Tucker Carlson’s assertion is accurate—that Democrats are essentially cultivating a new generation of voters by welcoming asylum seekers across the southern border—this would signify a remarkably long-term strategy. The US immigration process can span years, even decades, while politicians typically focus on their immediate four-year election cycle. This type of long-term planning is rather atypical within the US political system, which is why I find it somewhat difficult to accept. There must be other underlying factors at play that we haven’t fully addressed yet. I’m just uncertain of what these might be and curious what you think.
Excellent analysis. Especially the bits that deal with the loss of Hegemony by the USA in Asia (China) and Eurasia (Russia), when it happens. The question is: Would the fascists retreat, finally?
btw as far as I can see the most recent instance of a reply (other than by you) to a comment is associated with your 20 June post. Out of curiosity, today I had a go at replying to a comment and…nothing happened. Is this now deliberate policy on your part?
No.
You have nailed it!
I was on a plane from London to an Eastern European city a few weeks ago. Happened to be next to two characters who clearly worked with the UK’s Chatham House, otherwise known as the Royal Institute of International Affairs.
The conversation was not very discreet and it was clear that they spend lots of time flying to conferences, writing white papers on such themes as “Why the war must continue” (I paraphrase) and selecting journalists to moderate their panels. Nice work if you can get it, I guess.
One of these characters seemed very happy that there are lots of women in Ukrainian conference delegations, and contrasted this with their absence from Hungarian ones (a backward country in his view…). Of course, he did not stop to wonder where the Ukrainian men might be.
Such non Americans profit from Uncle Sam’s hegemony too and want it to continue.
Jacob could you comment on the southern border situation please? I am not sure whether you this is topic or off topic but genuinely conflicted how to interpret the situation. As a legal immigrant myself I know first hand how’s the USA immigration system works by keeping you on hook for many years. It is not as easy to get to the naturalization ceremony as some think. Do it cannot be what Tucker said – importing Democratic future voters. Especially considering that Catholic Latin Americans are are from captivated by the rainbow ideology. The system will have them with a carrot in front of their faces for years if not decades. Could it be a simple attempt to suppress wagers of the blue collar Americans and thus keep inflation from exploding further? But so much money had already been injected. Surely there are better ways. Could it be just plain incompetence? But surely they cannot be that naive.
Don’t know what to make out of this and very looking forward hearing your opinion.
Well, since I mentioned the southern border… Yes, it’s no secret, not complicated, “everyone knows”, the Dems need indigent, dependent, “future voters”, and the Chamber of Commerce needs cheap, pliant, non-union labor, for agriculture, meat-packing, construction, etc. Presently, the only distinct lobby for an actual U.S. southern border, is the “red” border state of Texas. There is no one else.
Thanks very much for all the money.
As someone from Australia, I think we are also affected by many of these issues. We would be even more negatively exposed to war with China than the US, although the instinct of recent governments has been to cling desperately to the idea of maintaining US hegemony in Asia which doesn’t seem sustainable going forward based on the changing power/economic balance. Only about 3% of our exports go to the US and about 40% to China.
We did have a Prime Minister in the 1990s who rightly saw the need for us to evolve from being an Angloshere imperial outpost and start making our own way in the region by seeking security IN Asia and not FROM Asia, although perhaps this sensible voice was shouted out by the US hegemony complex to our long term detriment with the foreign policy of the country now being very much at odds with it’s geography.
Back in the 1960s the word ‘hegemony’ was not used but my now long dead grandfather observed that whenever there was a change of Prime Minister the very first thing the new PM always did was to visit Washington “to get his orders”.
> It’s like an amoeba-blob, that just keeps growing… and growing… and growing. It perceives no limit. It is funded by hypothetically-unlimited deficit spending of “global reserve currency” dollars. It doesn’t care what voters think. It doesn’t even care what politicians think.
It’s all based on nothing but thin fucking air. Turns out you can’t use hot air to make sausage.
The more people wake up to this fact, the more absurd it will get. I am so glad the Russians have the drone swarm technology to film this absurdity from birds-eye 8k and share it with the world
Not sure if I got in under the two-month wire; but, whatever. Still job-hunting! Thanks for sharing the new term: “Hegemony Complex.” It rolls trippingly off the tongue. We’ll see how long it takes for it to be picked up for use on YouTube and other blogs. When you aren’t credited for coining the term, I trust you will slag the offenders Mercilessly!
Hello. Thanks for all your donations. Presently, you’re at well under two months, you donated a month ago (the system may be rounding down from almost 1.5 months, I don’t know.)
Well, that was heavy.
Informative. Yes. Food for thought. Yes. But heavy.
“The normal, usual brakes, systemic feedback…are not there.” But your (very clear) analysis is wholly domestic and internal to the USA, isn’t it? What about brakes and feedback external to that system? Like the gold-backed and commodity-based currency for international trade being developed by the BRICS and other countries? And Russia’s hypersonic missiles that make US carrier battle groups sitting ducks? And countries noticing that US military equipment doesn’t work very well so that doing their shopping for such kit in Russia might be a better idea. And diplomatic initiatives like that of China’s to cool it between the Saudis and the Iranians? Doesn’t this all add up, at least in the longer term, to a credible and potentially lethal threat to the “amoeba-blob”?
Hello! Yes, of course, Putin’s Russia is now the only brake. You want me to spell everything out to a “T”? I figured, let people think a little! Plus, everybody already knows about Putin, anyway. What they don’t understand is the USA.